Thursday, November 10, 2016

NFL POWER PLAY

                          REFUND SUNDAY

Due to my last big play I gave being a total failure, I am here to make up for it.  This next play I am giving is a guarantee.  I will refund your ticket if it loses.  Show me something that showed you bet, and up to a certain amount, I will pay for.  If you were following me all year through my package and taking just the plays I've given, you would still be up a decent amount.  I do want to make up for a loss, that was supposed to be my biggest play all year, though.  Take this and I guarantee it.  I'm that confident.

NEW ENGLAND -7.5  vs   SEATTLE

Once again, I will say that the Hawks are really not that good.  They'll probably end up 9-6-1, and that's in a sad division and crappy conference this year.  This is a game they will definitely lose.  Not only do they lose, but it will be kinda ugly, and I see it as a wake up call.  For one, they are on a long trip on a short week.  They are also missing Bennett, still, who is probably their best defensive player.  Chancellor may be out too.  Regardless, the Patriots are just way better, and they are coming off a bye and will be more than ready for this rematch, since Superbowl 49.  As watery as the league is this season, I think the Patriots are a great team, and I can see them going 15-1.  They probably won't end up less than 14-2.

PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS 31  SEAHAWKS 10

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

2016 $$$$$$*****PLAY OF THE YEAR******$$$$$$

This piece here is my formal business letter to all prospective clients for the future Mo$$VegaS Sports service site, that we hope to have up real soon.  As soon as next season, so for now all the plays I give are free.  I am on trial here to earn your business.  I have a couple clients I am currently servicing, whom have trusted in my knowledge.  One doesn't even have to know football, and just let me guide you to a winning season of profit at the end.  My mission is to provide service to all of your football prognosticating needs.  In other words, I'm going to give you quality football plays, mostly NFL, some college, that have a high percentage chance of winning.  I will also give free picks, here and there, for those who buy the season package.  I will also give free basketball picks, college and pro, to all members, but not too much, because as I said, I want to sell quality picks.  I want to instill the most value that I can into the customers time and money.  Starting off, I will guarantee that I make you at least as much as the season costs, and if not it's a full refund.  Now, that's a little bit about my business, so let me tell you a little bit about me.  I'm Brian Moss.  I was born and raised right outside of New Orleans, and I also lived in Vegas for a couple, few years after Hurricane Katrina.  I have an extensive background in sales and hospitality, but I like to consider my occupation as a hustler.  What I mean by that is that I do whatever it takes to bring home the bacon crisp, ya feel me?  Now I moved back home after my time in Vegas, because I wasn't prepared to make it professionally, yet, and I needed to be closer to family and where I was from again, at the time.  I have been handicapping NFL and college football since the season of '95.  I was looking at spreads in '94 and watching games, and really just trying to figure it out.  Anyway I have a lot of experience and I know where to turn when the money is going to come in.  Now I'm not telling you I will win every play I give you, because I wouldn't be being honest.  These aren't locks I'm selling.  These are plays that have a very good chance to win.  That is why I am working off commissions.  If I don't make you anything, then I don't make anything  The customer is the bread and butter of my business and will always come first.  I want to service each one with honesty, integrity and the same consistency as every client, or prospect.  You do something special for the company, then we're going to do something very special for you.

So, on to the service.  For those who really follow me and really know what I do should know that I am 12-3-2 in NFL picks this year.(That includes all plays)  Money Plays are 9-5-1 overall(That's college and pro)  I don't expect anyone to know these actual numbers, but feel free to go look them up from picks I post.  This play that I'm giving today is my biggest play of the year.  I usually say to take all of what you were going to load on all other plays, and just put it on this one play.  I say double that for this one.  I also want you to put something affordable on the MoneyLine.  On to the matchup, I think LSU is really the only team that has as many players, with as much speed and athleticism, as Alabama does.  The Tide do look like world beaters, and spread killers right now, but they do still have a true freshman QB.  I'd say they've beat some good teams, but do any of those teams have the kind of level of talent that the Tigers have?  No way.  If you can't already tell how much that idiot coach was holding them back after 3 games, 3 good wins and 3 school records broken, then you definitely will know it after this game.  Nick Saban said he looks at LSU as a 4-0 team, which if they didn't get caught up in their emotions last November, they would be, with a different coach.  I do want to say that I have messed up in the past going against Saban and the Tide.  You won't win much backing their oppositions ATS, but when I've taken LSU over them I am 3-0.  That doesn't mean much, but what I am saying is that when I thought Bama would get upset by Tennessee, I took a serious risk and failed.  I saw in that game that the Vols were just not that good, and that the Tide really are, but I learned from my mistake.  I should have known that the Vols don't get the kind of talent that can come close to beating Alabama.  LSU does have this kind of talent.  Not to mention, they have the best player in the land, Fournette, who is an absolute beast.  He's the best college RB I think I've ever seen.  This year he gets to play Bama, being set up for success.  He won't be running into a wall of 9 defenders.  I think they will run out of the shotgun and spread em out , and even put Guice on the field with him.  "Remember when you did something bad when you were little, and your sister would say OOOOHH you in trouble, well Alabama Crimson Tide, OOOHHH you in trouble" - Michael Irving.  But really, good luck stopping that, when you've got 3 good WR's that are big, physical and fast.  The Tide's starting CB E. Jackson is out too, which only hurts.  I think Jalen Hurts is a real good player and is an outstanding runner, but Death Valley on a Saturday night is a hostile environment that he can't even fathom, at this point.  With as good as the LSU CB's are, I think he will throw 2 INT's.  I think another huge factor in this game will be the experience and team chemistry that the Tigers have, and the fact that Bama really doesn't have all that much.  I really can't wait to watch what I think will be the best CFB game all year.  So I'm laying it all on the table here.  I'm anti-upping my chips.  Everyone that wants in, get in.  Everyone that wants out, GET OUT!  LSU is beating this team Saturday.  Load up on the points and put something on the ML and enjoy!

***** LSU +7  vs  ALABAMA
** Moneyline +250

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

NFL Plays

It's week 8 already! I think I have a decent idea of what's going on. I think ya take Atlanta to bounce back at home this week vs the Packers. Atlanta still has that dynamic offense, but leaky defense. They made a bad decision in OT last week to lose by 3 to San Diego, and let's hope they've learned from it. Last year they had a major meltdown and just faded completely in the end.  Now they have lost two in a row, but by one point on the road to one of the top teams, and then to the Chargers who are definitely the best 3-4 team in the league. I know their defense is shaky, but their offense is great. I really do think Atlanta is much better this year, due to the play of Matt Ryan. Last year he was just kind of bad, and now this year he has gone ape shit with stats.   Green Bay is very injured, and just not that good this year, and I will continue to say that, most probably.

** ATLANTA -2.5(-135) vs GREEN BAY
I'm buying it down, and I suggest that, or maybe ML, for insurance

Predicted Score : Falcons 38 Packers 27

I also think you load on New England this week at the Bills.  The Pats just got shut out at home this year, for the first time in a long while, by the Bills. Now, the Patriots always seem to get revenge on their division foes, especially Buffalo. In this game, they really will be seeking to shed blood, and now they have Brady playing, and not a third string rookie QB. Watch out!  I could see New England in a shut out this time. I've seen that story before

 *** NEW ENGLAND -6 at BUFFALO

Predicted Sxore ; Pats 30 Bills 17

Thursday, October 6, 2016

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

** LOUISIANA TECH +3(-130)   VS   WESTERN KENTUCKY

I'm still trying to figure out why La Tech is  an underdog at home in this match.  I guess it must be that they have given up a lot of points and W. Kentucky hasn't really, and they play better defense than Tech, usually.  Well, the Bulldogs can play in defensive battles, because they lost a 21-20 nail biter to Arkansas earlier in the season.  I know they blew a rather late lead, but they're not supposed to be able to win a road game like that.  You know what "they" say.  If it seems too obvious, then stay away, or go the other way.  As much as I see it as going with the obvious, I just can't find a reason to not like the Bulldogs at home tonight.  Especially, because the last time they played the Hilltoppers at home 2 years ago, they stomped them 59-10, and in last year's match in W. Kentucky, they lost in a shootout by 3.  It seems as if this game could be a lot like that one, so I will take the 3 just in case La Tech can't pull it out.  I really think they win, though.  Another nice fact, is that W. Kentucky has lost one game at home in five years, so they are really good there, and not as much on the road, and the Bulldogs barely lost last year.  I think Tech is a little better this year, and they have given up a lot of points, but it was to some very high scoring teams.  As I said, they hung in a defensive battle in Arkansas.  The last home game the Hilltoppers lost was to Vanderbilt, and we know that's not really an SEC team.  This should be a real good game.  I will be watching this and not the weak NFL game that will be on too.  GO BULLDOGS!

Thursday, February 4, 2016

SUPER BOWL 50 PREDICTION & PLAY

****  CAROLINA  ML(-235)    VS     DENVER

Well, they kept saying it last year, and they keep saying again this year, that defense wins championships.  Defense alone does not, though.  The better defense lost again last year, and that has happened several times in this era, because the game is more about offense than it has ever been.  I will admit you have to play good defense, but a great balance is the true formula.  All I hear is about how great the Broncos defense is.  While I will agree it is the best in the league, but I don't think it is all that great.  They gave up 18 PPG.  That is actually only a point less than the Panthers, too.  It might even be a little deceiving, because the Panthers got up on people early in a lot of games and then played a lot more conservatively and gave up garbage points in some games.  I think these two defenses are pretty equal, but I will give Denver the edge, because they have the better secondary.  I think the defensive lines are pretty equal and Carolina has the better LB/playmaker in Luke Keuchly.  This guy is the best LB I've seen in ages, and can do a lot on the field.  Von Miller is more of just a pass rusher.  The best pass rusher in the league, too, but still just more of a pass rusher.  I think the Broncos can definitely slow the Panthers down, but Carolina has an X factor in Cam Newton.  This guy is just such a rare physical talent that is hard for any defense to stop.  I was doubting during the season, but I am ready to admit that he is the MVP.  This guy had a great year - 35 TD's 10 INTs passing and we all know he's the best rushing QB, as well.  This team has rushed for 100 yards or more in 31 straight games, and that is mostly because of Cam.  I don't know what's more valuable than that.  If he gets hurt early in the game, they have no shot, whatsoever.  Now, that is something worthy of being an MVP.
I don't think people are giving the Panther's D enough credit, because I think it's almost, if not just as good as Denver's.  Denver's is also designed mostly to stop the pass.  They just beat a Patriots team with 3 starters missing from the O line and no running game at all.  They barely won by 2 and so many are so impressed.  I'm not.  I also think that Denver's offense going up against Carolina's D may be an issue.  They do have a pretty good running game, although nothing special.  Their WR's haven't performed too well this season, but are capable of playing at a very high level.  Peyton is now limited in what he can do, but this is his last game, so there could be that final surge.  I would actually take this Panthers D against Peyton 10 years ago.  I know that sounds crazy, but they can pressure him and have a good secondary with a great, playmaking LB.  Peyton struggled, back in the day, with real good defenses like this.  They got him out of the pocket and he was ineffective.  Ask the Pats of 03-04 and the Steelers of '05.  The Chargers just owned him, too.  I think that just may have been him choking big time.  This year is a little different, because he's getting rid of the ball quick as usual, but he is just managing the game with shorter passes.  I still think they can harass him and it won't be easy against this defense.  This Panther team seems special with the way they have been playing.  They have been dominating and have won 17 games.  They should be favored by what they are.  I think this game could be really close and come down to a last second FG 23-20.  So, I am taking the Money Line.  Enjoy!

PREDICTED SCORE : PANTHERS 27  BRONCOS 20

Thursday, January 21, 2016

NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY PLAY

7 Point Teaser Play :

NEW ENGLAND +4 @ DENVER

ARIZONA +10 @ CAROLINA

I think both of these games should be very competitive and pretty close. The way I look at the AFC is this is classic revenge for the Pats. Brady and Belichek have been brilliant in those types of games, too.  The first game in Denver on November 29, 2015, the pats got off to a fast start and were up 14-0 in like the early second quarter. Then they lost Edelman, which was part of their fire power, and the Broncos barely won inOT. They have all their WR's on deck now, and they get to play Peyton, which limits the Broncos offensively, actually. I say the Pats definitely get this win
Predicted Score : Pats 24 Broncos 20

On to the NFC, I think this could be a bad match up for the Panthers. If the Cardinals can contain the running game and force Cam to throw, that could mean trouble for Carolina. Well, that's easier said than done. The Panthers defense is their best attribute and may just be too much.  I do think that Arizona's WR's are a mismatch for just about anyone, especially with the level Fitz is playing on right now. I think they can definitely make some big plays vs that Panthers secondary. This is a tough game  to call and should be great. I'm just hoping that Palmer's shaky performance last week was just him being nervous getting over that first playoff game win hump. He did still throw for over 300 yards and 3 TDs in a win.  It better have just been cold feet, because it won't get any easier going against Carolina's defensive front and Luke Keuchly. I think this may just be the Cardinals year. They have been great all year with good talent on both sides of the ball. Their secondary is great, even without Mathieu, and I think could force Cam into some mistakes. You just may see Pat Peterson take a pick to the house for real this weekend.  I hope for an Arizona win, which is very possible, and I think it should definitely be a down to the wire type of game.

Thursday, January 7, 2016

NFL MONEY PLAY

***** SEATTLE   -5.5    at    MINNESOTA

Once again I did not hit too many big homers in CFB this year, but I didn't swing too much, either.  So, I am ready to get back to what I do best, which is identify value in NFL games. This is my favorite time of year.  I'm not going to start to tell you what my record is in may last 2 NFL post seasons, because it doesn't really matter at this point.  You are only as good as your last play, which is going to be this one.  The Hawks are so hot and just playing some great football at the perfect time, which was mostly late this season, and is their best all year.  Even when they had their early struggles this year, they were still a pretty good team.  They're getting Lynch back at the perfect time, and look like they are ready to earn a third straight NFC title.  It also makes you think.  They are down to their third string RB and are still playing as well as they are.  Wilson has been Tom Brady like.  Don't believe that, then go look at his season stats or go watch any of his last 5 or 6 games.  The Vikings have been a pretty good team this year, and I think home playoff teams usually fair pretty well in these wildcards, but the Vikings don't have much for the NFL playoffs.  Their QB is way too young and undeveloped and unexperienced.  Last time they played Seattle, Peterson didn't do shit, because he usually doesn't against a tough stout defense.  I think this will be closer than the 38-7 smash down in Minnesota, early last month.  I also think that the Seahawks basically own this team, because it is a bad matchup for Minny.  I think Seattle could be that low seed team that catches fire, and wins it all, which we have seen happen several times in the last half decade or so.  There is no way Seattle doesn't win this game, and by about 10-14 points.  I'd put a little something on Seattle to win the Super Bowl at 5.5/1.  Why not?  Like I said, we have seen this happen before.  I like them or Arizona, so it's easy for me to see the Hawks win another one.

PREDICTED SCORE :  SEAHAWKS  27  VIKINGS 13