Wednesday, January 15, 2014

NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY

                                       NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

                                    SEATTLE   vs   SAN FRANCISCO

So the Seahawks and the 49ers will face off for the third time this year on Sunday at CentryLink Field in Seattle, where the 49ers were outscored 71-16 in the last two meetings there.  One of those was last season, and the 49ers did not have WR Anquon Boldin, who's been big for the Niners this year, and their best weapon, TE Vernon Davis, was knocked out early.  In a more recent game played there, which was earlier this year, San Fran was without WR Michael Crabtree.  The Seahawks didn't just beat them, though, they dominated them.  Those two match ups were really different, and it looked a lot different when they played in San Francisco about a month ago, and the Niners won.  Seattle was coming off of a short week and an emotionally draining win on prime time vs the Saints, and the Niners barely won, 19-17.  If there was any team that could go into this building in January and beat this Hawks team, it would have to be a team that knows them from playing them twice every year, and a team built like San Francisco.  With that being said, I still think it's hard to go against Seattle.  They have the formula for a championship team.  A smart QB that doesn't make many mistakes, and can make big plays, a stout running game and great defense.  Russel Wilson only had 103 passing yards in the Divisional round game vs N.O., and was only asked to throw 18 times, because that was all they needed to win.  N.O. also had the second best pass defense in the league, while Frisco brings in the 7th ranked pass D in the league.  I think Russel Wilson was made for big games like this and will be ready to make some big time plays, and I see him having like a 17 for 25 passing with 250 yards type of day.  It won't help the Niners much that this will be their fourth straight road game in 4 weeks, and after they reach Seattle they would have traveled over 13,000 miles in just 4 weeks.  It's going to be real hard to have more gas than the other team.  I'm not saying they definitely can't, but it won't be easy.  If you are looking for a tough, physical and hard hitting game, there's probably not too many I've seen that will live up to this one.

PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS  17   49ERS  16

                                    AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

                               ** NEW ENGLAND  +4.5   at   DENVER

Here we go again, with these two future Hall of Fame QB's going head to head in a championship game.  I think this is going to be a very close and down to the wire football game.  What Bill Belichek and Brady have done with this team this year, with all the injuries they've had, is just remarkable.  Many will say that Brady has been off this year, and maybe he hasn't looked that great at times, but he was also playing with basically nothing at WR when his top 2 were out with injuries.  He still managed to throw 25 TDs and only 11 picks.  That's only one more INT than Manning, and yea it's less than half the amount of TDs, but he also doesn't have the receiving core that Peyton has.  I really do think that this may be the best WR tandem that I've ever seen.  If not the best, then definitely one of the best of all time, plus they've got a good running game too.  Speaking of running games, it's also going to help Brady's chances in this game with the 240 lb bulldozer, in Blount, that he has to hand off to.  I think the Pats have a great chance, as always, to beat Manning and the Broncos, but being that it's on the road, and Denver has a game on them, I'm going to pick the Broncos.  I do think it's going to be very close, and I don't see Denver winning by more than 3 or 4 points.  So for you guys who want to make some profit, I think I have a great valued play for you.  Play a two team 7.5 point teaser, which will be like -140 juice, on N.E. and Seattle.  It will be: Hawks +4, Pats +12.  I love it!  And Brady probably has the flu, because he missed practice today, and may miss it tomorrow, but it won't be the first time.  He is a vet and I expect him to be 100% when he steps onto the field on Sunday.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS 34   PATS 31

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