NFL PLAY

* WASHINGTON. -3.  AT. OAKLAND

ALABAMA vs OLE MISS ATS

So this week's match up between the Rebels of Mississippi and the Crimson Tide of Bama seems to be one of the most interesting of the college football weekend.  Now, who would have known that going into this year? Anyone?  Ole Miss plus the points couldn't be a hotter play, either.  The betting line started off at Ole Miss plus 17.  For those who don't know, when a wager is placed on a certain side, the line goes up or down, whatever the case would be to favor the opposing side.  The ole Miss line has gone all the way down to 15, meaning a lot of money has gone on Ole miss to cover.  A lot of people will tell you to go against the betting public, because they usually lose.  That is pretty far from the actual truth, and I don't care about percentages in this case.  What are you going to do, bet all the games where you see the line move?  That's nuts and kind of dumb sometimes.  I mean, why can't you have a mind of your own?  What these little squirrels don't realize is that sometimes "the public" consists of very sharp bettors who bet on sports and make a very fine living doing so.  Sometimes these guys put substantial amounts of money on a game and it moves the line a lot.  I'm talking millions and millions total of money bet by sharps on one single game.  Now that's how you make money son!  I called Ole Miss as my sleeper in the SEC and I thought going into this season  that they could give Bama a tight game, maybe even a scare.  I think Ole Miss's offense looks a little better than I expected and their defense is going to get better, I believe.  It could start this week because they have an extreme challenge in their way.  I'm sticking with my theory that Ole Miss is a real competitor in the SEC and college football all together.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PLAY

** OLE MISS  +17   at   ALABAMA

Whenever a team gets a bye week, it can always be used as a slight advantage because of the extra time off for rest and preparation.  When facing a certain animal, such as the Crimson Tide, it's almost imperative to have it.  Well, not every team gets it, except for Lucky Les Miles and the LSU Tigers, and now Ole Miss has had their bye before going to Alabama this Saturday night.  The Rebels hung with the Tide last year for almost three whole quarters, and were leading.  That was last year, and I think the Rebels have a good bit more now.  As for Alabama, their defense doesn't look like its as disciplined as last year.  Ole Miss' offense is a lot to deal with now with the addition of true freshman WR Laquon Treadwell, and the improved play by duel threat QB Bo Wallace.  I believe the Rebels will put up some points here and lead in the  first half, like last year.  I see this being a scare for Bama, hell, I wouldn't be all that surprised if the Rebels pulled off an upset.  Although, I won't count on that.


PREDICTED SCORE : CRIMSON TIDE  34   REBELS 27

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICK

* KANSAS CITY  +3   at   PHILADELPHIA

I'm going to pick this team again for a third straight week for several reasons.  One is because Andy Reid may seem to know a little bit about the team they are playing.  I also think the Chiefs defense is good, especially their defensive line, who will get after Vick in this game.  I think he may just look more like the QB we saw play last season.  I expect at least two or three turnovers from the Eagles.  The Chiefs do have some key players banged up, who are questionable, but will probably play, so not too much action here.  Kansas City will start getting the respect they deserve if they can get this one on the road.  I do think Reid will want to put it to this team and the whole city, and I think he just might be able to.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHIEFS  24  EAGLES 20

NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAY

** CINCINNATI  -6   vs   PITTSBURGH

The Bengals are looking to bounce back after their opening week loss at Chicago last Sunday, and I see them doing just that.  The Steelers have pretty much owned them for a long time now, but this team doesn't seem to have much of an identity on offense and their defense is pretty old.  Pittsburgh is also missing several players for this game, so this is a great opportunity for Cincy to really put it to them, and I think it's safe to assume they desperately want to.  I like the Bengals big here.

PREDICTED SCORE : BENGALS 27  STEELERS 10

NFL WEEK 2 PICKS

* N.Y. JETS  +11.5   at    NEW ENGLAND

The Patriots defense has not seen very much at all on Jets QB Geno Smith, and that could be to N.Y.'s advantage on Thursday night.  It also may help that the Patriots won't have those big TE's on the field or WR Danny Amendola, who is much like Wes Welker.  Rex Ryan and his defense will probably be licking their chops, considering most of the two games per season they've played this team they've had to worry about those positions for the Patriots.  Well, not tonight, and their new QB could make some plays to throw the Patriots off.  I see this being a close game.

*** KANSAS CITY  ML(-160)   vs    DALLAS

When the Chiefs have a good squad, Arrowhead Stadium can be one of the toughest places to play.  I think their defense is going to be good and be able to force some turnovers and they happen to be hosting a team who can dish them out.  Plus, Andy Reid knows a little bit about beating Tony Romo.  Chiefs RB Jamal Charles is questionable, but will probably play.  Maybe we could see some of the rookie from Arkansas, Knile Davis, whom I think could carry his weight.  I believe this will be a very close game but I say Kansas City starts 2-0 this year.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHIEFS 27  COWBOYS 24

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PICK

* UTAH -3  vs    OREGON ST

I think the Utes are really on the upswing this year and I see the opposite for the Beavers.  Oregon St lost to Eastern Washington in the opener and beat Hawaii by 19.  This Utah team will be seeking revenge from last season, which was a good one for the Beavers.  I see this one being a dud.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL MONEY PLAY

**** ALABAMA  -7.5   at    TEXAS A&M

This Aggie football team is coming into this game highly rated, and they probably should be, but I think they are kind of due for a reality check.  A humbling for their own good.  Well, they are in luck cause they play a Crimson Tide team seeking revenge with an extra week to prepare.  Saban with extra time can be so dangerous sometimes it's not fair for the opposition. I'm sure they've had this game circled since the first day of spring training.  The Aggies are very difficult to stop, but Bama will be so prepared and focused that Manziel won't know what hit 'em.  Plus, the way A&M has played defense so far, this may be a long day.  They gave up 500 yards to a Confernce USA team, and that's all that needs to be said.  I like this kid Johnny Football, whom I think is extremely gifted but he's also extremely young and now swell-headed for the time being.  It is hard to not be a little conceited when you are very good at something naturally, like Manziel.  He will be given a dose of reality along with his whole team this weekend, I think.  Alabama has lost 3 home games in 5 years and revenged the previous 2.  They covered the spread 1-1 in those games.  LSU,  last year on the road, was one of them.  That reminds me of last year's match up between these two, which Bama played a week after playing LSU and then having to prepare for an offense they had not ever really seen.  Well, they've seen it and experienced it in a difficult spot, and were down 21-0 early, and were still able to come back for a late lead.  I hope you all remember the end. This year will be different in College Station.

PREDICTED SCORE : CRIMSON TIDE 45   AGGIES  24

2013 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS RECAP

I just watched PTI on ESPN and heard Tony Kornheiser talking about how everyone believes the Chiefs are going to be this big sleeper.  "It's not guaranteed"  he said.  "They start off on the road."  Well, no shit it's not guaranteed, nothing is you bald, clown looking cocksucker!  Yeah, they are going on the road to play a team, who has a bad front office, average to below average QB's, and a fan base who could give a shit less about it's team.  He kept saying that they only won 2 games last year.  What a putz.  I seem to remember the 2010 Chiefs, whom I called a sleeper prior to the opener, going from 4-12 in '09 to 10-6 with a AFC Wildcard spot.  That was with the same QB and coach.  When you have a different coach and QB, you pretty much have a whole different team.  They won only 4 games in '09 and Cassel was the QB and had an average year, then went on to have a 27 TD 7 INT season in '10.  I'm not sure how the hell that happened.  He completely stunk up the place last season.  Alex Smith is going to come in and probably have his best NFL season yet, and it will be because Andy Reid knows how to run an offense.  This guy is a great coach and will make a huge difference.  So to Tony Kornheiser and any other people that think the Chiefs won't be vastly improved in '13, you don't know shit about this league.

2013 NFL PREVIEW

Many of us Real football fans, like myself, are feeling that itch to the extreme right now.  If you are this kind of fan then you know what itch I'm talking about.  I'm referring to the fans who believe that missing football Sunday is like skipping out on church.  So you all may have seen the power rankings for the NFL.  This here is my take on how I see things panning out this year. I think the NFC will be a power conference this year and it starts with the final two play-off teams last year.  San Francisco will still have one of the league's best defenses and they picked up Boldin who is money.  This is really going to come in handy, due to Crabtree's season ending injury, although he could still play late in the year.  I think Anquan Boldin came here to win another ring because he knows he can, and be a big part of the reason why.  Atlanta may not pose as fancy of a record as last year, or start as fast, but I think the additions of Osi and Steven Jackson were of great quality for their needs to put them over that edge to win it.  Steven Jackson has had 8 straight 1,000 yard rushing years and has only been to the play-offs once, but never played for a winning team.  That's right, and I believe a player like him will make the most of this season, because he knows he may not get another chance like this.  They have the best WR core in the league in my opinion, and now have him as an option.  That's kind of scary.  It is also about being healthy and hot at the right time now days in the NFL, so watch out in January.  The Saints look like they are probably going to be unstoppable on offense, once again.  Their defense is a question mark for me.  They need to rush the passer, so Cameron Jordan and Akiem Hicks need to have good years, and they could, especially Jordan.  They also need someone to step up at the safety position and force some turnovers and hit the quarterback.  If that happens, watch out, because they will be dangerous as hell.  Detroit is another team who could have an offense very difficult to stop and with an above average defense, could also do a little damage in this conference.  Green Bay should at least have more balance this year with rookie RB's Eddie Lacy and Jonathan Franklin, who had a monster year last year with UCLA.  I still don't see their defense being too good, so even with the best QB they may just not have enough.  Over to the AFC, I will start with Denver being the most dangerous when healthy, and I think will probably end up making the Superbowl.  Then again, there is always going to be that thought of how may times teams with Peyton Manning have come up short when expected to win it all.  I'm even going back to his college days.  Go do some research on it.  I really could see the Bengals winning their division and making it to the conference final.  I still think the Patriots will be really good, despite their big losses.  I think Belichek will change it up a little this year and be more of a ground and pound offense, much like their glory days in '03-'04.  They have a three-headed monster in Ridley, Vareen and now LeGarrette Blount, who is a big, bulldozing, goal line type back.  Houston will still be a leader in their division and the conference, but I just don't have much faith in their QB to seal the deal.  Andrew Luck and his Colts are still going to be competetive, but I also don't see 11-5 again, but you never know with how good that kid Luck is.  So I'll go ahead and give a little prediction here.

AFC  Wildcard Prediction:

Bengals over Steelers

Texans over Colts

AFC Divisional Round Prediction:

Bengals over Patriots

Broncos over Texans

AFC Championship Game Prediction

Broncos over Bengals


NFC Wildcard Prediction:

I sat down and tried to break this shit down, but this conference is going to be so damn tough and competitive I really just can't predict that much.  There will be key injuries for sure so I guess we will wait and see.  I do know there might be some 10-6 teams that miss the post season, just like last year, hell, 11-5 missing wouldn't surprise me.  I think Detroit could make some noise this year, and the Giants could be back to play-off form.  Dallas has a chance to make it but just expect Tony Romo to come up short in a big, clutch situation. Once again it could be who is most healthy at this time, and lord only knows who that could be.


NFC Championship Game:

San Francisco over Atlanta


Niners win it all and Anquan Boldin could be in the Hall of Fame.  That is all for tonight...

NFL WEEK 1 PLAYS

At last, here we are for week 1 of the 2013 NFL season!  I've waited a while now and been cooking up something in the summer as usual.  If you follow me then you know that I like week 1, which I always have for many years.  So let the games begin...

** CINCINNATI  +3   at   CHICAGO

I expect the Bengals to be even more solid this year due to their overall team depth and the continuing progress of their QB Andy Dalton.  So, don't be surprised to see this team go far and compete for the AFC title this year.

PREDICTED SCORE : BENGALS 20  BEARS 17

**TAMPA BAY (ML)  at   N.Y. JETS

I do expect the Jets to put up a fight in their home opener, but let's face it, their offense is going to struggle this year due to a lack of weapons and poor QB play.  At least they acquired RB Chris Ivory from N.O. who could have a good year.  I see Tampa Bay's defense being much improved and playing stingy this year.  I think having CB Derrelle Revis will have a big part to do with their defense being better, plus, there is some talent here.  The Bucs just may be able to make that NFC Wildcard in a very tough division because of their defense.  I'm going ahead and taking the Money Line for my own security.

PREDICTED SCORE : BUCS 20  JETS 10

*** DETROIT  -4.5  vs  MINNESOTA

I think this Lions team is going to be good in 2013, and you may just have to watch out for them in the NFC North division.  I think their offense is going to be a high octane machine.  They have a three-headed monster in the backfield with RB's Mikel Leshore and Joique Bell and now Reggie Bush, whom is going to make this offense dynamic, in my opinion.  They lost a lot of games last year, but played in a bunch of close ones, so they should definitely be back and better than ever.

PREDICTED SCORE : LIONS 38  VIKINGS 21

***** KANSAS CITY  -3.5  at  JACKSONVILLE

I will start by saying that the Jaguars fans do not support their team the way an NFL team needs to be and I think they should just move this team already.  I'd say Oklahoma City because they would definitely support it and are probably dying to have a team.  Their front office has been poor, even though they just got a new GM.  They still have a so-so QB in Blane Gabbert.  The guy pretty much sucks. Not too much improvement on defense, which was terrible last year.  They still have MoJo, who has been injured and not getting any younger.  One of their top WR's, Justin Blackmon will be sitting this game due to a 4 game suspension.  As for the Chiefs, I see them coming out strong this year and having a play-off caliber team in 2013.  For my followers, you may know they are my sleeper team.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHIEFS 30  JAGUARS 17