Wednesday, December 31, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

                           ROSE BOWL   ROSE BOWL - PASADENA, CA

                    **** OREGON  -8    vs    FLORIDA ST

I will start this off by saying that I think there has come a time for these Seminoles of 2014 to be exposed.  For all who have watched them play this year, we have seen that they don't play really good defense at all, like they did last season.  They also don't run the ball as effectively as last year, and they don't have a big physical WR like Benjamin.  They do have WR, Rashad Green, who is pretty good, and they have Winston, the best player in college football.  So, they have been able to be very resilient and come back and win some nail biters.  They also play a not so tough, ACC schedule, and have struggled against running QB's.  I think their schedule is a big part of why Winston has gone 27-0 as a starter. I also think that these Noles have not faced any teams that are actually better than them.  Until now.  These Oregon Ducks have been very dominant, especially after their loss to Arizona.  They have become a better team because of it.  Heisman trophy winner, Marcus Mariotta, has had an unbelievable year and only thrown 2 INT's all season.  Speaking of INT's, Jameis has thrown 17 this year, compared to only 6 last year.  What does that tell you?  I don't know what it tells you, but it tells me his team is not as good and he has had to do a lot more.  I don't know why I need to keep saying this, but these are NOT the Noles from last year!  They dominated every team they played last year, beating everyone, by at least 14.  They have struggled and barely pulled off wins this year, against teams that don't even rank in the top 15.  No one they have played this year is even close to as good as Oregon is.  We have also seen that to beat the Ducks you have to be very physical, play great, disciplined defense and run the football very well, to keep that offense off the field.  That is not at all what Florida State does.  I also think the defense of Oregon is being underestimated.  Yeah, thy have given up a lot of points, but some of those points were just garbage points and they played several explosive offenses.  What explosive offense has Florida St played?  I think when I saw Oregon play Michigan St this season, I saw that this team is special.  I saw their defense make key stops and big plays.  They bent, but they never broke, and the Ducks were down by two scores, and came back to win by 19.  Oregon has 25 takeaways on defense and 34 sacks.  I am very impressed with their D line and I smell some turnovers by Winston.  I say he throws at least two picks and loses at least one fumble, and the Noles get exposed as the one dimensional team with a weak defense, that they are.

PREDICTED SCORE : DUCKS  41   SEMINOLES  27

You could wait and see that the line may go down.  You could see if it goes down to 7, or even buy it down to 7, as an insurance policy, but I don't think you really will have to. The Ducks will win by at least 10, in my opinion.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PLAY

              OUTBACK BOWL   RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM - TAMPA, FL


** AUBURN  -7    vs     WISCONSIN

I think, just like the LSU match up in week one vs the Badgers, there is a talent gap here.  Auburn has had top 5 recruiting classes in the last few years, and I think Gus Malzahn is a great coach.  I really think the Tigers want this bowl win for their program, for it is on a big rise.  I don't really care about the suspension of WR, D'Haquille Williams, because I think they have a lot of other guys who can contribute there.  Plus, they have a great rushing attack and that's what they do, really.  Wisconsin is really just a one-dimensional team, and QB, Stave, is not good at all, and could struggle vs the Tigers' D.  The Badgers lost their coach, and didn't even show up for their conference championship game, which he coached in.  RB, Melvin Gordon has announced he is leaving and I don't think he is too mentally involved, at this point.  I'm not saying Wisconsin will not show up for this game, I just think Auburn is clearly the better team.

PREDICTED SCORE :  AUBURN  38   WISCONSIN  24

Monday, December 29, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PLAY

                       ORANGE BOWL SUN LIFE STADIUM - MIAMI GARDENS, FL


***** MISSISSIPPI ST    -7     vs     GEORGIA TECH

The Mississippi St Bulldogs were finally a part of the SEC's elite, under Dan Mullen as coach.  It has been a long time since they were a top team in the SEC, much less, the whole country.  This has not been something that is easy to do with this football program.  As far as good recruits go, you would probably go anywhere else in the SEC, except for Vanderbilt or Kentucky.  So I think Mullen has done a great job, and he put together a really good Bulldogs team this season.  They weren't good enough to knock off the top dog Alabama or rival, Ole Miss, but they have a great offense and a heck of a front seven on defense.  As for Georgia Tech, they play in a conference that can't really compare to the SEC and they don't play defense.  The fact that they beat Georgia means nothing, because that is an arch rivalry game, and they beat Georgia in '08, and there was an overreaction, because Georgia had beat LSU bad that year.  So, Tech was a 3.5 point favorite against LSU in the Peach Bowl that year and bettors were all over the Yellow Jackets.  LSU destroyed them 38-3.  Not that that year has really anything to do with this game, it's just that beating Georgia this year is not that impressive, neither were the Georgia Bulldogs.  I  think this Mississippi St  Bulldogs team is just much better than what the Yellow Jackets have.

PREDICTED SCORE :  BULLDOGS  45    YELLOW JACKETS  24


COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

                 FIESTA BOWL  UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM - GLENDALE, AZ

*** ARIZONA   -3     vs    BOISE ST

I will start off by saying that this is not the same Boise St team that they had in the late 2000's or early 2010's.  Coach, and magnificent play caller, Chris Petersen was gone after last season.  Even then they didn't have the kind of talent they did for a few years there when they were a legit contender.  They just lost by 15 to a Pac 12 team in last year's bowl.  What do you know?  Now they play a very good Wildcats team, who was runner up to Oregon in their conference.  Rich Rod has had more  balance on this season's squad.  Arizona's offense is very high powered and I don't see Boise being able to stop it.  Coach Rodriguez has always been good in bowls, with extra time to prepare, for pretty much his whole career.  I could see this being an easy win for his team.

PREDICTED SCORE : WILDCATS  48  BRONCOS  28

Friday, December 26, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PLAY

                PINSTRIPE BOWL YANKEE STADIUM - BRONX, NY

** BOSTON COLLEGE  -2.5    vs     PENN ST

If I told you two years ago that Penn St would be playing in a bowl game in two years, after all the stuff that happened with their football program, you may have laughed.  Well, I still think it's a joke.  They went 6-6, this season, in the worst BCS conference, and  I don't think they have one signature win all year.  I guess you could say they play good defense, but their offense is terrible.   Boston College had an alright year, in a better conference.  They play some good defense and have a balanced team.  They beat USC and almost beat Florida St.  I think they are the better overall team and program.

PREDICTED SCORE :  GOLDEN EAGLES  24   NITTANY LIONS  14

Thursday, December 18, 2014

NFL PLAY

**  JACKSONVILLE   -3.5   vs   TENNESSEE

This is the only prime time game for the Jaguars, and a spot to shine for them, I think.  The Titans are one of the worst teams in football, and will be playing with really a third string type of QB, in Charlie Whitehurst.  The Jags are one of the worst teams, as well, but they have a lot more going for them than Tennessee.  The Jags' D is not all that bad, and Bortles is a stud, who doesn't have much around him.  Doug Marrone will have them playing very tough to bring some motivation in for next season.

PREDICTED SCORE : JAGUARS  23   TITANS 13

Thursday, December 11, 2014

NFL POWER PLAY

*** NEW ENGLAND   -7.5    vs    MIAMI

The Patriots are playing at home for the first time in three weeks and get to play Miami for a little revenge.  The Dolphins beat the Pats 33-20 in week one, and since then, New England has made a complete 360 in this bitch.  They have been almost a completely different team since their week 3 loss to KC.  Bill Belichek definitely wants his revenge and the Patriots almost always get it.  They haven't been swept by a division opponent since 2000.  The Dolphins are also about to have their annual, late season collapse.  This will be the third straight year, with Tannehill at QB, that they are falling late in the year.  They really should have won that game at home last week vs the Ravens.  Well, it isn't going to get any easier going into Gillette Stadium, playing a great Pats team, who wants revenge.

PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS  34   DOLPHINS  13

Sunday, December 7, 2014

NFL WEEK 14 PLAYS

** ST. LOUIS  -2    at    WASHINGTON

The Washington Redskins have really been just a complete mess this season.  They have one of the worst owners in football, who has made, yet another, dumb decision for a coach hire.  There is a reason that Jay Gruden stayed a coordinator for so long in this league, having the name he has.  This guy is just terrible and now they are down to their third string QB, because the first two, which they drafted, are just busts.  Colt McCoy may give the Skins the best chance of winning, but he is still just a good back up, in my opinion.  Alfred Morris has really been a disappointment this year, along with the whole offense, which has talent.  The Rams started slow this season, but now are now 2-1 with Shuan Hill, and are really starting to come on.  Their defensive line is finally living up to its potential and they have just been sack crazy.  I see them being able to get some serious pressure on McCoy and their offense should be able to score as well.

PREDICTED SCORE : RAMS  28   SKINS  17


**  KANSAS CITY  -1    at     ARIZONA

Even when the Cardinals were completely healthy, I didn't think they were anything special.  They don't do anything great on offense.  Andre Ellington is a good player, but I don't think he brings the complete package, for a RB, to the table, and now hes banged up for this game.  They have now been playing with, back up QB, Drew Stanton, who isn't terrible, but shows why he isn't a starter.  I don't think its going to get much easier for this team.  The Chiefs are coming off of a bad loss at home to a team that just owns them, right now.  I think K.C. could play Denver 10 times in a row and the Broncos would probably win all 10.  The Chiefs have just not been good against their divisional teams, but have been good vs the rest of the league.  Andy Reid is a really good coach and he usually has his teams bouncing back after losses.

PREDICTED SCORE :  CHIEFS  16   CARDINALS  13


Thursday, December 4, 2014

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

* CHICAGO  +4   vs    DALLAS

I really love the energy and motivation teams get from playing at home on prime time, and I also think that the Cowboys may be in store for a December slump.  They just got down right embarrassed at home by their rivals, Philly on Thanksgiving Day.  Jay Cutler is actually 3-0 vs Tony Romo and the Cowboys, and I know these aren't exactly the same teams, but I really like Jay and the Bears' chances tonight.  I know people may be worried about the Bears' rushing defense vs Demarco Murray, but they did a great job vs the Jets, who have a top 5 or 6 ranked rushing attack.  That was also a prime time game, what do ya know.

PREDICTED SCORE :  27-24  Either Way

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

** WISCONSIN   -4.5    vs     OHIO ST

The Badgers and the Buckeyes will face each other Saturday for the Big 10 Championship Game, and Ohio St will be starting their third string QB.  I'm sorry, but a third stringer for a game this big against a legit team is bad news.  Now, I know Urban Meyer will have his kids pumped and ready to go and believing that they can, too, win this game.  I actually think the Badgers were at least a TD better vs the Buckeyes, if they had Barrett in at QB.  Wisconsin is very hot right now and has something coming for the Buckeyes, because they have lost three in a row to them.   I think the Badgers just might rout 'em.

Friday, November 28, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL EGG BOWL PLAY

* MISSISSIPPI ST  - 3    at   MISSISSIPPI

I really think when the Rebels lost their WR, Treadwell, for the sesaon, and then lost that game to Auburn, their season was pretty much over.  They have not looked too motivated after that loss.  With that being said, I do think they will be motivated to play this game, I just happen to think the Bulldogs are the better team.  It also doesn't help Ole Miss to have to play this game without their best weapon.  I think you have to like State here to win, in what could be a pretty close game.

Thursday, November 27, 2014

NFL WEEK 13 PACKAGE PLAY

5 1star plays that I really think are pretty good plays.  So, I have decided to do a teaser for the same price of each bet, that pays 5/1, just in case any of these lose closely, which I think is always a possibility of happening.

* TENNESSEE  +7   at   HOUSTON

The Titans are a young team, that's just playing hungry right now.  Now, they aren't really good at all, but they have some young emerging players, it seems, and they are playing a division foe, whom they played prior this season.  I think they showed some fight, coming off of a short week, when they played the Eagles last Sunday.  Yeah, they got beat pretty comfortably, by 19, but the Eagles are a good team.  The Texans are an average team, who are now playing with their back up QB, technically and realistically, and an injured Arian Foster.  I am not too sure the Titans will win this game, but I am expecting them to give Houston all they can handle.

* CINCINNATI  -3.5   at    TAMPA BAY

I don't know why the spread is so low.  Maybe it's because Cincy is on their second consecutive road game.  I don't care if they are, the Bucs are a bad team.  The Bengals should win by double digits.

* PITTSBURGH  -5   vs   NEW ORLEANS

The Saints are coming off of a short week and are still very banged up, in their already bad secondary.  The Steelers have a good offense and I think will be able to score often in this game.  I expect New Orleans to play hard, but I just don't see this as a good spot for them.

PREDICTED SCORE : STEELERS  45   SAINTS   31


* NEW ENGLAND  +3   at   GREEN BAY

I'm actually hearing people talk about how the Packers are the hottest team in the league.  I will admit that they are in deed hot, especially at home, but NOT as HOT as the Patties.  I am still not sold on Green Bay being a true contender, due to their weak defense.  I will take N.E. with the 3.  I just don't see how you don't.

PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS  31  PACKERS  28

* KANSAS CITY  +1.5   vs   BRONCOS

The Chiefs play excellent football at home, especially this year, and this is on prime time.  They have played Denver already this year, and played them very tough.  They just may take advantage of an injured Julius Thomas, and be playing very hard with tons of emotion, for Eric Berry, who is sick with a serious illness.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHIEFS  27   DENVER  24

TEASER :  TITANS +13,  BENGALS +2.5,  STEELERS +1.  PATS +9,  CHIEFS +7.5

Friday, November 21, 2014

3* NFL MONEY PLAY

***  PHILADELPHIA   -11    vs    TENNESSEE

The Titans are a bad team and they are coming off of an emotionally and physically draining game.  They are also on the road on a short week.  The Eagles are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Green Bay.  I think Philly is a good team, and good teams bounce back, especially at home.

PREDICTED SCORE : EAGLES  48    TITANS  17

Thursday, November 20, 2014

NFL WEEK 12 PLAY

*** ST. LOUIS   +5    at SAN DIEGO
The Rams defense is finally starting to show up.  Maybe it's the fact that they got a new QB in now.  Shaun Hill is a good backup in this league.  What that means to me is that he may not be good for a full 16 game season, but can play very well for a few games.  They have finally started to give the ball to my boy, Tre Mason, who I think is really talented.  Mason rushed for 113 yards last week vs the Broncos.  I think they will keep it going this Sunday against a team that I believe is fizzling out.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PLAYS

*** TEXAS TECH  +1.5   at    IOWA ST

Well, Cliff Kingsbury's second year with the Red Raiders has not panned out to what a lot of people thought so far, as they sit at 3-7.  I do think that this guy can coach, and I definitely believe they are a better team than the Cyclones.  Iowa St is just coming off of a bad loss to Kansas.  I think TT will take advantage of this spot and get the win

* MARYLAND  +5.5   at   MICHIGAN

I think that the Terps are a lot better off  than the Woverines right now.  Michigan will be getting a new coach next year, and really don't have all that much to play for.  Maryland has a good coach, in my opinion and a winning record in their new conference this year.  I really think they can win this one.  I'll grab those points with no problem.

Thursday, November 13, 2014

NFL WEEK 11 PICKS

CAROLINA  -1.5   vs   ATLANTA

The Panthers have not been good, but they also haven't been as bad as the Falcons, either.  I think this is a game they can definitely take advantage of.

OAKLAND  +10    vs   SAN DIEGO

I know, once again, that I must be crazy, or maybe it's just that I know a lot about how NFL games go about.  This is a division rival game, and the Raiders came close to winning in the last meeting.  That was also in San Diego and the Chargers were playing much better football.  Now, I think they are staring to fizzle out, and could lose this game.

***** PLAY OF THE YEAR *****

***** MISSISSIPPI ST  +8.5   at    ALABAMA

The SEC has to be my favorite conference to watch and analyze football games.  This may be because it's the closest football conference to the NFL, that you're going to get, and I've been known to put my finger on an NFL game here and there.  The reason why Bama is such a favorite in this game is because, well, they are Alabama, for one, and maybe the fact that they have beat their opponents by an average of 40 points at home.  Just go look at those opponents, though.  The first thing that I like so much about this game is the spot that Mississippi St has the Tide in.  They just played LSU down to the wire last week.  They will most probably be physically and emotionally drained, much like they were 2 years ago when they played Texas A&M.  They had just got finished playing LSU down to the wire, the week prior that year.  That was a better Tide team, and the Aggies were a damn good football team, with a really good, duel threat QB.  That brings me to my next point of Alabama's defense being suspect to a true duel threat QB.  Dak Prescott is one of the best players in college football this year and should present problems for Bama's D.  I just think that the Bulldogs are a better, more complete team.  I do not trust Blake Sims at all, and I think Mississippi St's front seven can get pressure on him, and force some mistakes.  I like the Bulldogs to win this game outright, so I'm taking the Moneyline too, at +270.

PREDICTED SCORE : BULLDOGS  30   CRIMSON TIDE  24

Sunday, November 9, 2014

NFL WEEK 10 PLAY

**  BALTIMORE  -10    vs    TENNESSEE

I think this is a must win for the Ravens.  They really have to get back on track after two straight losses and after getting pummeled by the Steelers last Sunday night.  The Ravens are a very good home team and are very well coached, so I believe they will be very poised and focused when they play this very below average Titans team today.

PREDICTED SCORE : RAVENS 38  TITANS 20

Thursday, November 6, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PLAYS

***  OKLAHOMA  -5.5   vs    BAYLOR

I have been saying, for several weeks now, that the Baylor Bears are as fraudulent as they come.  They play absolutely no defense, whatsoever.  I think the Sooners are a stacked team with a good defense.  They just lost 2 really close games, that came down to the wire, to 2 very good teams.  I say they get sweet revenge for the whooping they took from this team last year.

PREDICTED SCORE : SOONERS  51   BEARS  30

* WEST VIRGINIA  -3    at   TEXAS

The Mountaneers have been pretty impressive this year, and are coming off of a really close loss to TCU.  They should be ready to bounce back on this road trip.  Texas has been playing much better football, lately, but are still not a very good team.  This may not be that easy of a win, but I think WV should definitely take care of the Longhorns in this spot.

Monday, November 3, 2014

NBA PLAY

** NEW ORLEANS  +4   at   MEMPHIS

I won't be posting too many of these for the season, but I just think New Orleans is a play tonight.
This is a familiar division foe for the Pels and also a very familiar facility, in which they have won the last 2 in.  I really think the Pelicans will bounce back after that tough loss to Dallas Saturday and give the Grizzlies their first loss of this season.  I'm grabbing the 4 points and the Pels.  I think it's money.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

NFL WEEK 9 PLAY

*** SAND DIEGO  +3(-120)   at   MIAMI

This is what the line was posted as today on my site, so I'll take it.  I really don't think the Chargers are losing a third straight game in a row.  Especially to an average team, at best, like the Dolphins.  San Diego dropped a tough one at home by 3 to a division rivalry, in the Chiefs, and then on the road to the hottest team in football, last Thursday night.  This is their second consecutive road game, and a very far trip, but they have had extra days to prepare for it.  They also traveled very far to Buffalo in week 3 and beat the Bills comfortably.  I also watched Miami play the Jaguars last week and their offense struggled.  They do have a good defense, but the offense is kind of anemic.  I see Miami going back to what I think they will end up as, at the end of the season, and that's .500.  San Diego is a play-off caliber team and I think they get back on track today with a win.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS 20  DOLPHINS 13

Saturday, November 1, 2014

ANOTHER COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PLAY

**  AUBURN  +1.5   at   MISSISSIPPI

I think the Tigers are a real good football team, and their rushing attack is for real.  Ole Miss went into a hostile environment last week and played a better football team than people think.  LSU has a great rushing attack, themselves, but I think Auburn's QB is much better, and will be a problem for the Rebels tonight.  I also think that having their LB, Denzel Nkemdiche, out for this game, is going to hurt their run D.  I just really think that Ole Miss is a little fraudulent, mainly because of their QB, Bo Wallace, who I think could struggle against a tough Tigers defense.

Friday, October 31, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PLAY

** KENTUCKY  +8   at   MISSOURI

There's nothing like some SEC football and there is no other conference that is even close to as good as this one, from top to bottom.  There's no bias here, either.  I know these aren't the strongest teams in the conference, but I think the Wildcats have looked more like an SEC team than Mizzou.  The Tigers lost to Indiana...???  I don't think they are worthy of laying 8 points to too many teams in their conference.  I'm drooling over these points, because I think Kentucky can win this game.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

**  NEW ORLEANS ML(-145)   at    CAROLINA

The game line is now up to Saints -3, and I'm taking the ML, just in case.  The Saints have been in a lot of close games this year, including two that came down to a point.  With the magnitude of this game being for the division, and that it's on the road, I think this will be a tough game.  The Panthers will be coming in with a banged up offensive line, but their defense is better than the Packers,  With that being said, they haven't looked all that impressive.  They had close to 40 dropped on them four times this season.  Their offense has probably been less impressive.  Now, the Saints have looked a lot better on defense since their bye week.  I know they are supposed to, and always look good at home on primetime, but they finally played  like most people thought they were going to, before the season started, against the Packers Sunday night.  Their D is still giving up some big plays, but if they can continue to make some key stops, run Mark Ingram and get Cooks involved, I believe they can go on a run.

PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS  24   PANTHERS  21

Saturday, October 25, 2014

ANOTHER NFL WEEK 8 PLAY

**  MIAMI   -6   at    JACKSONVILLE

The Dolphins have been playing some pretty good football, and are a decent team, in my opinion.  They are getting DE, Dion Jordan, back this week, and that should make them even better.  This isn't a far road trip and shouldn't be that tough of  a team for them to beat.  The Jaguars played some good defense last week and got some good running out of Denard Robinson, but their rookie QB still threw 3 INT's.  I think they just played an inconsistent football team in the Browns.

PREDICTED SCORE : DOLPHINS 31   JAGUARS 20

Thursday, October 23, 2014

NFL WEEK 8 PLAY

**  HOUSTON  -2.5   at   TENNESSEE

Zach Mettenberger will be starting for the Titans on Sunday, and I think he sucks ass.  He will sit in the pocket like a statue and JJ Watt will eat him up.  I could see the Texans scoring a TD or two on defense.

PREDICTED SCORE : TEXANS  28   TITANS  17

Sunday, October 19, 2014

NFL WEEK 7 PLAYS

***  WASHINGTON  -5    vs    TENNESSEE

The Redskins come into this game at 1-5 and the Titans 2-4.  I think the Skins have a lot more talent and are just a better football team.  They are at home, and the Titans have been awful against the run,  This should be a break out game for Alfred Morris.  The Titans are coming off of a win, which they barely got, against the worst team in the NFL.  Washington will get this one today, pretty easily, I think.

PREDICTED SCORE :  REDSKINS  35   TITANS  21

** SEATTLE  -6.5   at   ST. LOUIS

The Seahawks are coming off of  a humbling loss at home, and I think they will be ready and focused to bounce back.  The Rams are coming off  a short week and are just a bad football team right now, with a rookie QB.  They were jacked up last Monday night when they played the 49ers, and that lasted for like a quarter or two.  St. Louis has absolutely no pass rush, and their whole defense really struggles.  Seattle lost a weapon, in Harvin, but maybe now they can utilize their other players more.  They are still one of the best teams and I think you will see that today

PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS  30   RAMS 13

Saturday, October 18, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

***  NOTRE DAME  +10   at     FLORIDA ST

There's all this talk about how this is a statement game for the Noles.  Well, this is just as much, if not more of a statement game for the Irish.  They want to prove to the country that they can beat a real contender.  This is not the same team as '12.  They have had great recruiting classes and QB, Everett Golson, has got better.  This is also not the same powerhouse Florida St team as last year, either.  Their defense has looked weak and they are a lot more one dimensional on offense.  I think the fact that they haven't run the ball all that well, will give the Irish a chance to pressure Winston, and if they can, they have a good shot at winning.  The last time the Noles played a QB that could run, when they played Oklahoma St, they got gashed.  Golson is a pretty good player and I think he can have a real good game today.

PREDICTED SCORE : 34-27  EITHER WAY

Thursday, October 16, 2014

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

** NY JETS  +9.5   at   NEW ENGLAND

The Jets, under Rex Ryan, usually play the Pats really tough.  I think a big factor in this game will be the monstrous D line of NY getting to Brady.  The fact that the Patriots' O line is banged up is not going to help matters for them.  I also think that the very possible bad, rainy weather could very well favor the Jets, who need to run the ball well, to be successful.  So, if Geno Smith can just not make any big mistakes, they have a good chance to win.  That's a very big if, but he has more of a chance vs this team, than you would think.  I'll take the J-E-T-S Jets to give em a game.

Thursday, October 9, 2014

NFL WEEK 6 PLAYS

** CLEVELAND   ML(-130)    vs    PITTSBURGH

I think this time around the Browns are going to get the Steelers.  I have not been sold on Pittsburgh at all this year.  They have a good offense, but their D aint really shit.  The Browns have to have a ton of confidence coming off their record-breaking road come back last week.  They have now made two huge second half come backs this year, one was against the Steelers, which they ended up losing by 3.  I really think they should be able to win this time around at home.  I also expect, Ben Tate, who was taken out of the last meeting, because of an injury, will have a good day.  I'm taking the moneyline because of how close all of Cleveland's games have been this year.


***  NY GIANTS  +3(-120)   at    PHILADELPHIA

This is what the line is on my site and I think it's perfect.  I was going to buy it up to 3 points, anyway.  The Giants are really hot right now, and are hitting on all cylinders.  The Eagles have struggled to put together 4 quarters of good football, pretty much all year.  You just got to go with the G-Men in this one, I think.

PREDICTED SCORE : GIANTS  24   EAGLES  21

Thursday, October 2, 2014

NFL WEEK 5 PLAY

** CLEVELAND  +2.5   at   TENNESSEE

The Browns are not a bad football team.  I'm not saying they are really good, either.  I'm really not sure how good they are, right now.  They are young and I think will continue to get better.  I am sure that they are better than the Titans.  Tennessee is not a good team, right now.  Jake Locker is probable and going to play.  I'm totally fine with that, because he hasn't looked good.  The Browns have had an extra week after that heartbreaking home loss to the rival Ravens.  I think they will be ready to play some sharp football.

PREDICTED SCORE : BROWNS  24   TITANS  20

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 6 PLAYS

* TENNESSEE   -2.5    vs    FLORIDA

I think the Vols gave a great effort in their road loss to Georgia last week.  Now they get to come home and play Florida, who has no real identity right now.  The Gators offense is anemic and their defense really didn't look good at all against Alabama.  I've said for some time now that Muskchamp is not a good head coach, and I think he's out the door for sure after this season.  Tennessee is much improved, and I think this is their chance to finally beat this team, in what has been a good while now.

PREDICTED SCORE : VOLS  24  GATORS  17


* VIRGINIA   -6.5    vs    PITTSBURGH

This is a very hot play, as it should be.  The line started at -4.5 and climbed up 2 points as of yesterday.  I like the way the Cavs have been playing football, and they've just lost some tough games to some good teams.  I think they out match this Pittsburgh team pretty well.

PREDICTED SCORE : CAVALIERS  34   PANTHERS  17

Friday, September 26, 2014

NFL WEEK 4

                                   NFL WEEK 4 PLAY

** TAMPA BAY   +7.5   at   PITTSBURGH

So I'm picking the Bucs, and some people think it's crazy, but I couldn't give two fucks.  A little rhyme for you assholes.  Now I had a bad strike out last night with the Skins, and I'll just say it.  It was stupid.  I should have thought it out better and known to stay away.  There's no use in getting discouraged, and now I have lost 6 straight NFL picks, after a strong start of 4-1.  I'm still not discouraged.  Ups and downs happen.  You can't win every game and you can't have good streaks all the time.  If so, I'd probably be on an island somewhere picking games.  Even the top performers have a few bad days or even weeks.  The good ones always bounce back strong, and I intend to do that.  I am making up for last night's loss with this play.  That's right this one.  I know, it seems insane to some, but Vegas seems to think this is a good spot for Tampa to play a really tough game and come close to winning.  That's why the spread is 7.5 and not 10.5.  Given the circumstances, I'm right there with Vegas.  Tampa is starting a new QB this week, who should have started from day 1.  Glennon really aint bad.  He's very young, and his experience, or lack there of, had him on the bench, but this kid played very decent as a rookie last year.  He played well in a Seattle last year, almost taking down the Hawks, and that was a great D, as we all know.  I don't think too much of this Steelers D, and another huge factor, is that RB, Doug Martin will be back.  This is a very desperate team, and that can be dangerous sometimes, in this league.  Lovie's Tampa 2 defense is a little outdated, but I still think he's a fairly solid coach, and his team will be ready.

PREDICTED SCORE : 27-24   EITHER WAY


* GREEN BAY -2   at    CHICAGO

The Bears are off of a short week, and Cutler has been owned by the Pack.  The Bears are kind of one dimensional right now, and I think GB will run the ball to keep their offense off the field.  This is also a must win for the Cheeseheads.  Ya gotta like Green Bay in this one.

NEW ORLEANS     at    DALLAS

I know the Saints have not been good on the road, and their defense has been anything, but great, but they did not allow a TD last week.  That is something to hold your head up for.  Yeah, yeah, it was at home and against the Vikings.  Let's not forget how much they've owned this Cowboys team.  Dallas is better than most thought they would be, so far, but this is the Cowboys we're talking about.  Murray is a great back, and they're using him well, but this is still Tony Romo and Jason Garrett.  Their defense is a little better, but it's still bad.  I don't know if I'd touch this but I'd definitely put the Saints on a teaser at +4, if I had one.

PREDICTED SCORE :   SAINTS 24   COWBOYS 21

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

**  WASHINGTON   -3    vs    N.Y. GIANTS

The G-Men finally got it going, it seems, this past Sunday vs what most people thought was a pretty good team, in the Texans.  Eli is a veteran who was playing at home in a must win, and N.Y.'s defense got to face a glorified back-up QB, in Fitzpatrick.  Well, this week they will have to face a guy they don't have much film on, and has played just great so far.  I think Kirk Cousins still has a lot to prove, because even he said it's still RG3's job to lose, and I believe he will lose it.  This is sort of a must win for the Skins, who are now 1-2, but for the most part, Cousins.  Heck, all of these games he gets to start are must wins for him.  They are playing at home and they've been good against the run, which should help them in this game.  This line has gone up to -3.5, so it might be smart to buy it down to -3, like I have done, for some extra insurance.

PREDICTED SCORE :  REDSKINS 27   GIANTS  20

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PLAY

* TENNESSEE   +17    at    GEORGIA

I just see 17 points  probably being too many for a rivalry like this.  The Vols are improved this year on both sides of the ball, and I believe will be able to put up some points on this Georgia defense, which has not been impressive.  I also like the fact that Tennessee is coming off of their bye and needs to bounce back after a 34-10 loss to Oklahoma.

Monday, September 22, 2014

WEEK 3 MNF NFL PREDICTION

N.Y. JETS   -2     vs     CHICAGO

I think this Jets front seven is pretty darn impressive, which features a very monstrous and aggressive front four.  I know N.Y. has some starters out in the secondary, which could cause some concern, going against the Bears' receiving core, but I think Cutler is going to get harassed.  The Jets are posing the league's best running game, while Chicago is giving up a league high in rushing.  I think that may cause some problems for the Bears, while I see Geno being able to make some plays, as long as he can avoid the Chicago pass rush, which he should, with his mobility.  I also see it being a challenge for the Bears, being it that this is their second straight consecutive road game, and that's on prime time.  This road trip includes a lot of traveling, which, in my opinion, is always an advantage for the opposing home team.

PREDICTED SCORE : JETS  27   BEARS  16

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

** MARYLAND   -1     at     SYRACUSE

I don't really think much of this Orangemen team this year, and I think it's about time for their first loss.  The Terrapins are a pretty talented team and I think they will bounce back strong after a tough 3 point loss at home last week to W.Virginia.  Take the Terps!

Friday, September 12, 2014

ANOTHER NFL WEEK 2 PLAY

**  DETROIT    +2.5    at    CAROLINA

I really think that the Panthers got lucky last week, with Cam being on the bench.  Derek Anderson completed 70% of his passes for 2 TD's and 0 INT's.  I have a hard time believing Cam Newton would have played that well.  I do not think he will be 100% after his ankle surgery, and he is a slightly above average QB, anyhow.  The Lions' offense looked great Monday night, and I don't care how bad the Giants may be, it was a dominating performance.  They are going to be very difficult to stop this year and I think they keep this thing going on the road this week.

PREDICTED SCORE :  LIONS  24  PANTHERS  17

Thursday, September 11, 2014

NFL WEEK 2 PLAYS

*** ATLANTA  +5   at   CINCINNATI

I think the Falcons are definitely bouncing back this year, like they always have, under Mike Smith with Matt Ryan, after missing the playoffs the previous season.  It was very apparent to me last year, that the reason why they were so bad, was because their players were dropping left and right like flies, due to injuries, throughout the season.  It's called the injury bug.  Matt Ryan is one of this league's best QBs right now and Mike Smith is a very solid coach.  I also think that they have a young, talented and deep O line.  T, Jake Matthews is questionable this week, but the way they looked last week vs a good D line that the Saints have, I trust them this week.  This team has one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL.  Let's not forget that just 2 seasons ago, when they had all hands on deck, they beat the Seahawks in the playoffs.  Now, granted, the Hawks were not as good of a team as they are now, but their defense was still one of the best and the Falcons put up 30 on them.  I really like Atlanta to win this one, and I'm not completely sold on Cincinnati.

PREDICTED SCORE : FALCONS  27   BENGALS  24



* DENVER   -13     vs     KANSAS CITY

The Broncos owned this team last year when they were good.  This year I think the Chiefs are taking a couple steps back, from the players they lost in free agency.  They are getting WR, Dwayne Bowe, back this week from his suspension, but they still lack another WR, and they are already losing key players on defense. I think the Broncos are much improved on the defensive side, which makes them a lot more dangerous

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS  41   CHIEFS  17

                   MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

** INDIANAPOLIS   -3    vs    PHILADELPHIA

I love the way this Colts team, with Andrew Luck, bounces back after a loss.  They are undefeated coming off a loss and they are at home, which helps.  They just lost to a really good team on the road last week.  They also made a great comeback in that game and were really close to tying the game, but just came up short.  I am not sold on Philly and I think their defense will get exposed this week.

PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS  34   EAGLES  24

Monday, September 8, 2014

NFL PLAY

            WEEK 1   MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

* SAN DIEGO   +3    at    ARIZONA

First off, I am not sold on this Arizona team.  Carson Palmer throws to many picks.  PERIOD!  They won't have the injury prone, Mathieu, for tonight, or RB, Andre Ellington.  They lost a good LB, in Karlos Dansby and I really think their schedule wasn't that tough last year.  Believe it or not, even though they played in one of the toughest divisions.   They also had a chance to get into the playoffs, the last game of last year by playing a real team, San Francisco,  and failed big time, by losing by 14.  San Diego has really made some strides.  Yeah they barely got into the post season last year in a weaker conference, but I like how their young defense played in those two play-off games.  Phillip Rivers is really a great QB, and I love their chances this year to be a good, playoff team, again, and to win tonight.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS  26   CARDINALS  20

Sunday, September 7, 2014

TEASER ACTION

     TONIGHT'S MATCH UP

COLTS    @    BRONCOS

TEASE :  COLTS +14.5   OVER  47.5 POINTS

I think this is money!  $$$$$

Thursday, September 4, 2014

2014 NFL KICK-OFF WEEK ONE PLAYS

** CLEVELAND  +6.5   at    PITTSBURGH

I really think the Brown's are going to have a good running game this year, with Tate, who will be playing with a chip on his shoulder, and the high hopeful rookie, Terrance West.  I also think Hoyer can manage the games well, too.  Cleveland had a top 10 defense last year with no offense, basically.  Just think how good they could be this year with an offense that can stay on the field.  They have upgraded at safety with playmaker, Donte Whitner, from the 49ers.  They haven't beat the Steelers in a while, but they have had extra time to prepare for a team, who they play twice a year.  I also think it will be hard for Pittsburgh to prepare for an offense with so many new faces, and a very underrated O line.  I think the Browns just may be a sleeper this year.

PREDICTED SCORE : BROWNS 20     STEELERS 17


** * TAMPA BAY  -1.5   vs    CAROLINA

Speaking of sleepers, this Bucs team could definitely win 9 or 10 games this year.  With the addition of a great defensive mind, in Lovie, and rookie, WR, Mike Evans, it's hard to not open your eyes.  I think Josh McCown is the perfect fit for the run-oriented offense , that Smith likes to run, and I think he'll be a good game manager.  There is talent on offense and defense, which should be good with this coach.  Carolina, on the other hand will have a drop-off this year.  Rookie Kelvin Benjamen will probably be the only threat they have on offense.  Cam's mobility will be affected, early in the season, coming off that major surgery.  You take away that from this guy, and you take away one of his biggest strengths.

PREDICTED SCORE :  BUCCANEERS  19   PANTHERS  14


** INDIANAPOLIS  +7.5   at   DENVER

I really like this Colts team this year.  I think the addition of WR, Hakeem Nicks, could make their offense explosive.  I also think that RB, Trent Richardson, can still be a good player in this league, and that just may start this year.  Andrew Luck is the kind of QB that can carry a team on his shoulders, and he had a tenacious, gutsy bench here.  We saw that when they came back to beat the Chiefs in the playoffs, after being down by a big margin.  I also love the addition of  LB, De'Quell Jackson, from Cleveland.  Watch out for this kid, OLB, Bojern Werner, the second year guy out of Florida St.  I know he has some big shoes to fill, backing up Robert Mathis, but I think he will make his presence know.  As for Denver, I think they will be improved, overall, especially on defense.  Demarcus Ware still has some good football left in him and Aquib Talib is a top corner in the league.  I also think they did well with adding safety, T.J. Ward.  I'm still not sure if they will be good enough to beat Frisco, New Orleans, or Seattle.  They lost Knoshon and he caught a lot of passes, but they have upgraded with Emmanuel Sanders.  I like the Colts chances in this game, and they will be in it down to the wire.

PREDICTED SCORE : 28-27  EITHER WAY

TONIGHT"S MATCH UP

I think the Seahawks will be more than ready for this Packers team tonight.  Percy Harvin is one of the NFL's most dangerous weapons, and maybe they won't be as deep as last year, but they will still have a great defense.  While Green Bay has filled a glaring hole with rookie safety, Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, they will have to have a top 10 D to be a true contender, and I don't see that happening.  If you're thinking the Packers will get revenge for a game they should have won inCentury Link Field two years ago, then think again.  The Hawks are better!  They just won a Superbowl.

PREDICTED SCORE : HAWKS  28  PACKERS 23

TEASER ACTION - SEATTLE +0.5  OVER 41 POINTS

Saturday, August 30, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2014 PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

1. FLORIDA ST - With 13 returning starters(7 on offense, 6 on defense), and the best QB(player) in all of college football, it seems like this team will be locked and loaded again.

2. ALABAMA - They have 12 returning starters which include Heisman candidate, T.J. Yeldon, WR, Amari Cooper, and they are bringing  5 back on defense.  With the best coach in college, and FSU transfer QB, Jacob Coker, who is supposed to be very good, this team should win the SEC.

3. OREGON - Marcus Mariota will probably win the Heisman this year, in my opinion, and with 13 returning starters(8 on offense, 5 on defense) I expect this team to be very good again.

4. OKLAHOMA - I really think this team has a lot of confidence coming into this season after beating an SEC top dog.  That game may not have meant anything to Alabama, but it did to the Sooners.  This team has a ton of confidence in their QB, Trevor Knight, as well.  They should, too because I think he's going to shine and their schedule is very favorable.  They could lose one game and still get this spot, which I think could happen.  Oklahoma St just lost too many players overall, so I think this is the Sooner's year for their conference, although I see them getting smoked by Florida St in these playoffs.


                               COLLEGE FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP


                   FLORIDA ST    vs    ALABAMA

I'm taking the Seminoles all the way in this one.  I know that Saban has never lost a championship, but it's bound to happen sometime, due to the fact that his team is always sniffing it.  I think Jimbo, who is the second best behind Saban, has built this program up to a supreme powerhouse.  They have been getting the kind of talent that they did in the early and late 90's, and I just don't see anybody beating them this year.  I also think that betting the Noles to win the title at 4.5-5/1 is a great investment.  Enjoy the season.  I know I will when FSU repeats.

Thursday, June 5, 2014

NBA FINALS 2014

                           MIAMI HEAT  vs  SAN ANTONIO SPURS

I will briefly state that I think that this just may be the Spurs year, and Duncan has one more title left in him.  Hell, the guy can still perform at a high level, and he has some good talent around him, along with the best system in place.  We saw last year how the Spurs hung with the Heat, and were able to contain Lebron a little bit.  It was enough to take them to 7 games, and if they can do that this time around they will be home for Game 7.  I really think that home court advantage was one of the main keys to Miami winning it last year.  That and the help of a future Hall of Fame shooter, and let's not forget the best player in the world.  Well, I think the Spurs may even be a little better than last year, and just look so determined.  I will go ahead and predict the Spurs in 7, but I would not bet against the best team in 3 years, who has 3 future Hall of Famers, and the most dominant player in basketball.  Enjoy this series, because it should be another great one

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

NBA PLAY

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS  GAME 5

** INDIANA  +1    vs    MIAMI

These elimination games are very tough, and the Pacers have proved that they can play with this Heat team.  Tonight, they have nothing to lose and they are at home.  I think they will get the win tonight and then Miami will close this series in Game 6 on Friday.

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

NCAA MEN'S FINAL FOUR PLAY

2 TEAM 4 PT TEASER  (-110)

FLORIDA -2.5  vs   UCONN

WISCONSIN  +5.5   vs  KENTUCKY

I really think it's going to be Florida vs Wisconsin for the championship game.  The way Kentucky has played and how hot they have been, I feel a lot safer taking the points.  As for the Gators, I think they will get revenge on the last team that beat them in December by just one point.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL FUTURE

FLORIDA GATORS TO WIN NATIONAL TITLE  +300

I know that this is the NCAA tournament, that there are a lot of upsets in it, and the best team can get knocked out earlier than they should.  I also know that this Florida team has a lot of chemistry and a lot of upperclassmen on it.  People will tell me that there are no guarantees.  Well, no shit.
I can guarantee you that if you like to invest and Florida does win it all, you will regret not throwing down something.  If the Gators do win four more in a row and take the title you will watch triple the amount you could have put up just pass you by.  I think people forget how great of a coach Billy D is, and that there is a reason why this team has won 28 games in a row.  I think they are poised to win this championship and that they are a steal at 3/1.

Monday, March 24, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

             NIT TOURNAMENT  SECOND ROUND

** SMU   -7   vs   LSU

The SMU Mustangs really did get hosed this year by not getting invited to play in the big dance.  They swept Uconn, a sweet sixteen team, and had several other quality wins, such as double digit wins against Memphis and Cincinnati.  The highest they were ranked this year was 23, so they really have been getting disrespected all year.  I think they can prove how stupid it was to leave them out by winning this tournament.  LSU has some young talent, but has been so inconsistent this year, due to poor coaching, in my opinion.  The Stangs have my boy, Larry Brown, who is one of the best coaches in all of basketball, and a big reason for their 24-9 record.  Too bad it couldn't have been a better year.  I say they wipe the floor with this team tonight.

Sunday, March 23, 2014

NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT ROUND 2 PLAY

** SF AUSTIN  +8.5   vs    UCLA

I think this Lumberjack team of SF Austin is a perfect Cinderella for the Sweet 16.  The Bruins can score really well, and have a good point guard, but their defense is weak.  Austin can play some good D and I just know they aren't going down without a fight.

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT FIRST ROUND PLAYS

Go ahead and wager an equal amount on each of these games and I predict that there will be profit made.

** UCONN   -4.5    vs     ST. JOSEPH'S

* LOUISVILLE   -16.5   vs   MANHATTAN

* TEXAS   -1.5   vs   ARIZONA ST

**NORTH CAROLINA  -4.5   vs    PROVIDENCE

** MEMPHIS  -3   vs   GEORGE WASHINGTON

** CREIGHTON  -13.5   vs   UL LAFAYETTE

* SF AUSTIN  +6   vs    VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH

Saturday, March 15, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

BIG 10 CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS     BANKERS LIFE FIELDHOUSE  INDIANAPOLIS, IN

** WISCONSIN   +2    vs    MICHIGAN ST

I really love the way the Badgers have been playing lately, winning 9 out of their last 10 games.  They are playing for a number one seed and I like them a lot today.  That is all.  Sometimes there is little to no analysis, other than you just like 'em, so you go with your gut.

Thursday, March 6, 2014

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

** UCONN   -11    at    SOUTH FLORIDA

The Huskies played this Bulls team about two weeks ago at home and won by 43.  That's right. 43 points!  That's complete and total domination, and Uconn will be trying to bounce back from a loss to SMU over the weekend.  I don't see how they don't win by at least 15-20 tonight.

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

NBA FUTURE

***** OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER TO WIN WESTERN CONFERENCE  +125

This is as good of an investment as I've ever seen.  I usually worry about making future bets, due to the injuries that can occur through the course of a season, and post-season.  Well, the Thunder had a big injury already this year when they lost Russel Westbrook for like a month.  Even without him, they looked like the best team in the Western Conference, by far.  Kevin Durant "Durantilla",  is playing out of his mind, and is the most dominant, unstoppable offensive player in the league.  The company that I invest through has put a limit on this particular wager.  Why do you think that is?  It's because they know there is a 95% or greater chance of this happening and they are limiting what they will have to pay out.  I say the sooner the better, if you are going to make this investment.  It is +1.25 your money right now, but will definitely go down eventually.  I'm really not sure when that will be, because I have been watching it for several weeks now, and it hasn't changed.  Jump on this because Oklahoma City will be playing in their second NBA Finals in two years.

Thursday, February 20, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* DUKE   at   NORTH CAROLINA   OVER 150

This should be a great barn burner to watch because both of these two teams can score the basketball very well.  Their defenses are about the same, giving up about 66, 67 PPG.  I think Duke is going to have to come out hyped up and shoot the 3 ball if they want to win this road game.  I see this game being at least something like 77-75.

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

NBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT PLAYS

* N.Y. KNICKS  +3.5   at  NEW ORLEANS

The Knicks just lost a close game to a good defensive team in the Grizzlies last night.  Now they get to play a Pelicans team that gives up way over 100 points a game.  The Pels are still playing without G Jru Holiday.  I think N.Y. gets this win tonight.

* ATLANTA  -1   vs   WASHINGTON

The Hawks have lost 6 in a row now after their tough loss to the Pacers on the road last night.  They come back home and play a much easier team tonight, whom also played yesterday.  I say ATL gets their first win in 2.5 weeks tonight.

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

** VILLAVOVA   -4.5    at   PROVIDENCE

I think the Wildcats should bounce back pretty strong after getting blown out, once again, by Creighton.  Although this is their third straight road game, I think Nova can handle it, as they did a few weeks ago winning three straight consecutive road games.

Saturday, February 15, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

** VANDERBILT  -4.5   at   TEXAS A&M


** CINCINNATI  -15.5    vs   HOUSTON


** OHIO ST   -4.5    at    ILLINOIS

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Thursday, February 6, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* LSU   ML(-145)   at   GEORGIA

Lsu is going to Georgia as a 2.5 point favorite, and I believe that the Tigers are going to get better game by game as a young team.  They have really started to gel lately and I think they are about to get on a role here.  The Bulldogs have been much better at home than they have on the road, but are still one of the weakest SEC teams.  Lsu may be in for a battle here, but I think this is another victory on what could be a hot streak.

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

NBA PLAY

* L.A. CLIPPERS   ML(-130)   vs    MIAMI

The Clippers are a 2 point favorite at home vs the Heat tonight, and there is a good reason.  If you follow then you know how I feel about laying a basket in a game that could be close.  This is a long trip for Miami and it's a game to play up in for L.A.  The fact that the Clips are off of a loss gives them more of a need for a win as well.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* VIRGINIA  -14   vs   BOSTON COLLEGE

Boston College has been one of the worst teams in the ACC this season, and it has really showed when they play on the road.  Virginia, on the other hand, has been quite the opposite.  This Cavalier team has really been playing good basketball and gaining more and more confidence.  They have been extremely sound when playing at home and their defense is one of the best in the country.  I think they will have no problem handling the Eagles in the John Paul Jones Arena tonight.

Saturday, February 1, 2014

ANOTHER COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* IOWA    -4.5    at    ILLINOIS

Iowa has bounced back pretty well after losses this season.  I think they should go to Illinois very well focused after their nail-biting home loss to Michigan St on Tuesday.  Illinois has now lost 6 straight and has had 5 days off.  I think they will play a decent game at home and stay very much in this game, but I see Iowa pulling away just enough.

PREDICTED SCORE : HAWKEYES  73   FIGHTING ILLINI  65

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

* FLORIDA   -16.5    vs    TEXAS A&M

The Gators have been deadly at home and get to face an Aggies team that struggles on offense.  Florida's defense will smother A&M and I see them winning by at least 20.

* DUKE  +3   at   SYRACUSE

The Blue Devils have been smokin' lately on a 5 game winning streak.  I think the Orangemen are due for their first loss of the season, and Duke has the size and shooters to do it.

Thursday, January 30, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

** UCLA  +2   at    OREGON

After a couple of blunders in a couple of days, it's now time to get back on track.  I think the Bruins are the better team, and will go into Oregon and win.  That's it.  I see a winner here.

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

NBA PLAY

* MIAMI  ML(-165)   vs   OKLAHOMA CITY

The Thunder have been red hot, winning 8 straight, and it has been very impressive.  They have been without star PG, Russel Westbrook and missed one game without Durant, either, and looked like they didn't miss a beat.  However, they have lost 6 in a row to the Heat, and I think tonight they will wish they had Westbrook in the line up.  The Heat have now won 3 in a row and are starting to put their foot on the pedal a little, here.  They always tend to get up for games like this, because this is like a play-off game to them.  It also does help a little bit that they are playing at home.  Once again, I am taking the Moneyline, just as insurance, because it could possibly come down to a basket.  I am pretty sure the Heat will win this one, though.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* FLORIDA ST  ML(-145)   at    NC STATE

I like the Seminoles to bounce back from their 22 point loss at Duke this past Saturday.  The line is -2.5, so I'm taking the Moneyline, just to be safe.  When the point spread is that low, and it's on the road, why wouldn't you?  I'm not going to have them win by a basket and me get edged, much like I did last night with K State.

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

SUPERBOWL XLVIII PREDICTION

                      SEATTLE  +2    vs     DENVER

This year's Superbowl is going to be a nice treat, considering I don't think we could have got a better possible match up.  This is strength vs strength, best defense vs best offense and the best passing offense of all time vs one of the best passing defenses ever.  If you ask me, I think Seattle's defense is maybe more impressive, due to the era.  Even with all the new rules and how you can't touch the QB, I still think what Peyton Manning and his receiving core have done this year is amazing.  It's kind of scary when you think of all the weapons that Peyton has at his disposal.  I won't be betting the game, mostly because I invested a little on Seattle to win it all three weeks ago, at a nice +220 price.  I would recommend that people don't bet on the Broncos.  Think about it, folks.  Peyton doesn't usually bring his A game in games of large magnitude, and this happens to be the biggest game of his unfinished career.  He also has tended to struggle against great pass defenses, with great safeties and play making corners, much like the Seahawks.  Seattle's D is built to stop Peyton Manning, because they can rush with four lineman and cover man to man.  I really do think that their defensive lineman can get good pressure and take Manning out of his comfort zone.  That's how you have to beat him.  I have been anticipating this match up for a while now.  I expected Seattle to be here, because they would have home filed advantage and they have a formula for a championship.  Denver has an incredible offense and the AFC is weak this year.  That brings me to my point that Denver's road here was a lot easier and a lot less impressive.  The Chargers defense was not that good and neither was the Pats', considering they were missing three key players on that side and lost their best remaining player in the first quarter vs Denver.  Both defenses gave up over 21 PPG this season.  Denver still never managed to put up 30 points in the play-offs.  That's a little surprising, considering they averaged 37 PPG during the season.  I know, their defense looked a lot better and they kept it modest by running the ball, but Seattle's defense is a different monster.  They also got to play teams that have QB's that stay in the pocket, which can be a lot easier than defending Russel Wilson.  I still don't think too much of this Bronco defense, and I think Wilson can carve them a little.  Marshawn Lynch is someone that really can't be stopped right now, and it will open things up in the passing game.  Just ask the 49ers, who hadn't allowed a 100 yard rusher in 22 straight games, before letting Lynch go for over 100 in the NFC Championship Game. That defense was just  much better than what Denver is going to bring.  In fact, the NFC was strong this year, and both of the teams Seattle beat on their journey here were really good.  I also think that Percy Harvin may be able to make one or two plays that makes an impact on this game.  Maybe a big return or one big catch and run.  He may not be up to game speed yet, but this is a Superbowl, and the biggest game of his life.  A chance of a lifetime.  Enjoy!

PREDICTION : SEAHAWKS 27   BRONCOS 24

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

Well, folks, just because there's a winter storm alert in the area and you can't get to work doesn't mean there isn't some money to be made sitting around the house.  I think I have three pretty dang good investments to consider in college hoops tonight.  Have fun!

* VIRGINIA  -3.5   at   NOTRE DAME

Although the Irish haven't been as good as years in the past, they are still pretty decent at home and they average 76 PPG offensively. The Cavaliers have just been stellar on defense, though.  I really like the way Virginia has been playing and I think they take care of ND on the road tonight.

** KANSAS ST  -8.5   vs   TEXAS TECH

The Wildcats just got over two very tough road losses to two tough opponents.  Now, they get to come home and get sort of a break, in my opinion.  I think they will have themselves a nice treat and handle up on the Red Raiders.

** KENTUCKY  -4    at   LSU

It looks as if this Wildcat team has gelled very nicely and is starting to heat up.  The Tigers should continue to get better as a young team, but I don't think they have the talent or the coaching that Kentucky brings.  Plus, nobody really cares about basketball in Baton Rouge, or that LSU has a decent team this year.  Not yet, at least.

PREDICTED SCORE : WILDCATS  74  TIGERS 65

Saturday, January 25, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

** UCONN   -6.5    at    RUTGERS

I have one more play.  That's right.  I know it is kind of a lot, but I think there is some real good value here with the Huskies.  I think they are about to catch some fire.  I think they just might lay a beat down on this Rutgers team tonight.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

** IOWA  -10   at   NORTHWESTERN

I think the Hawkeyes will bounce back from their loss to Michigan and get back on track on the road today.  This is a team that they completely dominated earlier this month, and I believe they will take care of them again today.

PREDICTED SCORE : HAWKEYES 76  WILDCATS  63

** KANSAS ST  +9   at   IOWA ST

The Cylclones have now lost 3 in a row, and the Wildcats lost a heart breaker on a buzzer beater vs Texas, in their last game.  Other than that, they have been really sharp, lately.  Maybe Iowa St will get back on track with a win today, but it will not be easy against a really good defensive team like K St.

** TENNESSEE  +9   at    FLORIDA

The Gators really haven't looked all that impressive lately, and I think they may just be due for a loss.  They now host a team that is familiar with beating them, because they've won 3 out of the last 4 meetings.  I think the Vols are a very solid squad, as well, and I like their chances of pulling the upset today.

Friday, January 24, 2014

ANOTHER FRIDAY NIGHT NBA PLAY

* BOSTON +3.5    vs    OKLAHOMA CITY

The Thunder have been red hot lately winning 5 straight, but it has been mainly due to Kevin Durant being red hot with his scoring.  That may be due to Russel Westbrook being out for the past month.  Now the Thunder just might be due to get cooled off, because Durant will be sitting out tonight as well.  This Boston team has been playing some tough ball and some pretty good defense.  I think they will take advantage of this unarmed Thunder team and get a win at home tonight.

NBA FRIDAY NIGHT PLAY

* CHICAGO  +2.5   vs    L.A. CLIPPERS

The last time these two played, in late November of last year at the Staples Center, the Clips laid a 39 point beat down on the Bulls.  That was earlier in the year, when Chicago was basically playing like crap, and Chris Paul was in the line up for L.A.  Now, I will grant that the Clippers have played pretty decent basketball without Paul, but they are not as good without him.  The Bulls have been hot, lately, winning 9 of their last 11, and come home well rested, after a quick trip to Cleveland.  The Clips are on their fifth straight road game tonight.

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* MICHIGAN  ML(-160)   vs    IOWA

The line, as of right now, is Michigan -3.5 tonight, and I think this will be a barn burner of a game. So, I'll take them straight up.  These two teams are both playing some good ball, and this match up is about as even as it gets.  The Wolverines, however, are one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning 7 in a row.  Their most recent victory, on Saturday, was the most impressive, beating Wisconsin on their court.  This is probably because the Badgers looked as if they weren't going to lose at home this year, and Michigan beat them comfortably, in my opinion.  So now they come home with a ton of confidence to face a team that hasn't won in Crisler Arena since '08.

PREDICTED SCORE : WOLVERINES 77  HAWKEYES 75

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

** KANSAS ST   +6    at    TEXAS

Here we have two 14-4 teams from the Big 12 squaring off at the Frank Erwin Center in Texas tonight.  I think both teams have looked good, but Kansas St has been really impressive, lately, winning 9 out of their last 10.  The only loss I am referring to came at Kansas, an extremely difficult place to win.  Although K State hasn't been as impressive as Texas on the offensive side, their defense has played very well, and I really like their chances on the road tonight.  I'll take the 6 points, though.

Thursday, January 16, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* UCLA  +1.5    at    COLORADO

I think this Bruins team is really good this year, especially offensively.  Colorado will be playing without Guards, Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Spencer Dinwiddle, tonight, due to left knee surgeries for both guys.  That's kind of strange and at the same time, unfortunate for the Buffaloes.  I think UCLA gets this one tonight.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRUINS 76  BUFFALOES 74

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY

                                       NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

                                    SEATTLE   vs   SAN FRANCISCO

So the Seahawks and the 49ers will face off for the third time this year on Sunday at CentryLink Field in Seattle, where the 49ers were outscored 71-16 in the last two meetings there.  One of those was last season, and the 49ers did not have WR Anquon Boldin, who's been big for the Niners this year, and their best weapon, TE Vernon Davis, was knocked out early.  In a more recent game played there, which was earlier this year, San Fran was without WR Michael Crabtree.  The Seahawks didn't just beat them, though, they dominated them.  Those two match ups were really different, and it looked a lot different when they played in San Francisco about a month ago, and the Niners won.  Seattle was coming off of a short week and an emotionally draining win on prime time vs the Saints, and the Niners barely won, 19-17.  If there was any team that could go into this building in January and beat this Hawks team, it would have to be a team that knows them from playing them twice every year, and a team built like San Francisco.  With that being said, I still think it's hard to go against Seattle.  They have the formula for a championship team.  A smart QB that doesn't make many mistakes, and can make big plays, a stout running game and great defense.  Russel Wilson only had 103 passing yards in the Divisional round game vs N.O., and was only asked to throw 18 times, because that was all they needed to win.  N.O. also had the second best pass defense in the league, while Frisco brings in the 7th ranked pass D in the league.  I think Russel Wilson was made for big games like this and will be ready to make some big time plays, and I see him having like a 17 for 25 passing with 250 yards type of day.  It won't help the Niners much that this will be their fourth straight road game in 4 weeks, and after they reach Seattle they would have traveled over 13,000 miles in just 4 weeks.  It's going to be real hard to have more gas than the other team.  I'm not saying they definitely can't, but it won't be easy.  If you are looking for a tough, physical and hard hitting game, there's probably not too many I've seen that will live up to this one.

PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS  17   49ERS  16

                                    AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

                               ** NEW ENGLAND  +4.5   at   DENVER

Here we go again, with these two future Hall of Fame QB's going head to head in a championship game.  I think this is going to be a very close and down to the wire football game.  What Bill Belichek and Brady have done with this team this year, with all the injuries they've had, is just remarkable.  Many will say that Brady has been off this year, and maybe he hasn't looked that great at times, but he was also playing with basically nothing at WR when his top 2 were out with injuries.  He still managed to throw 25 TDs and only 11 picks.  That's only one more INT than Manning, and yea it's less than half the amount of TDs, but he also doesn't have the receiving core that Peyton has.  I really do think that this may be the best WR tandem that I've ever seen.  If not the best, then definitely one of the best of all time, plus they've got a good running game too.  Speaking of running games, it's also going to help Brady's chances in this game with the 240 lb bulldozer, in Blount, that he has to hand off to.  I think the Pats have a great chance, as always, to beat Manning and the Broncos, but being that it's on the road, and Denver has a game on them, I'm going to pick the Broncos.  I do think it's going to be very close, and I don't see Denver winning by more than 3 or 4 points.  So for you guys who want to make some profit, I think I have a great valued play for you.  Play a two team 7.5 point teaser, which will be like -140 juice, on N.E. and Seattle.  It will be: Hawks +4, Pats +12.  I love it!  And Brady probably has the flu, because he missed practice today, and may miss it tomorrow, but it won't be the first time.  He is a vet and I expect him to be 100% when he steps onto the field on Sunday.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS 34   PATS 31

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* XAVIER  -6    vs    GEORGETOWN

The Georgetown Hoyas have a nice 11-4 record on the year, but they really haven't beaten anyone even worth mentioning.  Xavier was on a hot 8 game winning streak before losing a close match at Creighton on Sunday.  The Hoyas will be without freshman C Joshua Smith and F Jabril Trawick, and I'm not sure if that will hurt them all that much, but I think Xavier will bounce back and beat this team by at least 10 tonight.

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* WISCONSIN -4   at   INDIANA

The Badgers have been flawless on the year, being dominant at home, as usual, but basically just as dominant on the road as well.  Indiana plays tough at home, posing a 9-1 record at Assembly Hall this year.  I think that Wisconsin will come in very focused after their five day lay-off, and I just don't think the Hoosiers are very good this year, due to all the key players they lost.


Monday, January 13, 2014

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

* DUKE   -7   vs    VIRGINIA

The Duke Blue Devils have been just a different basketball team this year, when playing in Cameron Indoor Stadium.  They are also 9-1 after a loss and they are trying to bounce back from a 72-59 road loss to Clemson on Saturday.  Virginia has won 3 straight and may be due for some cooling off.  The Cavaliers can play good defense, but I think it will be hard to stop Duke from going on the type of runs they do while playing at home.

PREDICTED SCORE : BLUE DEVILS 73  CAVALIERS 61

Friday, January 10, 2014

NFL PLAY-OFFS DIVISIONAL ROUND PLAY

* SAN FRANCISCO  Pick em   at    CAROLINA

I am just not sold on this Panthers team, and it's due to their weak offense, and the fact that Cam Newton is just not that good of a pure quarterback.  The last time these two faced off in week 10 of the regular season, 49ers TE, and biggest weapon, Vernon Davis , was knocked out of the game.  The 49ers were also playing without WR Michael Crabtree, which gives Colin Kaepernick options.  I think this time around will be a different story.  It's going to be difficult to beat Jim Harbaugh's team twice in a season, especially with Steve Smith playing at about 60%, if he even makes it on the field.  The Panthers barely got by them 10-9, in what could have been a different game had their QB had more weapons at his disposal.  This time he does.

PREDICTED SCORE : 49ERS  20   PANTHERS  16

Thursday, January 2, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL POWER PLAY

            BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME  ROSE BOWL   PASADENA, CA

                           *** AUBURN +9   vs    FLORIDA ST

The last two BCS Championship games were really just God awful, and I think just by coincidence it will definitely make up for those this year.  I just don't see how this couldn't be a really close game that comes down to the wire, and phenomenal to watch.  I love the match up here, which seems to me as one of the best in a while.  You got Florida St's high powered, but balanced offense going against an unfamiliar animal of a rushing attack that Auburn brings.  No one is forgetting the defense of the Seminoles, which is very athletic, but don't forget the defensive front four of the Tigers, and the fact that new defensive coordinator Ellis Johnson has been around for a while and become one of the top 10 defensive minds in college football.  I believe Jimbo Fisher is a good, solid coach, but an even better recruiter.  He now has a powerhouse of talent, including red shirt freshman standout Jameis Winston, who I think is a sensational player.  I think Fisher has done an excellent job at Florida St, but there is a reason why Gus Malzahn was this year's Coach of the Year.  This guy really was the brains behind the championship Auburn won in '10 when he was the offensive coordinator there, and they won with offense, not defense.  Most are questioning the defense of the Tigers, because of all the points they have given up this year.  The team in 2010 was much like this on defense, but was able to make key stops.  This Tiger team also had 6 come from behind victories this season, just like in 2010, and looked like they got lucky a lot, which made a lot of people go against them several times, just like 2010, once again.  They also had one great player on offense in '10, Cam Newton, which I believe they have this year in Tre Mason.  Now, granted Tre is not as good as Cam was, but if you don't think he's that great, you will after this game, because he's very hard to tackle.  He shares carries with a few different people that run the ball for Auburn, and don't forget the Tigers had 545 yards rushing, which Mason had 304 of, against one of the nation's top rushing defenses.  It may help the Noles having a month to prepare for it, and an athletic defense, but I don't see anybody shutting this attack down.  You can only hope to get some key stops, which will probably be the key to this game, and I think Auburn is capable of doing so as well.  I definitely see Winston and the Seminoles being able to score some points, but Auburn can rush the passer a decent bit, so they have a chance.  Florida St has looked dominant all year, but I'm not sure they have been challenged all that much in the conference they played in.  When they beat Clemson on the road, Clemson had some key injuries, and you're never as good as your best game, and that was theirs this year.  The only stout running game they faced all year was Boston College, and they gave up 200 yards rushing and 34 points in that meeting.  Now, just think what Auburn could possibly do to them on the ground.  The SEC is still one of the best conferences, if not the best, and I think the way Auburn has found ways to win, they just might be a team of destiny.  Malzahn is really an offensive wizard, and can prove he is really great by winning this championship.  I think this is going to be one for the ages, and I find it very difficult to go against either team here, although I lean towards Auburn, because I find they're the most difficult to pick against.

PREDICTED SCORE : 33-30   EITHER WAY


KEN WISENHUNT: THE NEXT GREAT HIRE

Does anyone remember this guy?  If you follow the NFL, I would think you can't forget how this guy took the Arizona Cardinals to a Superbowl.  That right there is downright impressive.  We are talking about a team that went to the play-offs a total of 2 times in like over 20 years.  He was also the offensive coordinator for the Steelers from '04-'06, under Bill Cowher, and helped win one Superbowl there.  This guy is a really good offensive mind, and is proven in the league, due to the tough job he had with Arizona, and him being able to accomplish what he did there. Yeah, he had losing seasons in 3 of his last seasons there, but so did Andy Reid when he was in Philly.  This is because there was a bad QB situation with Philly, just like in Arizona in Wisenhunt's last 3 years. Good coaches get fired all the time because of things like this, that are not in their total control.  If you don't get to the play-offs once every two or three years in this league, you get fired, and that's just the way it is.  Some teams know you can't be good every year, and hold on to guys for longer, but the average tenure for coaches isn't that long.  Now, I'm not saying I could be an NFL GM or anything, but these teams getting new coaches are really sleeping on this guy.  Tampa Bay just hired Lovie Smith, who also made a Superbowl with the Bears, and is solid, but I think Wisenhunt took on the bigger challenge, and can probably do more in a situation.  Houston hired Bill O'Brien, who has no NFL head coaching experience.  I just don't get how these teams continue to hire  people that don't have any prior experience in the position that they are getting. Wouldn't you want someone that had a proven track record of some sort?  It's stupid if you ask me.  So that leaves Minnesota and Detroit as the last two teams on the coaching search.  If you are Detroit, and you pass on this guy, you will probably regret it more than anything. The Lions would be perfect, with all the talent they already have on offense for Wisenhunt to play with.  I think he would step in and immediately have that team turned around.  I don't understand why they have't hired him already, because I'd get this guy in a heartbeat.  Pick him up.  You will be more than glad that you did.

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

NFL WILD CARD PLAY-OFF GAME PLAY

** NEW ORLEANS   +2.5   at    PHILADELPHIA

The Saints have never won a road play-off game in their history of a franchise and Drew Brees has never won one in his career as an NFL Quarterback.  Well, there is a first time for everything, and it's not like this team and QB are not capable of doing so. The last road play-off game, at the 49ers two years ago, the Saints started off slow and had one of their top RB's, Pierre Thomas, knocked out of the game early.  Drew Brees and the Saints got it going in the second half, and were up very late in the fourth quarter, but just couldn't make a key stop in the end.  Three years ago they went to Seattle, one of the toughest places to play, hobbling and playing with their sixth RB, and playing their third game in 11 days.  They were in that game till the very end as well, and we all know what happened late to end that one.  The earliest one was Payon's first year, in the NFC Championship game in '06, when they got blown out by the Bears, but they had no business even being in that game.  I think they really are due to win just one.  This year they are playing a team that probably shouldn't even be in the play-offs, because if they didn't play in their terrible division, they would probably be 8-8, or maybe even worse.  They only beat one good team this year, and that was the Cardinals at home, who missed the play-offs.  So, they have beaten no play-off teams, and were just average at home, finishing with a 4-4 record.  Let's not forget that the Saints have struggled on the road against teams that had stout D lines, such as the Jets, Rams, Seahawks, and Panthers, because their offensive line couldn't hold up.  They allowed 6 sacks at Carolina and could have and should have still won.  The Eagles do not have a stout defensive line and I do see the Saints being able to get pressure on Nick Foles, as well.  Plus, Philly has holes in their defense, especially the secondary, and I think Sean Payton will have no trouble at all finding ways to exploit them.

PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 31  EAGLES  23