Tuesday, January 28, 2014

SUPERBOWL XLVIII PREDICTION

                      SEATTLE  +2    vs     DENVER

This year's Superbowl is going to be a nice treat, considering I don't think we could have got a better possible match up.  This is strength vs strength, best defense vs best offense and the best passing offense of all time vs one of the best passing defenses ever.  If you ask me, I think Seattle's defense is maybe more impressive, due to the era.  Even with all the new rules and how you can't touch the QB, I still think what Peyton Manning and his receiving core have done this year is amazing.  It's kind of scary when you think of all the weapons that Peyton has at his disposal.  I won't be betting the game, mostly because I invested a little on Seattle to win it all three weeks ago, at a nice +220 price.  I would recommend that people don't bet on the Broncos.  Think about it, folks.  Peyton doesn't usually bring his A game in games of large magnitude, and this happens to be the biggest game of his unfinished career.  He also has tended to struggle against great pass defenses, with great safeties and play making corners, much like the Seahawks.  Seattle's D is built to stop Peyton Manning, because they can rush with four lineman and cover man to man.  I really do think that their defensive lineman can get good pressure and take Manning out of his comfort zone.  That's how you have to beat him.  I have been anticipating this match up for a while now.  I expected Seattle to be here, because they would have home filed advantage and they have a formula for a championship.  Denver has an incredible offense and the AFC is weak this year.  That brings me to my point that Denver's road here was a lot easier and a lot less impressive.  The Chargers defense was not that good and neither was the Pats', considering they were missing three key players on that side and lost their best remaining player in the first quarter vs Denver.  Both defenses gave up over 21 PPG this season.  Denver still never managed to put up 30 points in the play-offs.  That's a little surprising, considering they averaged 37 PPG during the season.  I know, their defense looked a lot better and they kept it modest by running the ball, but Seattle's defense is a different monster.  They also got to play teams that have QB's that stay in the pocket, which can be a lot easier than defending Russel Wilson.  I still don't think too much of this Bronco defense, and I think Wilson can carve them a little.  Marshawn Lynch is someone that really can't be stopped right now, and it will open things up in the passing game.  Just ask the 49ers, who hadn't allowed a 100 yard rusher in 22 straight games, before letting Lynch go for over 100 in the NFC Championship Game. That defense was just  much better than what Denver is going to bring.  In fact, the NFC was strong this year, and both of the teams Seattle beat on their journey here were really good.  I also think that Percy Harvin may be able to make one or two plays that makes an impact on this game.  Maybe a big return or one big catch and run.  He may not be up to game speed yet, but this is a Superbowl, and the biggest game of his life.  A chance of a lifetime.  Enjoy!

PREDICTION : SEAHAWKS 27   BRONCOS 24

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