$$$$$--CFB 5STAR MONEY PLAY--$$$$$
***** MICHIGAN ST +10 vs ALABAMA
So here it is, folks, my Play Of The Year! I am going against the almighty Bama, and I realize that people start to cringe when they are advised to do so. I understand the concern, but you will just have to trust me when I tell you that I know what I'm doing. It's almost been a square thing to do, going against Saban and the Tide. Just remember that a lot of square bettors, with no real analytical skills, roll with the tide a lot, because it's the brainless and easy thing to do. I really think the oddsmakers are still not giving the Big 10 Conference any credit, just as they weren't last year. I think this spread should be something like -4.5-6, but go right ahead, Vegas and you so called experts. Don't give Michigan St a chance. I think they must still be living in the era of '06-'12, when the SEC was so great and powerful, and the Big 10 was really weak. Well, in reality, the Big 10 is on a serious rise, and it's starting now, with them winning a championship last season, and now bringing in a coach like Harbaugh to Michigan. I believe next year the Big 10 will have 3 title contenders in Ohio St, probably Michigan St and Michigan too. The SEC has also weakened, and Bama is not the dynasty they were from '09-'12, or even as good as they were in '13 or last year. They are still extremely good, with a real good defense, but it's not the same. They don't have a McCarron at QB anymore, they have Coker, who is above average. They also don't have an Amari Cooper at WR anymore, instead they have a couple of very decent guys. They do have a great D, as always, and their defensive front 7 is stout, but if they have a weak spot, it's their back end of the defense, which I think can be exploited. Do not forget that they gave up 43 points at home to an Ole Miss team that throws the ball well and doesn't really run a lot. Michigan St plays offense very similarly to the Rebels, and can probably run better than them. They also have a really good veteran QB, in Cook, who can throw accurate deep balls, and make plays with his feet. So I think it's no question that the Spartans have the better QB, and that's huge. They also have a very big, physical defense, that is as good, or maybe even better overall, than Bama's. This is going to be a great game, in my opinion, and because of the tenacity and resilience of the Spartans, I think it will be extremely hard to put them away. The worst case scenario that I see is the Tide winning 27-20, but I love Michigan St's chances of winning and then taking the title. So, bet a little on the Money Line at +300, because I think it just may be well worth it. Enjoy!
PREDICTED SCORE : 27-24 EITHER WAY
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Wednesday, December 23, 2015
$$$$$$----NFL MONEY PLAY----$$$$$
*** PITTSBURGH -10 at BALTIMORE
So it seems as if Matt Schuab will get the start at QB for the Ravens this week, not Jimmy Clausen. I don't think it really matters, because Schuab hasn't been good for years now. The Ravens also haven't been good at all throughout this whole season. They were pretty bad when they were much healthier early in the season. Now they are decimated by injuries, and are playing with mostly scrubs. They beat the Steelers earlier this season in a nail biter, and Pittsburgh was a little banged up at that time, playing with a back up QB themselves. Well, I think this is revenge, because believe me, any chance these teams get to put it to each other, they will, because they don't like each other. Besides all of that,the Steelers are red hot right now and their offense is unstoppable. Their defense isn't bad at all, and they are playing with the confidence of being the best in their conference. I think they will roll in this game. Take it now before the spread gets higher, because I think it will.
PREDICTED SCORE : STEELERS 41 RAVENS 20
So it seems as if Matt Schuab will get the start at QB for the Ravens this week, not Jimmy Clausen. I don't think it really matters, because Schuab hasn't been good for years now. The Ravens also haven't been good at all throughout this whole season. They were pretty bad when they were much healthier early in the season. Now they are decimated by injuries, and are playing with mostly scrubs. They beat the Steelers earlier this season in a nail biter, and Pittsburgh was a little banged up at that time, playing with a back up QB themselves. Well, I think this is revenge, because believe me, any chance these teams get to put it to each other, they will, because they don't like each other. Besides all of that,the Steelers are red hot right now and their offense is unstoppable. Their defense isn't bad at all, and they are playing with the confidence of being the best in their conference. I think they will roll in this game. Take it now before the spread gets higher, because I think it will.
PREDICTED SCORE : STEELERS 41 RAVENS 20
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER!!!!! $$$$$
COLLEGE FOOTBALL POWER PLAY
**** MICHIGAN ST -3(-130) vs IOWA
I know it's kind of early in the week to be making a pick on Saturday night's match for the Big 10 Championship, but I've got my mind made up. I really like what I've seen from these Spartans, especially the coaching by Mark Dantonio. This team has recently gotten real hot ever since they lost to Nebraska by one point in a thriller. To say the least, this team is a very resilient bunch. If you don't believe me, then go watch the game at Michigan this year, and how they won that at the end. With a play like that a lot of people will start saying that they are a team of destiny. Well, I believe you kind of create your own destiny. They had to go out there and make something happen, when it seemed as if the game was definitely over and they had no shot. I know this may have been last year, but this Michigan St team, with Conner Cook, came back from a rather large deficit to beat Baylor last year in their bowl game. Cook is a savvy veteran QB, and had a great game last week vs Penn St. What impressed me the most, which will come as no surprise, was the way they went into Ohio St and beat the Buckeyes with their back up QB's. They also held Ohio St to very minimal yardage, including holding RB, Elliot to like 33 yards I think. Zeke is probably going to have close to 2,000 for the season, and is a Heisman Trophy candidate. I just thought it was a great defensive performance, and it showed that this team has something special as a TEAM. They have the kind of fire that the Buckeyes had this time last year. I really think they're probably going to win it all. Alabama would be my next pick, and they aren't a dynasty anymore, so they can be beat. I bought this spread down to -3, because I like to be precautious, but I like Michigan St by at least 10. It's a just in case insurance policy.
**** MICHIGAN ST -3(-130) vs IOWA
I know it's kind of early in the week to be making a pick on Saturday night's match for the Big 10 Championship, but I've got my mind made up. I really like what I've seen from these Spartans, especially the coaching by Mark Dantonio. This team has recently gotten real hot ever since they lost to Nebraska by one point in a thriller. To say the least, this team is a very resilient bunch. If you don't believe me, then go watch the game at Michigan this year, and how they won that at the end. With a play like that a lot of people will start saying that they are a team of destiny. Well, I believe you kind of create your own destiny. They had to go out there and make something happen, when it seemed as if the game was definitely over and they had no shot. I know this may have been last year, but this Michigan St team, with Conner Cook, came back from a rather large deficit to beat Baylor last year in their bowl game. Cook is a savvy veteran QB, and had a great game last week vs Penn St. What impressed me the most, which will come as no surprise, was the way they went into Ohio St and beat the Buckeyes with their back up QB's. They also held Ohio St to very minimal yardage, including holding RB, Elliot to like 33 yards I think. Zeke is probably going to have close to 2,000 for the season, and is a Heisman Trophy candidate. I just thought it was a great defensive performance, and it showed that this team has something special as a TEAM. They have the kind of fire that the Buckeyes had this time last year. I really think they're probably going to win it all. Alabama would be my next pick, and they aren't a dynasty anymore, so they can be beat. I bought this spread down to -3, because I like to be precautious, but I like Michigan St by at least 10. It's a just in case insurance policy.
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
NFL WEEK 11 PLAY
*** OAKLAND -1(-130) at DETROIT
For starters, I am not taking too much into account for the Lions beating Green Bay in Lambeau last week. It was bound to happen after 24 years. Detroit knows the Packers all too well from playing them twice every year, and also had an extra week to prepare for them. Green Bay has also failed to find an identity on offense. They benched their RB, due to horrible offensive line play, and their defense is just not doing it's job. The Raiders have been relevant this year, which is a lot better than they have been in past years. I'm not ready to call them a good team, but they are decent and do play some good offense. They just lost to a good team this past week, and now get to play a bad one. They are in must-win mode now and need every game now, basically. There is also a very low chance that the Lions will win two games in a row, because they are still a mess of a team that has a pretty shitty coach. If you're going to back Oakland I suggest taking them now, because I think the line will move up on you as we get closer to kick-off. It went from opening at -1.5 to -2 now. I bought it down to -1 for extra insurance. I just can't see Oakland losing this one. They aren't too good, but too good to lose this one, I think.
For starters, I am not taking too much into account for the Lions beating Green Bay in Lambeau last week. It was bound to happen after 24 years. Detroit knows the Packers all too well from playing them twice every year, and also had an extra week to prepare for them. Green Bay has also failed to find an identity on offense. They benched their RB, due to horrible offensive line play, and their defense is just not doing it's job. The Raiders have been relevant this year, which is a lot better than they have been in past years. I'm not ready to call them a good team, but they are decent and do play some good offense. They just lost to a good team this past week, and now get to play a bad one. They are in must-win mode now and need every game now, basically. There is also a very low chance that the Lions will win two games in a row, because they are still a mess of a team that has a pretty shitty coach. If you're going to back Oakland I suggest taking them now, because I think the line will move up on you as we get closer to kick-off. It went from opening at -1.5 to -2 now. I bought it down to -1 for extra insurance. I just can't see Oakland losing this one. They aren't too good, but too good to lose this one, I think.
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
NFL WEEK 10 PLAY
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
*** BUFFALO ML (+120) at NY JETS
The Buffalo Bills are finally as healthy as I guess they're going to get this season, being that Harvin is out indefinitely. They just got their QB back, from a 4 week absence. I think that is huge, because their back up, EJ Manuel, just plain sucks ass! Having Watkins back in the line up last week proved to be huge as well. He accounted for 92 % of the team's receiving yards in the last game against Miami. Now that they are much healthier, which is something new for this season, they can start playing more like the playoff contender that most expected. They are playing a Jets team that they have really owned. They've beat them pretty easily in the last 3 matches. Rex also wants to go back to NY and really rub it in their faces. You got to know that. The Bills just know how to beat this team and Rex has to know some things about them too. I also think the Jets are still overvalued, at this point. They struggled with the hapless Jags last week. I know the Bills lost a close one to Jax a few weeks ago, but that was with EJ Manuel, and other key players were out, so it doesn't count. They are much better with Tyrod Taylor and their other weapons, such as, Karlos Williams, McCoy, and Watkins, who is a real good threat. Buffalo is getting 3, you can take it if you want. It never hurts, but I see no reason. Bills will win.
*** BUFFALO ML (+120) at NY JETS
The Buffalo Bills are finally as healthy as I guess they're going to get this season, being that Harvin is out indefinitely. They just got their QB back, from a 4 week absence. I think that is huge, because their back up, EJ Manuel, just plain sucks ass! Having Watkins back in the line up last week proved to be huge as well. He accounted for 92 % of the team's receiving yards in the last game against Miami. Now that they are much healthier, which is something new for this season, they can start playing more like the playoff contender that most expected. They are playing a Jets team that they have really owned. They've beat them pretty easily in the last 3 matches. Rex also wants to go back to NY and really rub it in their faces. You got to know that. The Bills just know how to beat this team and Rex has to know some things about them too. I also think the Jets are still overvalued, at this point. They struggled with the hapless Jags last week. I know the Bills lost a close one to Jax a few weeks ago, but that was with EJ Manuel, and other key players were out, so it doesn't count. They are much better with Tyrod Taylor and their other weapons, such as, Karlos Williams, McCoy, and Watkins, who is a real good threat. Buffalo is getting 3, you can take it if you want. It never hurts, but I see no reason. Bills will win.
Thursday, November 5, 2015
COLLEGE FOOBALL MONEY PLAYS
ML PARLAY :
MISSISSIPPI ST vs MISSOURI
CLEMSON vs FLORIDA ST
ML PARLAY :
MISSISSIPPI ST
CLEMSON
OLE MISS
Bet both of these and you should win some money. The two teamer is like -155 and the three teamer is -110. Clemson is definitely beating FSU. You can bank on that. If you got enough to roll with you should just bet that Moneyline at -475. Miss St is playing Missouri's back up QB and the Tigers' offense hasn't scored a TD in a month. Plus, the Bulldogs have been on a roll. Speaking of being on a roll, the Ole Miss Rebels, now that they are healthy again, are starting to play real well. Its hard to think that Ole Miss will lose more than one more game this season, if any. Its extremely difficult, in my opinion, to argue that these three teams will lose this weekend. That's why I'm banking it in. They all three win, we win!
MISSISSIPPI ST vs MISSOURI
CLEMSON vs FLORIDA ST
ML PARLAY :
MISSISSIPPI ST
CLEMSON
OLE MISS
Bet both of these and you should win some money. The two teamer is like -155 and the three teamer is -110. Clemson is definitely beating FSU. You can bank on that. If you got enough to roll with you should just bet that Moneyline at -475. Miss St is playing Missouri's back up QB and the Tigers' offense hasn't scored a TD in a month. Plus, the Bulldogs have been on a roll. Speaking of being on a roll, the Ole Miss Rebels, now that they are healthy again, are starting to play real well. Its hard to think that Ole Miss will lose more than one more game this season, if any. Its extremely difficult, in my opinion, to argue that these three teams will lose this weekend. That's why I'm banking it in. They all three win, we win!
Friday, October 23, 2015
College Football Play
** Missouri -3 @ Vanderbilt
Between these two teams, Mizzou has generally played the better football, so far this season. Vandy hasn't beaten anyone even worth mentioning. The Tigers have just lost two tough conference games in a row to two good teams. They really need this win, and being the good coach that Pinkel is, I think he'll have them to focused and ready to play a great game. I am posting this as a 2 star play, mainly because it's college. CFB is not my specialty, but every now and then I am able to find really good value in certain teams that are in certain spots. This Missouri team is good enough to go on the road in a must win and beat this team by more than 3. It looks like money to me
Predicted Score : Tigers 24 Commodores 7
Between these two teams, Mizzou has generally played the better football, so far this season. Vandy hasn't beaten anyone even worth mentioning. The Tigers have just lost two tough conference games in a row to two good teams. They really need this win, and being the good coach that Pinkel is, I think he'll have them to focused and ready to play a great game. I am posting this as a 2 star play, mainly because it's college. CFB is not my specialty, but every now and then I am able to find really good value in certain teams that are in certain spots. This Missouri team is good enough to go on the road in a must win and beat this team by more than 3. It looks like money to me
Predicted Score : Tigers 24 Commodores 7
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY
*** SEATTLE -5.5 at SAN FRANCISCO
The Seahawks may be 2-4, but they still think they are a good team. I agree. They have been up in the fourth quarter of all four of these losses, so they really could have won all four. That's how it plays out in this league a lot of times. It is sometimes the difference between being 8-8 and 11-5. The fact is they didn't win those games and they aren't what they once were, because they have issues. You have to keep in mind that because they are the two time reigning champs of their conference, they are getting everyone's best shot. They also lost to 3 good teams and a division rival on the road in OT. I'm not quite sure how good this team is right now, but I know they are a lot better than the 49ers. San Francisco is just coming off of a win, and I'll say enjoy it while it lasts, because there won't be that many. The Hawks desperately need to get things going and play a great game, and I think that's just what they'll do Thursday. The sooner you jump on this play the lower the line will be, because I think it will continue to go up from people backing Seattle. That's because for anyone who follows the NFL religiously, this looks like money. It most probably is.
The Seahawks may be 2-4, but they still think they are a good team. I agree. They have been up in the fourth quarter of all four of these losses, so they really could have won all four. That's how it plays out in this league a lot of times. It is sometimes the difference between being 8-8 and 11-5. The fact is they didn't win those games and they aren't what they once were, because they have issues. You have to keep in mind that because they are the two time reigning champs of their conference, they are getting everyone's best shot. They also lost to 3 good teams and a division rival on the road in OT. I'm not quite sure how good this team is right now, but I know they are a lot better than the 49ers. San Francisco is just coming off of a win, and I'll say enjoy it while it lasts, because there won't be that many. The Hawks desperately need to get things going and play a great game, and I think that's just what they'll do Thursday. The sooner you jump on this play the lower the line will be, because I think it will continue to go up from people backing Seattle. That's because for anyone who follows the NFL religiously, this looks like money. It most probably is.
Thursday, October 15, 2015
NFL WEEK 6 PLAYS
*** DETROIT ML(-150) vs CHICAGO
I know what you must be thinking. I am advising you to invest in a winless team. I can understand your concern, but you must understand that sometimes there is value in winless teams in the NFL. This is an extremely competitive league, where all the players are good and bad teams win. Shit, bad teams beat good teams every year. I've also made money many times off of bad teams. The Saints under Jim Haslett, back in the early to mid '00's, could not beat a winless team, and I had to take advantage of that a couple of times. Hell, I just backed the winless Bucs last year and they beat a Steelers team that went on to win 11 games. Now, this Bears team is not good, and the Lions are better than their record. Just as easy as the Lions could have a win or two, the Beard could be 0-5. The barely squeaked out of these last two games. I'd say enjoy your shitty little 2 game winning streak while you can, Chicago. The Lions still have a decent defense and these players still believe they are good. I'm not saying they're good by any means, but I think it's safe to say thy aren't going 0-16. Matt Stafford is not a terrible QB, he's just having a terrible year, and this is his second straight below average season that he's having. This guy is capable of playing well. Five seasons ago he threw for 5,000 yards and 40 TDs. Well, I know fans and critics have a short term memory loss, and don't want to remember that. So do NFL players, especially QBs. I think Stafford will want to redeem himself this week after getting benched in the last game, and what better team to do it against, than a team that you hate and have kind of owned. I think Detroit is better than this Bears team, and I won't be surprised if they beat them badly. I won't take chances, because it is a division rivalry and the Lions have yet to win, but I definitely think they get their first win at home on Sunday. I am taking the MoneyLine to be safe. The Bears just won 2 straight games by 2 points or less and I also think they could end up losing that way this week.
*** 6 Point Teaser Play
N.Y. JETS -.0.5 vs WASHINGTON
DETROIT +3 vs CHICAGO
Now on to the Jets game. Washington does play decent defense and Kurt Cousins looked good last week. The chances that he will look good again against this Jets defense on the road, playing in his second consecutive road trip, are very, very slim. I am timid to lay the 5.5-6 points, so I think teasing it with the Lions is they way to go. I am investing that the Lions and Jets will both win this weekend. I think that is Money!
I know what you must be thinking. I am advising you to invest in a winless team. I can understand your concern, but you must understand that sometimes there is value in winless teams in the NFL. This is an extremely competitive league, where all the players are good and bad teams win. Shit, bad teams beat good teams every year. I've also made money many times off of bad teams. The Saints under Jim Haslett, back in the early to mid '00's, could not beat a winless team, and I had to take advantage of that a couple of times. Hell, I just backed the winless Bucs last year and they beat a Steelers team that went on to win 11 games. Now, this Bears team is not good, and the Lions are better than their record. Just as easy as the Lions could have a win or two, the Beard could be 0-5. The barely squeaked out of these last two games. I'd say enjoy your shitty little 2 game winning streak while you can, Chicago. The Lions still have a decent defense and these players still believe they are good. I'm not saying they're good by any means, but I think it's safe to say thy aren't going 0-16. Matt Stafford is not a terrible QB, he's just having a terrible year, and this is his second straight below average season that he's having. This guy is capable of playing well. Five seasons ago he threw for 5,000 yards and 40 TDs. Well, I know fans and critics have a short term memory loss, and don't want to remember that. So do NFL players, especially QBs. I think Stafford will want to redeem himself this week after getting benched in the last game, and what better team to do it against, than a team that you hate and have kind of owned. I think Detroit is better than this Bears team, and I won't be surprised if they beat them badly. I won't take chances, because it is a division rivalry and the Lions have yet to win, but I definitely think they get their first win at home on Sunday. I am taking the MoneyLine to be safe. The Bears just won 2 straight games by 2 points or less and I also think they could end up losing that way this week.
*** 6 Point Teaser Play
N.Y. JETS -.0.5 vs WASHINGTON
DETROIT +3 vs CHICAGO
Now on to the Jets game. Washington does play decent defense and Kurt Cousins looked good last week. The chances that he will look good again against this Jets defense on the road, playing in his second consecutive road trip, are very, very slim. I am timid to lay the 5.5-6 points, so I think teasing it with the Lions is they way to go. I am investing that the Lions and Jets will both win this weekend. I think that is Money!
Thursday, September 10, 2015
NFL WEEK 1 PLAYS
** MIAMI -3.5 @ WASHINGTON
I really think the Dolphins added some offensive weapons in Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. They also beefed up their defensive line, which is going to be ferocious this year. This really should be the year they make that Wildcard push, that is, if they can finish strong. They have started fast the last 3 straight years, and don't see why they won't do the same this year. The Redskins, will be playing with a second string QB, in Kirk Cousins. He's not bad, but he surely isn't good, and this whole team just seems to be a mess, still.
PREDICTED SCORE : DOLPHINS 24 REDSKINS 10
** MINNESOTA -2.5 @ SAN FRANCISCO
The Vikings are coming off of a pretty decent 7-9 building year last season, where their strength was their defense. It looks like they are going to have good defenses in years to come, and they have a lot of confidence, especially in second year QB, Teddy Bridgewater. They really believe they will make a wildcard this year. I'm not so sure about that, but they should be able to compete. As for the Niners, they just lost way too many players and their coach, who was great. So, I think they have 5-11, 6-10 written all over them.
PREDICTED SCORE : VIKINGS 20 49ERS 13
\
I really think the Dolphins added some offensive weapons in Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. They also beefed up their defensive line, which is going to be ferocious this year. This really should be the year they make that Wildcard push, that is, if they can finish strong. They have started fast the last 3 straight years, and don't see why they won't do the same this year. The Redskins, will be playing with a second string QB, in Kirk Cousins. He's not bad, but he surely isn't good, and this whole team just seems to be a mess, still.
PREDICTED SCORE : DOLPHINS 24 REDSKINS 10
** MINNESOTA -2.5 @ SAN FRANCISCO
The Vikings are coming off of a pretty decent 7-9 building year last season, where their strength was their defense. It looks like they are going to have good defenses in years to come, and they have a lot of confidence, especially in second year QB, Teddy Bridgewater. They really believe they will make a wildcard this year. I'm not so sure about that, but they should be able to compete. As for the Niners, they just lost way too many players and their coach, who was great. So, I think they have 5-11, 6-10 written all over them.
PREDICTED SCORE : VIKINGS 20 49ERS 13
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$$$ NFL WEEK 1 POWER PLAY $$$
**** SAN DIEGO -3 vs DETROIT
The Chargers, in my opinion, are a team to watch out for in the AFC this year, and are a sleeper to win their division. Well, they are only a sleeper, because most are picking Denver in the AFC West. San Diego had key injuries last year on their offensive line and defense, and also had no real running game. They still managed to win 9 games, though. This year they bring in some help at WR, with Jacoby Jones and Stevie Johnson, but most importantly, they drafted, college standout, Melvin Gordon, who I think is going to solidify their running game, and make their offense hard to stop. Gordon has the ability to run inside and outside, plus the Chargers already have two good complimentary scat backs, in Danny Woodhead and Brandon Oliver, and Rivers is one of the best QB's in the league. As for their defense, they have two solid corners and a good safety, which can win you a lot of games in today's NFL. I see them being an 11-5 team this year. I don't see the Lions having much of a threatening running game, once again, with Joique Bell as the starter. Rookie, Ameer Abdullah could help, and their offense should still be decent, but it's their defense that is going to take a hit. They lost the meat of their defensive line, with the losses of Suh and Fairly. They added Haloti Ngata, but I don't think it will be enough. The Lions also benefitted from a weak schedule last year and barely squeaked out wins in some of their games. I see them taking a step back and going 8-8 this season.
PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS 27 LIONS 20
The Chargers, in my opinion, are a team to watch out for in the AFC this year, and are a sleeper to win their division. Well, they are only a sleeper, because most are picking Denver in the AFC West. San Diego had key injuries last year on their offensive line and defense, and also had no real running game. They still managed to win 9 games, though. This year they bring in some help at WR, with Jacoby Jones and Stevie Johnson, but most importantly, they drafted, college standout, Melvin Gordon, who I think is going to solidify their running game, and make their offense hard to stop. Gordon has the ability to run inside and outside, plus the Chargers already have two good complimentary scat backs, in Danny Woodhead and Brandon Oliver, and Rivers is one of the best QB's in the league. As for their defense, they have two solid corners and a good safety, which can win you a lot of games in today's NFL. I see them being an 11-5 team this year. I don't see the Lions having much of a threatening running game, once again, with Joique Bell as the starter. Rookie, Ameer Abdullah could help, and their offense should still be decent, but it's their defense that is going to take a hit. They lost the meat of their defensive line, with the losses of Suh and Fairly. They added Haloti Ngata, but I don't think it will be enough. The Lions also benefitted from a weak schedule last year and barely squeaked out wins in some of their games. I see them taking a step back and going 8-8 this season.
PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS 27 LIONS 20
Friday, September 4, 2015
COLLEGE FOOTBALL KICK-OFF WEEKEND PLAY
*** WASHINGTON +11.5 @ BOISE ST
Huskie's head coach, Chris Petersen, is going back to his old stomping grounds, where he only lost 2 games coaching the Broncos. The Blue Field!! He really helped build that program at Boise St to be what it is today, and I think he knows a thing or two about how they run that offense. I also think that Washington finished last season pretty strong and has a little bit to build on from last year. Well, no question, there will be a lot of emotion going into this game for the HC, and I think he can get his team motivated to go into this hostile environment as a pretty big underdog. Washington has a good enough program to at least be able to hang with Boise. That's what I think they'll do, because I see this being a battle. I'm grabbing all those points and bangin' the Huskies.
Huskie's head coach, Chris Petersen, is going back to his old stomping grounds, where he only lost 2 games coaching the Broncos. The Blue Field!! He really helped build that program at Boise St to be what it is today, and I think he knows a thing or two about how they run that offense. I also think that Washington finished last season pretty strong and has a little bit to build on from last year. Well, no question, there will be a lot of emotion going into this game for the HC, and I think he can get his team motivated to go into this hostile environment as a pretty big underdog. Washington has a good enough program to at least be able to hang with Boise. That's what I think they'll do, because I see this being a battle. I'm grabbing all those points and bangin' the Huskies.
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
SUPER BOWL XLIX ANALYSIS
5 STAR PLAY
***** NEW ENGLAND pick em vs SEATTLE
So, a person who analyzes the game and tries to pick the winner, and knows the game of football, would probably say that defense wins championships. They would probably say that in a match this even, generally, the team with the better defense will win. Well, defense, alone, does not win championships. Having a great balance of both offense and defense can win championships, as well. In college, they pick the teams they think are the best during the season to play for the title, and they do this by judging the teams by their "body of work." This means they are judged by what they have done throughout the whole season and it could be how they finished. Quality wins definitely come in to place when deciding who the best are, and I do this when I select my two best NFL teams. Last year Seattle had the best quality win of them all, destroying the Saints on MNF, and holding them to record-low of offensive stats. This year, I think the Pats had the best one, by defeating the then hottest team, Denver, by 22. I think people are forgetting how dominant New England was at times this year, and are under appreciating their defense. The Pats are great defending the pass and just OK, but not bad, at stopping the run. In the NFL, today, it is better to be able to stop the pass, because everyone is throwing more, and teams, with not so great defenses, have won it all. I think the Pats have the kind of formula it takes to win the championship. They have great balance.
I think picking this game is pretty simple for me, because I think the Pats are the better overall team, and I think they will play like it on Sunday. The Pats have Brady and Belechik to figure out ways to beat that Seattle defense, and they have some weapons, believe it or not. They also have a great team rushing attack, which is difficult to stop because of it's versatility. They have four different serviceable backs they can hand off too, which gives them fresh legs. They also have Blount, who is a bulldozing power back, who is a little underrated in this league. I'm not saying that the Seahawks are slouches at stopping the run, because they are pretty darn good, but you can't ignore the fact that teams have put up some yards on them in the playoffs. I think the Pats will RUN THE FOOTBALL, and protect Brady pretty well, and it will open things up in the passing game. I look for Brandon Lafell, who is a good young talent, to come up big for N.E. in this game.
As for Russel Wilson, and his offense, I don't think they are as good as they were last year. They did lose their best WR, in Tate. Wilson is a great young player, though, but he 'aint no Brady. At least, for now he isn't. He is still very young and Green Bay showed us if you keep him bottled up and make him throw, that you can force some mistakes. I think the Pats will do just that with their speedy LB's and force Wilson to throw against a very veteran, savvy bunch, in the N.E. secondary. If Green Bay was able to do it, I don't see why N.E. can't. I do think that Wilson will throw at least 2 INT's in this game, too. I really don't think the Pats will stop Marshawn Lynch. I think he will probably have 100 yards, but I do think they can stop Wilson, and if they can, they can definitely win. I look at this as a not so strong passing game of Seattle, going up against a great secondary of N.E. Plus, they will be cheating, so they will have the advantage, right? Whether the Pats cheated, or not, you can't discredit all the countless hours of hard work and dedication that these teams put in. You have to recognize that this organization is great and appreciate what they represent, which is hard work, humbleness, and a respect for the opponent. Well, I guess you don't HAVE to, of course, if you don't like the Patriots. You just have to go look at the facts for the spygate thing, or just anything, and realize that many other teams broke the rules or cheated, but N.E. is the only one that are being called cheaters. That could possibly tell you something.
I don't care what anyone says, but nobody, and I mean nobody, wants this game more than Tom Brady. He plays with the most passion and drive, I think I may have ever seen, and he knows that it is now or never, because he always plays like that. I think all the greats do. I think they have been the best team throughout the season and this is their time.
BOLD PREDICTIONS : 1) Brandon Lafell will have anywhere from 7-10+ catches for over 100 yards.
2)Tom Brady will have more rushing yards than Russel Wilson. I know. This is very bold and yes, a little crazy, but Brady is not afraid to take off, and he already has a rushing TD in these playoffs.
PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS 27 SEAHAWKS 23
***** NEW ENGLAND pick em vs SEATTLE
So, a person who analyzes the game and tries to pick the winner, and knows the game of football, would probably say that defense wins championships. They would probably say that in a match this even, generally, the team with the better defense will win. Well, defense, alone, does not win championships. Having a great balance of both offense and defense can win championships, as well. In college, they pick the teams they think are the best during the season to play for the title, and they do this by judging the teams by their "body of work." This means they are judged by what they have done throughout the whole season and it could be how they finished. Quality wins definitely come in to place when deciding who the best are, and I do this when I select my two best NFL teams. Last year Seattle had the best quality win of them all, destroying the Saints on MNF, and holding them to record-low of offensive stats. This year, I think the Pats had the best one, by defeating the then hottest team, Denver, by 22. I think people are forgetting how dominant New England was at times this year, and are under appreciating their defense. The Pats are great defending the pass and just OK, but not bad, at stopping the run. In the NFL, today, it is better to be able to stop the pass, because everyone is throwing more, and teams, with not so great defenses, have won it all. I think the Pats have the kind of formula it takes to win the championship. They have great balance.
I think picking this game is pretty simple for me, because I think the Pats are the better overall team, and I think they will play like it on Sunday. The Pats have Brady and Belechik to figure out ways to beat that Seattle defense, and they have some weapons, believe it or not. They also have a great team rushing attack, which is difficult to stop because of it's versatility. They have four different serviceable backs they can hand off too, which gives them fresh legs. They also have Blount, who is a bulldozing power back, who is a little underrated in this league. I'm not saying that the Seahawks are slouches at stopping the run, because they are pretty darn good, but you can't ignore the fact that teams have put up some yards on them in the playoffs. I think the Pats will RUN THE FOOTBALL, and protect Brady pretty well, and it will open things up in the passing game. I look for Brandon Lafell, who is a good young talent, to come up big for N.E. in this game.
As for Russel Wilson, and his offense, I don't think they are as good as they were last year. They did lose their best WR, in Tate. Wilson is a great young player, though, but he 'aint no Brady. At least, for now he isn't. He is still very young and Green Bay showed us if you keep him bottled up and make him throw, that you can force some mistakes. I think the Pats will do just that with their speedy LB's and force Wilson to throw against a very veteran, savvy bunch, in the N.E. secondary. If Green Bay was able to do it, I don't see why N.E. can't. I do think that Wilson will throw at least 2 INT's in this game, too. I really don't think the Pats will stop Marshawn Lynch. I think he will probably have 100 yards, but I do think they can stop Wilson, and if they can, they can definitely win. I look at this as a not so strong passing game of Seattle, going up against a great secondary of N.E. Plus, they will be cheating, so they will have the advantage, right? Whether the Pats cheated, or not, you can't discredit all the countless hours of hard work and dedication that these teams put in. You have to recognize that this organization is great and appreciate what they represent, which is hard work, humbleness, and a respect for the opponent. Well, I guess you don't HAVE to, of course, if you don't like the Patriots. You just have to go look at the facts for the spygate thing, or just anything, and realize that many other teams broke the rules or cheated, but N.E. is the only one that are being called cheaters. That could possibly tell you something.
I don't care what anyone says, but nobody, and I mean nobody, wants this game more than Tom Brady. He plays with the most passion and drive, I think I may have ever seen, and he knows that it is now or never, because he always plays like that. I think all the greats do. I think they have been the best team throughout the season and this is their time.
BOLD PREDICTIONS : 1) Brandon Lafell will have anywhere from 7-10+ catches for over 100 yards.
2)Tom Brady will have more rushing yards than Russel Wilson. I know. This is very bold and yes, a little crazy, but Brady is not afraid to take off, and he already has a rushing TD in these playoffs.
PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS 27 SEAHAWKS 23
Thursday, January 15, 2015
NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY PLAY
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
SEATTLE vs GREEN BAY
I still don't think the Packers are a real championship contender. I'm sorry but their defense is suspect, and we should all know that offenses, alone, do not win titles. Even if Rodgers didn't have a calf injury, and was able to be a threat with his feet, I still wouldn't see them winning this game. The fact is, is that he is hurt, and will be affected and that hurts their chances even more.
PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS 27 PACKERS 17
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
NEW ENGLAND vs INDIANAPOLIS
If any underdog has a decent shot this weekend, I think it would have to be the Colts. Andrew Luck is on fire and they showed they can play some defense last week. I really don't think they have too great of a shot, though, because I think this is the Patriots' year. They beat a damn good play-off team, and QB last week in a thriller and showed some real guts. I will not be upset at all if the Colts pull off the upset, because I bet Indy to win the AFC, at 14/1, in the beginning of the season. I figured they would probably be in this game, so why not for those odds?
PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS 28 COLTS 21
*** PLAY - 6 POINT TEASER - PATS -1 HAWKS -1.5
SEATTLE vs GREEN BAY
I still don't think the Packers are a real championship contender. I'm sorry but their defense is suspect, and we should all know that offenses, alone, do not win titles. Even if Rodgers didn't have a calf injury, and was able to be a threat with his feet, I still wouldn't see them winning this game. The fact is, is that he is hurt, and will be affected and that hurts their chances even more.
PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS 27 PACKERS 17
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
NEW ENGLAND vs INDIANAPOLIS
If any underdog has a decent shot this weekend, I think it would have to be the Colts. Andrew Luck is on fire and they showed they can play some defense last week. I really don't think they have too great of a shot, though, because I think this is the Patriots' year. They beat a damn good play-off team, and QB last week in a thriller and showed some real guts. I will not be upset at all if the Colts pull off the upset, because I bet Indy to win the AFC, at 14/1, in the beginning of the season. I figured they would probably be in this game, so why not for those odds?
PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS 28 COLTS 21
*** PLAY - 6 POINT TEASER - PATS -1 HAWKS -1.5
Monday, January 12, 2015
CFB CHAMPIONSHIP PLAY
CFB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME AT&T STADIUM, ARLINGTON, TX
OREGON vs OHIO ST
6 POINT TEASER OREGON pick em OVER 67.5
First off, I will say that I wasn't that sure about laying the spread which is -6. I am very sure that the Ducks are going to win this game, but I do think it's going to be a good game and could be very close. I'm also pretty sure that these teams are going to be able to score. I think Oregon has the best team they ever have this year. I think it's mainly because they have a defense they can rely on to make stops and take the ball away. Against Florida St they gave up a good bit of yards to the Noles, but only 20 points. They were able to rattle Jameis Winston for four quarters. Something no team in America could do for 2 whole seasons. Mark Helfrich has done a great job coaching these kids this season and I think this is the Ducks' year. Now the Buckeyes are very talented and well coached themselves. They bring in true frosh QB, Cardale Jones, who I think is probably the best QB on the roster, even only after seeing him play 2 games. They also have RB, Ezekiel Elliot who is fast as the wind and can pick up any blitz. Ohio State can score a lot of points, but they also give up a bunch too. Their defense can do some good things, like rush the passer and force some turnovers, but Mariotta will be the toughest test for them, thus far. I am more impressed with Oregon's defense, who can rush the passer and get turnovers, as well. They are a true "bend but don't break" defense and I think they will make more plays than Ohio St's in this game. So I am taking this tease to the bank! Enjoy the game, folks!
PREDICTED SCORE : DUCKS 41 BUCKEYES 34
OREGON vs OHIO ST
6 POINT TEASER OREGON pick em OVER 67.5
First off, I will say that I wasn't that sure about laying the spread which is -6. I am very sure that the Ducks are going to win this game, but I do think it's going to be a good game and could be very close. I'm also pretty sure that these teams are going to be able to score. I think Oregon has the best team they ever have this year. I think it's mainly because they have a defense they can rely on to make stops and take the ball away. Against Florida St they gave up a good bit of yards to the Noles, but only 20 points. They were able to rattle Jameis Winston for four quarters. Something no team in America could do for 2 whole seasons. Mark Helfrich has done a great job coaching these kids this season and I think this is the Ducks' year. Now the Buckeyes are very talented and well coached themselves. They bring in true frosh QB, Cardale Jones, who I think is probably the best QB on the roster, even only after seeing him play 2 games. They also have RB, Ezekiel Elliot who is fast as the wind and can pick up any blitz. Ohio State can score a lot of points, but they also give up a bunch too. Their defense can do some good things, like rush the passer and force some turnovers, but Mariotta will be the toughest test for them, thus far. I am more impressed with Oregon's defense, who can rush the passer and get turnovers, as well. They are a true "bend but don't break" defense and I think they will make more plays than Ohio St's in this game. So I am taking this tease to the bank! Enjoy the game, folks!
PREDICTED SCORE : DUCKS 41 BUCKEYES 34
Friday, January 9, 2015
NFL PLAYS
NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND PLAY-OFFS
*** SEATTLE -10(-120) vs CAROLINA
The Seahawks have the most stout defense in all of the NFL. They are 1st against the pass and 3rd against the run, and their home field advantage is the best in the league, as well. Last week we saw the Panthers beat a team that really had no offensive options, whatsoever. They were down to their third string RB and QB, and I also think there are several QB's on the collegiate level that could have played better than Lindly did last week. That was probably one of the most artificial playoff wins I've seen. Cam Newton still continues to struggle as a passer, and while he may be able to break a few big runs on any defense, I don't think it will be close to enough to beat this team. Everyone is saying how the Panthers played these Seahawks close every time they played them. Well, those 3 meetings were all in Carolina and why do you think Seattle has beaten them 3 straight times? They are the better team. Why do you think the spread is -10.5? Seattle is off of a bye and will be ready to take care of business and I don't think it will be so close this time. I know the Panthers can hang in there, but I see the Hawks pulling away. Just go look at the history of these NFL playoff teams who have won their crappy divisions with sub par records. All 3 times it has happened, they won their first home game and then got beat badly in the next round. Why do you think that is? It's because they had no business being in that divisional game to begin with. They got lucky, because they played in a really bad division and the NFL gave them a home playoff game for winning it. Carolina had just got extra lucky, because they played a team that, basically, had no offense. I'm not going mainly by what history says, I just think Seattle is a much better team and should dominate. I'm buying the line down to -10 for some extra insurance, but I don't think that will come into play.
PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS 26 PANTHERS 10
*** DALLAS +5.5 at GREEN BAY
I'm really not looking at the Aaron Rodgers injury, and how he hasn't practiced, as much of an angle at all. The fact is, is that he is playing, and that's that. I just see this as a bad match up for the Packers. Green Bay has had lots of trouble stopping the run and doesn't really play any kind of stingy defense, at all. I don't see them being able to stop Murray for four quarters, and I think Romo will be able to carve that secondary up a little bit, as well. They will be able to limit the time Rodgers and that offense sees the field. I think they can make some key stops, and I see this being a great back and forth type of game. This possibly could go either way, I just favor the Boys.
PREDICTED SCORE : COWBOYS 30 PACKERS 27
*** SEATTLE -10(-120) vs CAROLINA
The Seahawks have the most stout defense in all of the NFL. They are 1st against the pass and 3rd against the run, and their home field advantage is the best in the league, as well. Last week we saw the Panthers beat a team that really had no offensive options, whatsoever. They were down to their third string RB and QB, and I also think there are several QB's on the collegiate level that could have played better than Lindly did last week. That was probably one of the most artificial playoff wins I've seen. Cam Newton still continues to struggle as a passer, and while he may be able to break a few big runs on any defense, I don't think it will be close to enough to beat this team. Everyone is saying how the Panthers played these Seahawks close every time they played them. Well, those 3 meetings were all in Carolina and why do you think Seattle has beaten them 3 straight times? They are the better team. Why do you think the spread is -10.5? Seattle is off of a bye and will be ready to take care of business and I don't think it will be so close this time. I know the Panthers can hang in there, but I see the Hawks pulling away. Just go look at the history of these NFL playoff teams who have won their crappy divisions with sub par records. All 3 times it has happened, they won their first home game and then got beat badly in the next round. Why do you think that is? It's because they had no business being in that divisional game to begin with. They got lucky, because they played in a really bad division and the NFL gave them a home playoff game for winning it. Carolina had just got extra lucky, because they played a team that, basically, had no offense. I'm not going mainly by what history says, I just think Seattle is a much better team and should dominate. I'm buying the line down to -10 for some extra insurance, but I don't think that will come into play.
PREDICTED SCORE : SEAHAWKS 26 PANTHERS 10
*** DALLAS +5.5 at GREEN BAY
I'm really not looking at the Aaron Rodgers injury, and how he hasn't practiced, as much of an angle at all. The fact is, is that he is playing, and that's that. I just see this as a bad match up for the Packers. Green Bay has had lots of trouble stopping the run and doesn't really play any kind of stingy defense, at all. I don't see them being able to stop Murray for four quarters, and I think Romo will be able to carve that secondary up a little bit, as well. They will be able to limit the time Rodgers and that offense sees the field. I think they can make some key stops, and I see this being a great back and forth type of game. This possibly could go either way, I just favor the Boys.
PREDICTED SCORE : COWBOYS 30 PACKERS 27
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