Friday, September 26, 2014

NFL WEEK 4

                                   NFL WEEK 4 PLAY

** TAMPA BAY   +7.5   at   PITTSBURGH

So I'm picking the Bucs, and some people think it's crazy, but I couldn't give two fucks.  A little rhyme for you assholes.  Now I had a bad strike out last night with the Skins, and I'll just say it.  It was stupid.  I should have thought it out better and known to stay away.  There's no use in getting discouraged, and now I have lost 6 straight NFL picks, after a strong start of 4-1.  I'm still not discouraged.  Ups and downs happen.  You can't win every game and you can't have good streaks all the time.  If so, I'd probably be on an island somewhere picking games.  Even the top performers have a few bad days or even weeks.  The good ones always bounce back strong, and I intend to do that.  I am making up for last night's loss with this play.  That's right this one.  I know, it seems insane to some, but Vegas seems to think this is a good spot for Tampa to play a really tough game and come close to winning.  That's why the spread is 7.5 and not 10.5.  Given the circumstances, I'm right there with Vegas.  Tampa is starting a new QB this week, who should have started from day 1.  Glennon really aint bad.  He's very young, and his experience, or lack there of, had him on the bench, but this kid played very decent as a rookie last year.  He played well in a Seattle last year, almost taking down the Hawks, and that was a great D, as we all know.  I don't think too much of this Steelers D, and another huge factor, is that RB, Doug Martin will be back.  This is a very desperate team, and that can be dangerous sometimes, in this league.  Lovie's Tampa 2 defense is a little outdated, but I still think he's a fairly solid coach, and his team will be ready.

PREDICTED SCORE : 27-24   EITHER WAY


* GREEN BAY -2   at    CHICAGO

The Bears are off of a short week, and Cutler has been owned by the Pack.  The Bears are kind of one dimensional right now, and I think GB will run the ball to keep their offense off the field.  This is also a must win for the Cheeseheads.  Ya gotta like Green Bay in this one.

NEW ORLEANS     at    DALLAS

I know the Saints have not been good on the road, and their defense has been anything, but great, but they did not allow a TD last week.  That is something to hold your head up for.  Yeah, yeah, it was at home and against the Vikings.  Let's not forget how much they've owned this Cowboys team.  Dallas is better than most thought they would be, so far, but this is the Cowboys we're talking about.  Murray is a great back, and they're using him well, but this is still Tony Romo and Jason Garrett.  Their defense is a little better, but it's still bad.  I don't know if I'd touch this but I'd definitely put the Saints on a teaser at +4, if I had one.

PREDICTED SCORE :   SAINTS 24   COWBOYS 21

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

**  WASHINGTON   -3    vs    N.Y. GIANTS

The G-Men finally got it going, it seems, this past Sunday vs what most people thought was a pretty good team, in the Texans.  Eli is a veteran who was playing at home in a must win, and N.Y.'s defense got to face a glorified back-up QB, in Fitzpatrick.  Well, this week they will have to face a guy they don't have much film on, and has played just great so far.  I think Kirk Cousins still has a lot to prove, because even he said it's still RG3's job to lose, and I believe he will lose it.  This is sort of a must win for the Skins, who are now 1-2, but for the most part, Cousins.  Heck, all of these games he gets to start are must wins for him.  They are playing at home and they've been good against the run, which should help them in this game.  This line has gone up to -3.5, so it might be smart to buy it down to -3, like I have done, for some extra insurance.

PREDICTED SCORE :  REDSKINS 27   GIANTS  20

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PLAY

* TENNESSEE   +17    at    GEORGIA

I just see 17 points  probably being too many for a rivalry like this.  The Vols are improved this year on both sides of the ball, and I believe will be able to put up some points on this Georgia defense, which has not been impressive.  I also like the fact that Tennessee is coming off of their bye and needs to bounce back after a 34-10 loss to Oklahoma.

Monday, September 22, 2014

WEEK 3 MNF NFL PREDICTION

N.Y. JETS   -2     vs     CHICAGO

I think this Jets front seven is pretty darn impressive, which features a very monstrous and aggressive front four.  I know N.Y. has some starters out in the secondary, which could cause some concern, going against the Bears' receiving core, but I think Cutler is going to get harassed.  The Jets are posing the league's best running game, while Chicago is giving up a league high in rushing.  I think that may cause some problems for the Bears, while I see Geno being able to make some plays, as long as he can avoid the Chicago pass rush, which he should, with his mobility.  I also see it being a challenge for the Bears, being it that this is their second straight consecutive road game, and that's on prime time.  This road trip includes a lot of traveling, which, in my opinion, is always an advantage for the opposing home team.

PREDICTED SCORE : JETS  27   BEARS  16

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

** MARYLAND   -1     at     SYRACUSE

I don't really think much of this Orangemen team this year, and I think it's about time for their first loss.  The Terrapins are a pretty talented team and I think they will bounce back strong after a tough 3 point loss at home last week to W.Virginia.  Take the Terps!

Friday, September 12, 2014

ANOTHER NFL WEEK 2 PLAY

**  DETROIT    +2.5    at    CAROLINA

I really think that the Panthers got lucky last week, with Cam being on the bench.  Derek Anderson completed 70% of his passes for 2 TD's and 0 INT's.  I have a hard time believing Cam Newton would have played that well.  I do not think he will be 100% after his ankle surgery, and he is a slightly above average QB, anyhow.  The Lions' offense looked great Monday night, and I don't care how bad the Giants may be, it was a dominating performance.  They are going to be very difficult to stop this year and I think they keep this thing going on the road this week.

PREDICTED SCORE :  LIONS  24  PANTHERS  17

Thursday, September 11, 2014

NFL WEEK 2 PLAYS

*** ATLANTA  +5   at   CINCINNATI

I think the Falcons are definitely bouncing back this year, like they always have, under Mike Smith with Matt Ryan, after missing the playoffs the previous season.  It was very apparent to me last year, that the reason why they were so bad, was because their players were dropping left and right like flies, due to injuries, throughout the season.  It's called the injury bug.  Matt Ryan is one of this league's best QBs right now and Mike Smith is a very solid coach.  I also think that they have a young, talented and deep O line.  T, Jake Matthews is questionable this week, but the way they looked last week vs a good D line that the Saints have, I trust them this week.  This team has one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL.  Let's not forget that just 2 seasons ago, when they had all hands on deck, they beat the Seahawks in the playoffs.  Now, granted, the Hawks were not as good of a team as they are now, but their defense was still one of the best and the Falcons put up 30 on them.  I really like Atlanta to win this one, and I'm not completely sold on Cincinnati.

PREDICTED SCORE : FALCONS  27   BENGALS  24



* DENVER   -13     vs     KANSAS CITY

The Broncos owned this team last year when they were good.  This year I think the Chiefs are taking a couple steps back, from the players they lost in free agency.  They are getting WR, Dwayne Bowe, back this week from his suspension, but they still lack another WR, and they are already losing key players on defense. I think the Broncos are much improved on the defensive side, which makes them a lot more dangerous

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS  41   CHIEFS  17

                   MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

** INDIANAPOLIS   -3    vs    PHILADELPHIA

I love the way this Colts team, with Andrew Luck, bounces back after a loss.  They are undefeated coming off a loss and they are at home, which helps.  They just lost to a really good team on the road last week.  They also made a great comeback in that game and were really close to tying the game, but just came up short.  I am not sold on Philly and I think their defense will get exposed this week.

PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS  34   EAGLES  24

Monday, September 8, 2014

NFL PLAY

            WEEK 1   MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

* SAN DIEGO   +3    at    ARIZONA

First off, I am not sold on this Arizona team.  Carson Palmer throws to many picks.  PERIOD!  They won't have the injury prone, Mathieu, for tonight, or RB, Andre Ellington.  They lost a good LB, in Karlos Dansby and I really think their schedule wasn't that tough last year.  Believe it or not, even though they played in one of the toughest divisions.   They also had a chance to get into the playoffs, the last game of last year by playing a real team, San Francisco,  and failed big time, by losing by 14.  San Diego has really made some strides.  Yeah they barely got into the post season last year in a weaker conference, but I like how their young defense played in those two play-off games.  Phillip Rivers is really a great QB, and I love their chances this year to be a good, playoff team, again, and to win tonight.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS  26   CARDINALS  20

Sunday, September 7, 2014

TEASER ACTION

     TONIGHT'S MATCH UP

COLTS    @    BRONCOS

TEASE :  COLTS +14.5   OVER  47.5 POINTS

I think this is money!  $$$$$

Thursday, September 4, 2014

2014 NFL KICK-OFF WEEK ONE PLAYS

** CLEVELAND  +6.5   at    PITTSBURGH

I really think the Brown's are going to have a good running game this year, with Tate, who will be playing with a chip on his shoulder, and the high hopeful rookie, Terrance West.  I also think Hoyer can manage the games well, too.  Cleveland had a top 10 defense last year with no offense, basically.  Just think how good they could be this year with an offense that can stay on the field.  They have upgraded at safety with playmaker, Donte Whitner, from the 49ers.  They haven't beat the Steelers in a while, but they have had extra time to prepare for a team, who they play twice a year.  I also think it will be hard for Pittsburgh to prepare for an offense with so many new faces, and a very underrated O line.  I think the Browns just may be a sleeper this year.

PREDICTED SCORE : BROWNS 20     STEELERS 17


** * TAMPA BAY  -1.5   vs    CAROLINA

Speaking of sleepers, this Bucs team could definitely win 9 or 10 games this year.  With the addition of a great defensive mind, in Lovie, and rookie, WR, Mike Evans, it's hard to not open your eyes.  I think Josh McCown is the perfect fit for the run-oriented offense , that Smith likes to run, and I think he'll be a good game manager.  There is talent on offense and defense, which should be good with this coach.  Carolina, on the other hand will have a drop-off this year.  Rookie Kelvin Benjamen will probably be the only threat they have on offense.  Cam's mobility will be affected, early in the season, coming off that major surgery.  You take away that from this guy, and you take away one of his biggest strengths.

PREDICTED SCORE :  BUCCANEERS  19   PANTHERS  14


** INDIANAPOLIS  +7.5   at   DENVER

I really like this Colts team this year.  I think the addition of WR, Hakeem Nicks, could make their offense explosive.  I also think that RB, Trent Richardson, can still be a good player in this league, and that just may start this year.  Andrew Luck is the kind of QB that can carry a team on his shoulders, and he had a tenacious, gutsy bench here.  We saw that when they came back to beat the Chiefs in the playoffs, after being down by a big margin.  I also love the addition of  LB, De'Quell Jackson, from Cleveland.  Watch out for this kid, OLB, Bojern Werner, the second year guy out of Florida St.  I know he has some big shoes to fill, backing up Robert Mathis, but I think he will make his presence know.  As for Denver, I think they will be improved, overall, especially on defense.  Demarcus Ware still has some good football left in him and Aquib Talib is a top corner in the league.  I also think they did well with adding safety, T.J. Ward.  I'm still not sure if they will be good enough to beat Frisco, New Orleans, or Seattle.  They lost Knoshon and he caught a lot of passes, but they have upgraded with Emmanuel Sanders.  I like the Colts chances in this game, and they will be in it down to the wire.

PREDICTED SCORE : 28-27  EITHER WAY

TONIGHT"S MATCH UP

I think the Seahawks will be more than ready for this Packers team tonight.  Percy Harvin is one of the NFL's most dangerous weapons, and maybe they won't be as deep as last year, but they will still have a great defense.  While Green Bay has filled a glaring hole with rookie safety, Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, they will have to have a top 10 D to be a true contender, and I don't see that happening.  If you're thinking the Packers will get revenge for a game they should have won inCentury Link Field two years ago, then think again.  The Hawks are better!  They just won a Superbowl.

PREDICTED SCORE : HAWKS  28  PACKERS 23

TEASER ACTION - SEATTLE +0.5  OVER 41 POINTS