Friday, November 28, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL EGG BOWL PLAY

* MISSISSIPPI ST  - 3    at   MISSISSIPPI

I really think when the Rebels lost their WR, Treadwell, for the sesaon, and then lost that game to Auburn, their season was pretty much over.  They have not looked too motivated after that loss.  With that being said, I do think they will be motivated to play this game, I just happen to think the Bulldogs are the better team.  It also doesn't help Ole Miss to have to play this game without their best weapon.  I think you have to like State here to win, in what could be a pretty close game.

Thursday, November 27, 2014

NFL WEEK 13 PACKAGE PLAY

5 1star plays that I really think are pretty good plays.  So, I have decided to do a teaser for the same price of each bet, that pays 5/1, just in case any of these lose closely, which I think is always a possibility of happening.

* TENNESSEE  +7   at   HOUSTON

The Titans are a young team, that's just playing hungry right now.  Now, they aren't really good at all, but they have some young emerging players, it seems, and they are playing a division foe, whom they played prior this season.  I think they showed some fight, coming off of a short week, when they played the Eagles last Sunday.  Yeah, they got beat pretty comfortably, by 19, but the Eagles are a good team.  The Texans are an average team, who are now playing with their back up QB, technically and realistically, and an injured Arian Foster.  I am not too sure the Titans will win this game, but I am expecting them to give Houston all they can handle.

* CINCINNATI  -3.5   at    TAMPA BAY

I don't know why the spread is so low.  Maybe it's because Cincy is on their second consecutive road game.  I don't care if they are, the Bucs are a bad team.  The Bengals should win by double digits.

* PITTSBURGH  -5   vs   NEW ORLEANS

The Saints are coming off of a short week and are still very banged up, in their already bad secondary.  The Steelers have a good offense and I think will be able to score often in this game.  I expect New Orleans to play hard, but I just don't see this as a good spot for them.

PREDICTED SCORE : STEELERS  45   SAINTS   31


* NEW ENGLAND  +3   at   GREEN BAY

I'm actually hearing people talk about how the Packers are the hottest team in the league.  I will admit that they are in deed hot, especially at home, but NOT as HOT as the Patties.  I am still not sold on Green Bay being a true contender, due to their weak defense.  I will take N.E. with the 3.  I just don't see how you don't.

PREDICTED SCORE : PATRIOTS  31  PACKERS  28

* KANSAS CITY  +1.5   vs   BRONCOS

The Chiefs play excellent football at home, especially this year, and this is on prime time.  They have played Denver already this year, and played them very tough.  They just may take advantage of an injured Julius Thomas, and be playing very hard with tons of emotion, for Eric Berry, who is sick with a serious illness.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHIEFS  27   DENVER  24

TEASER :  TITANS +13,  BENGALS +2.5,  STEELERS +1.  PATS +9,  CHIEFS +7.5

Friday, November 21, 2014

3* NFL MONEY PLAY

***  PHILADELPHIA   -11    vs    TENNESSEE

The Titans are a bad team and they are coming off of an emotionally and physically draining game.  They are also on the road on a short week.  The Eagles are coming off of an embarrassing loss to Green Bay.  I think Philly is a good team, and good teams bounce back, especially at home.

PREDICTED SCORE : EAGLES  48    TITANS  17

Thursday, November 20, 2014

NFL WEEK 12 PLAY

*** ST. LOUIS   +5    at SAN DIEGO
The Rams defense is finally starting to show up.  Maybe it's the fact that they got a new QB in now.  Shaun Hill is a good backup in this league.  What that means to me is that he may not be good for a full 16 game season, but can play very well for a few games.  They have finally started to give the ball to my boy, Tre Mason, who I think is really talented.  Mason rushed for 113 yards last week vs the Broncos.  I think they will keep it going this Sunday against a team that I believe is fizzling out.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PLAYS

*** TEXAS TECH  +1.5   at    IOWA ST

Well, Cliff Kingsbury's second year with the Red Raiders has not panned out to what a lot of people thought so far, as they sit at 3-7.  I do think that this guy can coach, and I definitely believe they are a better team than the Cyclones.  Iowa St is just coming off of a bad loss to Kansas.  I think TT will take advantage of this spot and get the win

* MARYLAND  +5.5   at   MICHIGAN

I think that the Terps are a lot better off  than the Woverines right now.  Michigan will be getting a new coach next year, and really don't have all that much to play for.  Maryland has a good coach, in my opinion and a winning record in their new conference this year.  I really think they can win this one.  I'll grab those points with no problem.

Thursday, November 13, 2014

NFL WEEK 11 PICKS

CAROLINA  -1.5   vs   ATLANTA

The Panthers have not been good, but they also haven't been as bad as the Falcons, either.  I think this is a game they can definitely take advantage of.

OAKLAND  +10    vs   SAN DIEGO

I know, once again, that I must be crazy, or maybe it's just that I know a lot about how NFL games go about.  This is a division rival game, and the Raiders came close to winning in the last meeting.  That was also in San Diego and the Chargers were playing much better football.  Now, I think they are staring to fizzle out, and could lose this game.

***** PLAY OF THE YEAR *****

***** MISSISSIPPI ST  +8.5   at    ALABAMA

The SEC has to be my favorite conference to watch and analyze football games.  This may be because it's the closest football conference to the NFL, that you're going to get, and I've been known to put my finger on an NFL game here and there.  The reason why Bama is such a favorite in this game is because, well, they are Alabama, for one, and maybe the fact that they have beat their opponents by an average of 40 points at home.  Just go look at those opponents, though.  The first thing that I like so much about this game is the spot that Mississippi St has the Tide in.  They just played LSU down to the wire last week.  They will most probably be physically and emotionally drained, much like they were 2 years ago when they played Texas A&M.  They had just got finished playing LSU down to the wire, the week prior that year.  That was a better Tide team, and the Aggies were a damn good football team, with a really good, duel threat QB.  That brings me to my next point of Alabama's defense being suspect to a true duel threat QB.  Dak Prescott is one of the best players in college football this year and should present problems for Bama's D.  I just think that the Bulldogs are a better, more complete team.  I do not trust Blake Sims at all, and I think Mississippi St's front seven can get pressure on him, and force some mistakes.  I like the Bulldogs to win this game outright, so I'm taking the Moneyline too, at +270.

PREDICTED SCORE : BULLDOGS  30   CRIMSON TIDE  24

Sunday, November 9, 2014

NFL WEEK 10 PLAY

**  BALTIMORE  -10    vs    TENNESSEE

I think this is a must win for the Ravens.  They really have to get back on track after two straight losses and after getting pummeled by the Steelers last Sunday night.  The Ravens are a very good home team and are very well coached, so I believe they will be very poised and focused when they play this very below average Titans team today.

PREDICTED SCORE : RAVENS 38  TITANS 20

Thursday, November 6, 2014

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PLAYS

***  OKLAHOMA  -5.5   vs    BAYLOR

I have been saying, for several weeks now, that the Baylor Bears are as fraudulent as they come.  They play absolutely no defense, whatsoever.  I think the Sooners are a stacked team with a good defense.  They just lost 2 really close games, that came down to the wire, to 2 very good teams.  I say they get sweet revenge for the whooping they took from this team last year.

PREDICTED SCORE : SOONERS  51   BEARS  30

* WEST VIRGINIA  -3    at   TEXAS

The Mountaneers have been pretty impressive this year, and are coming off of a really close loss to TCU.  They should be ready to bounce back on this road trip.  Texas has been playing much better football, lately, but are still not a very good team.  This may not be that easy of a win, but I think WV should definitely take care of the Longhorns in this spot.

Monday, November 3, 2014

NBA PLAY

** NEW ORLEANS  +4   at   MEMPHIS

I won't be posting too many of these for the season, but I just think New Orleans is a play tonight.
This is a familiar division foe for the Pels and also a very familiar facility, in which they have won the last 2 in.  I really think the Pelicans will bounce back after that tough loss to Dallas Saturday and give the Grizzlies their first loss of this season.  I'm grabbing the 4 points and the Pels.  I think it's money.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

NFL WEEK 9 PLAY

*** SAND DIEGO  +3(-120)   at   MIAMI

This is what the line was posted as today on my site, so I'll take it.  I really don't think the Chargers are losing a third straight game in a row.  Especially to an average team, at best, like the Dolphins.  San Diego dropped a tough one at home by 3 to a division rivalry, in the Chiefs, and then on the road to the hottest team in football, last Thursday night.  This is their second consecutive road game, and a very far trip, but they have had extra days to prepare for it.  They also traveled very far to Buffalo in week 3 and beat the Bills comfortably.  I also watched Miami play the Jaguars last week and their offense struggled.  They do have a good defense, but the offense is kind of anemic.  I see Miami going back to what I think they will end up as, at the end of the season, and that's .500.  San Diego is a play-off caliber team and I think they get back on track today with a win.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS 20  DOLPHINS 13

Saturday, November 1, 2014

ANOTHER COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PLAY

**  AUBURN  +1.5   at   MISSISSIPPI

I think the Tigers are a real good football team, and their rushing attack is for real.  Ole Miss went into a hostile environment last week and played a better football team than people think.  LSU has a great rushing attack, themselves, but I think Auburn's QB is much better, and will be a problem for the Rebels tonight.  I also think that having their LB, Denzel Nkemdiche, out for this game, is going to hurt their run D.  I just really think that Ole Miss is a little fraudulent, mainly because of their QB, Bo Wallace, who I think could struggle against a tough Tigers defense.