*** DENVER -3 at BUFFALO
I would like to start off by saying that John Elway is one of the best General Mangers in the NFL, that I've ever seen. He makes the right moves, and it works, and it seems to be working very well, lately. They still have a championship defense, and their QB is playing some good football. This game is kind of like last week, when I had Clemson -3 on the road vs Louisville. There were skeptics that thought the line was "fishy". Well, I believe if you know your shit, which means knowing the teams, the players, the circumstances and how this league works, you should know why the line is what it is. This is a short line, because it's a very long trip for the Broncos, and road wins do not come easy in professional football. The Bills also have a good secondary and a decent overall defense. If they have a weakness on defense, though, it is the run D. I don't see them stopping Denver's run game, because there's not too many teams in the league that can, to begin with. Denver also has some very good receivers. One of the main reasons I like this game, is because I just can't see this Bills offense doing much of anything on Denver's defense. Tyrod is an alright player, and that's all I will say. He can manage some games well, but can't win you much. He has a good running game, still, but not an abundance of weapons to throw to. I don't see him faring too well on Sunday. The Broncos should be able to score some, too.
PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS 20 BILLS 12
Thursday, September 21, 2017
Thursday, September 14, 2017
ANOTHER NFL WEEK 2 PLAY
**** MINNESOTA +7(-105) AT PITTSBURGH
I never want to react to just one game, in football, and I'm not. I did see a lot from Minnesota in their home opener, though. I expected this team to be a play-off team, and potentially go 11-5. I look at what they did in 2015, when they went 11-5 with Teddy Bridgewater in at QB. They had AP, who had 1,485 on the ground that year. They were very well balanced. Now, I think I definitely overestimated the Saints, but the Vikings' receiving core has definitely gotten better. Diggs has turned into a good WR, and Thielen is really solid, too. They both had almost 1,000 yards receiving last year, and that was with no running game, so they were keyed on more. Just think what they can do this year, having this 1-2 punch at RB, and being able to keep defenses modest. This Vikings team reminds me a lot of the 2013 Seattle Seahawks. They have a nasty defense, which could be the best in the league this year, because I really don't see a weakness. They have a very good, game managing QB, and a great running game. For all the Bradford doubters, still out there, I will say that he led the league in completion percentage last year(71%), and only threw 5 INT's. That's pretty impressive when you have no other dimension to your offense. Their WR's aren't spectacular, but very solid. I know it's early, but this team is my favorite to win the NFC, now. I think the Steelers are a good team, but I see the Vikings going into Pittsburgh on a short week, and beating them. I'm taking the ML too.
PREDICTED SCORE : VIKINGS 24 STEELERS 19
**** MINNESOTA +7(-105) AT PITTSBURGH
I never want to react to just one game, in football, and I'm not. I did see a lot from Minnesota in their home opener, though. I expected this team to be a play-off team, and potentially go 11-5. I look at what they did in 2015, when they went 11-5 with Teddy Bridgewater in at QB. They had AP, who had 1,485 on the ground that year. They were very well balanced. Now, I think I definitely overestimated the Saints, but the Vikings' receiving core has definitely gotten better. Diggs has turned into a good WR, and Thielen is really solid, too. They both had almost 1,000 yards receiving last year, and that was with no running game, so they were keyed on more. Just think what they can do this year, having this 1-2 punch at RB, and being able to keep defenses modest. This Vikings team reminds me a lot of the 2013 Seattle Seahawks. They have a nasty defense, which could be the best in the league this year, because I really don't see a weakness. They have a very good, game managing QB, and a great running game. For all the Bradford doubters, still out there, I will say that he led the league in completion percentage last year(71%), and only threw 5 INT's. That's pretty impressive when you have no other dimension to your offense. Their WR's aren't spectacular, but very solid. I know it's early, but this team is my favorite to win the NFC, now. I think the Steelers are a good team, but I see the Vikings going into Pittsburgh on a short week, and beating them. I'm taking the ML too.
PREDICTED SCORE : VIKINGS 24 STEELERS 19
Wednesday, September 13, 2017
NFL WEEK 2 PLAY
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
* HOUSTON +6 at CINCINNATTI
After week 1, all I can say is you can not, and will not win them all in this business. I am now on to week 2, and I am going with a team, I expect to bounce back. The Texans didn't look good at all last week vs Jacksonville, and I think it was mostly the statue of a QB that started and played most of the game. Their O line got killed, but I think it was mostly due to the fact that the Jaguars defense looked fast and furious. They had 10 sacks! Their head coach, Doug Marrone, knows how to coach a defense, and Fournette looked like the real deal vs a good Texans defense. I think starting Watson was the right move, and what they should have done from the get-go. He will give them a better chance to win, because of his mobility, and I believe he will continue to grow and get better. Houston's O line took a hit from having a Tackle missing, due to a holdout, and they will be missing another starter on the line, due to injury. With all that being said, I still think they can win this game. Pretty much all of their defense is healthy, and most of the important players on offense, plus they own the Bengals. Cincinnati is a team that should be worried. I thought before the season started, that they would possibly make it back to the play-offs, because Marvin Lewis is a solid coach. He is, but I think his time is done with this team. They probably should have fired him two years ago. I also think the fact that Dalton has always folded so badly in prime time games and in the play-offs, that the Bengals should look elsewhere for a QB. This last performance in week 1, by Dalton, was historically bad. Losing 20-0 in you home opener is just pathetic. I do expect them to play a lot better, but this is a prime time game vs a team they have not been able to beat. Even Tom Savage was able to lead the Texans to a victory over the Bengals last year. I think Houston just has more going for them and their head coach still has a future. I say the Texans win this game, but I will grab all of those points, just in case.
* HOUSTON +6 at CINCINNATTI
After week 1, all I can say is you can not, and will not win them all in this business. I am now on to week 2, and I am going with a team, I expect to bounce back. The Texans didn't look good at all last week vs Jacksonville, and I think it was mostly the statue of a QB that started and played most of the game. Their O line got killed, but I think it was mostly due to the fact that the Jaguars defense looked fast and furious. They had 10 sacks! Their head coach, Doug Marrone, knows how to coach a defense, and Fournette looked like the real deal vs a good Texans defense. I think starting Watson was the right move, and what they should have done from the get-go. He will give them a better chance to win, because of his mobility, and I believe he will continue to grow and get better. Houston's O line took a hit from having a Tackle missing, due to a holdout, and they will be missing another starter on the line, due to injury. With all that being said, I still think they can win this game. Pretty much all of their defense is healthy, and most of the important players on offense, plus they own the Bengals. Cincinnati is a team that should be worried. I thought before the season started, that they would possibly make it back to the play-offs, because Marvin Lewis is a solid coach. He is, but I think his time is done with this team. They probably should have fired him two years ago. I also think the fact that Dalton has always folded so badly in prime time games and in the play-offs, that the Bengals should look elsewhere for a QB. This last performance in week 1, by Dalton, was historically bad. Losing 20-0 in you home opener is just pathetic. I do expect them to play a lot better, but this is a prime time game vs a team they have not been able to beat. Even Tom Savage was able to lead the Texans to a victory over the Bengals last year. I think Houston just has more going for them and their head coach still has a future. I say the Texans win this game, but I will grab all of those points, just in case.
Thursday, September 7, 2017
ANOTHER NFL WEEK 1 PLAY
WEEK 1 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
*** SAINTS +4(-125) at VIKINGS
I really do think the Saints are going to have a good year in '17. Everyone says they have to stay healthy. Well, of course, just like any other year. The Saints have had some bad luck with that in the most recent seasons, so hopefully they are due for some breaks. Since the middle of the '15 season, I have been contemplating this year's defense, as being a good one. I expected it to be good, as long as the Saints made some good moves to keep improving it, and I believe they have. If I were a Saints fan(which I am), I would be excited about this season's D. I am also hyped about the running game they have. They will have a true three-headed monster, much like '09, and they will have two dimensions on offense, of how they can beat you. I think losing Sneed for this game, doesn't help, but also doesn't hurt all that much. I believe in the other WR's and the running game, so I think they will go 2-1 without him. I see the Vikings as a possible play-off team this year. They have a nasty defense, and they really missed out on having no running game last year. They have fixed that, in my opinion. Bradford is decent, and will have to do less this year. I do think the Saints will be able to get to him and force some mistakes, possibly. Minnesota also has kind of weak passing attack. Their defense can be ran on, as well. New Orleans hasn't won an opener the last three seasons, but the last one they did win, was in '13, which ended up being a good season. I think they will start this season off well, and win this game. I suggest taking it now, and buying it up to +4. I am an insurance policy guy. I believe they win this game, but the worst case scenario would be Vikings by three or four.
PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 26 VIKINGS 17
*** SAINTS +4(-125) at VIKINGS
I really do think the Saints are going to have a good year in '17. Everyone says they have to stay healthy. Well, of course, just like any other year. The Saints have had some bad luck with that in the most recent seasons, so hopefully they are due for some breaks. Since the middle of the '15 season, I have been contemplating this year's defense, as being a good one. I expected it to be good, as long as the Saints made some good moves to keep improving it, and I believe they have. If I were a Saints fan(which I am), I would be excited about this season's D. I am also hyped about the running game they have. They will have a true three-headed monster, much like '09, and they will have two dimensions on offense, of how they can beat you. I think losing Sneed for this game, doesn't help, but also doesn't hurt all that much. I believe in the other WR's and the running game, so I think they will go 2-1 without him. I see the Vikings as a possible play-off team this year. They have a nasty defense, and they really missed out on having no running game last year. They have fixed that, in my opinion. Bradford is decent, and will have to do less this year. I do think the Saints will be able to get to him and force some mistakes, possibly. Minnesota also has kind of weak passing attack. Their defense can be ran on, as well. New Orleans hasn't won an opener the last three seasons, but the last one they did win, was in '13, which ended up being a good season. I think they will start this season off well, and win this game. I suggest taking it now, and buying it up to +4. I am an insurance policy guy. I believe they win this game, but the worst case scenario would be Vikings by three or four.
PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 26 VIKINGS 17
WEEK 1 POWER PLAY 2017
**** TENNESSEE -2 (bought down to -1 for (-140) to insure, just in case) vs OAKLAND
The Titans are going to be an improved team in '17, from what they were last year. I think it starts with them adding two new CB's, with rookie, Adoree Jackson, and adding free-agent, Logan Ryan. The secondary was one of their weaknesses last year. I think they can be improved and this will help their defense a lot, because it's going along with a good front seven. I also think that they have added weapons, which they desperately needed. Two of their top leading receivers from a year ago were their TE and RB. That's not good, so they added a solid veteran, Eric Decker, and drafted a stud, Corey Davis. They also drafted a speedy, potential weapon, Taywan Taylor. I think Mariota will also build on last year and have a good year, because now he actually has some people to throw to. This team went 9-7 last year, and critics say it's because they played in the worst division. That may be true, but you also have to remember Mariota missed the last game, and they were limited on offense.
Oakland is a team, that didn't do much to improve on defense, from last year. I don't think their draft was that good, but I guess we will see. They will have mostly the same starters on defense, from last year, and the defense was extremely shaky. I think adding Cook and Lynch was not bad, but Lynch's best years are behind him, I think. He has never played for a team, that had a passing game like this, so he should benefit from that. I could see him starting out this year fast, and then fading. He has a lot of miles on him. The biggest discrepancy of the Raiders last year was the lack of quality wins. They only beat three teams with winning records last year, whom were all one game above .500, and only one of those teams made the play-offs. Oakland's 12-4 record last year, was one of the gaudiest I've ever seen. They barely beat their opponents, on average, and the only tough defense they played last year, the Chiefs, they failed to score more than 13 on, and were swept in the series. Looking at the Raiders' schedule, and how tough it is this year, I don't think they win any more than eight or nine games in '17. I always tend to look at who the coach of a team is, and how good he is, and I don't think much of Del Rio. I think he's above average, and that's where it ends. Tennessee has a good offensive mind, as their head coach, and Dick LeBeau on the defensive side. It's like I always say, two heads are better than one. I see the Titans as a play-off team this season, and here's how I see the game going. Tennessee was able to hold Oakland to only 17 points in a match from last season. They lost the game by a TD, but that was with no weapons to throw to and a weak secondary. The Titans are a new look team this year, and it will be different. I see this as what should be a pretty close game, and even could come down to the wire. I also see in my vision, a home opener win for the Titans, as they start a good season off the right way.
PREDICTED SCORE : TITANS 24 RAIDERS 21
The Titans are going to be an improved team in '17, from what they were last year. I think it starts with them adding two new CB's, with rookie, Adoree Jackson, and adding free-agent, Logan Ryan. The secondary was one of their weaknesses last year. I think they can be improved and this will help their defense a lot, because it's going along with a good front seven. I also think that they have added weapons, which they desperately needed. Two of their top leading receivers from a year ago were their TE and RB. That's not good, so they added a solid veteran, Eric Decker, and drafted a stud, Corey Davis. They also drafted a speedy, potential weapon, Taywan Taylor. I think Mariota will also build on last year and have a good year, because now he actually has some people to throw to. This team went 9-7 last year, and critics say it's because they played in the worst division. That may be true, but you also have to remember Mariota missed the last game, and they were limited on offense.
Oakland is a team, that didn't do much to improve on defense, from last year. I don't think their draft was that good, but I guess we will see. They will have mostly the same starters on defense, from last year, and the defense was extremely shaky. I think adding Cook and Lynch was not bad, but Lynch's best years are behind him, I think. He has never played for a team, that had a passing game like this, so he should benefit from that. I could see him starting out this year fast, and then fading. He has a lot of miles on him. The biggest discrepancy of the Raiders last year was the lack of quality wins. They only beat three teams with winning records last year, whom were all one game above .500, and only one of those teams made the play-offs. Oakland's 12-4 record last year, was one of the gaudiest I've ever seen. They barely beat their opponents, on average, and the only tough defense they played last year, the Chiefs, they failed to score more than 13 on, and were swept in the series. Looking at the Raiders' schedule, and how tough it is this year, I don't think they win any more than eight or nine games in '17. I always tend to look at who the coach of a team is, and how good he is, and I don't think much of Del Rio. I think he's above average, and that's where it ends. Tennessee has a good offensive mind, as their head coach, and Dick LeBeau on the defensive side. It's like I always say, two heads are better than one. I see the Titans as a play-off team this season, and here's how I see the game going. Tennessee was able to hold Oakland to only 17 points in a match from last season. They lost the game by a TD, but that was with no weapons to throw to and a weak secondary. The Titans are a new look team this year, and it will be different. I see this as what should be a pretty close game, and even could come down to the wire. I also see in my vision, a home opener win for the Titans, as they start a good season off the right way.
PREDICTED SCORE : TITANS 24 RAIDERS 21
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