I usually narrow it down to just one, but I just see a lot of value in two different spots this week. First things first. The New Orleans Saints' have been dominant in the last three weeks. It's mostly been their defense, which has been a slightly different personnel, since week 3. They have had Ken Crawley in at CB, and as of the last game, they've had LB, Craig Robertson, in place of the rookie, Anzalone. I don't know why Robertson wasn't the starter in the first place, because he is a beast! I'm really not surprised at all, by the way the Saints defense is playing. This is more like the team I expected to see, before the season started. I think their offense needs to be more consistent, and I think it will, because it has continued to grow, so far. They really are a contender in this weak conference, and watery league. I know the game they got this week is tricky, because they are going against a new QB, they know little about, and it will be rainy and wet in Lambeau. I don't think way too much of the Packers, and that's with Aaron Rodgers. While they were a good NFC team, I thought the Saints could beat them with Rodgers, because I think they match up well with them. Their front seven on defense is pretty solid, but doesn't make up too much for their horrid secondary. The Packers have some good WR's but not much of any running game, and without AR, they will lose at least 3-4 more games, in my opinion. He literally took this weak squad on his shoulders, and led them to an NFC title game, last year after starting like 4-6. He is arguably the best player in football, and will be impossible to replace. Brett Hundley does have some athletic ability, and a strong arm, but very little experience in this league. He may be able to have some glimpses, because I'm sure they will have a gameplan suitable for him, but the Packers can't rely too much on their running game. I think the Saints can get Mark Ingram going again, and use the short passing game, as well as run some simple routes with Michael Thomas, who could have a big game. Hundley played most of the game, last week in Minnesota, and threw 3 INT's, and a TD. Now, New Orleans' defense isn't as nasty as the Vikings', but it's not going to be an easy task for this kid, in just his first start
SAINTS -5.5 at PACKERS
** NEW ORLEANS -5.5
PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 29 PACKERS 16
I'm also going to be backing the Jaguars, going into Indianapolis this week, laying 3. A bad team, in the Colts, off of a short week. I'll take it. Jacksonville coming off of a loss this year. I'll take it!. The Jags have bounced back every time, this year, and I don't see why they don't here, either. Their defense should be able to get some TO's out of Brissette. I also don't see Indy stopping Fournette. I see Jacsonville winning this game comfortably.
JAGUARS -3(-125) at COLTS
**JACKSONVILLE -3
Thursday, October 19, 2017
Thursday, October 12, 2017
NFL WEEK 6 PLAY
*** PITTSBURGH +4 at KANSAS CITY
I'm going against the Chiefs again, because they are going to lose, eventually, and what better team to do it, than a team that they just don't match up well with. The Steelers are coming off of a piss poor performance, last week, at home vs the Jags. Jacksonville has a good, young defense and team, that was hard to prepare for. Pitt lost to Philly 34-3, and 30-15 to Miami, last year, within the first six weeks of the season. They also lost Big Ben to an injury, for a few games, and lost three more games in a row. They still ended up being a contender with an AFC Championship game appearance. So, I think they'll be just fine. After that bad loss to a new look, young Eagles team , who had a tough defense, they bounced back big. The next week they beat,(who do you know), the Kansas City Chiefs, by 29, on Primetime. They also ended up sweeping them, by beating them in Arrowhead, in the Divisional Play-Off, after the Chiefs had a bye week. I do realize that was last year, but these teams are very similar. The Chiefs have a decent defense, but have been giving up a good amount of yards and points. Their offense has been on fire, but they haven't played a defense as stout as the Steelers' yet. KC is also banged up after that Texans game. Kelce may not even play, due to a concussion, in the last game. If he does, I'm fine with it, because he could get knocked out again, going down the middle of that Pittsburgh secondary. I don't think Ben is done, he just played the worst game of his career, and I believe he will bounce back this week. The Steelers just need to get back to running the ball, getting Bell involved in the passing game and throwing deep. I think they will do that Sunday in Kansas City. If KC is able to win this game, I don't see it being by more than 3-4 points. I'm calling for Pittsburgh to hand them their first loss.
I'm going against the Chiefs again, because they are going to lose, eventually, and what better team to do it, than a team that they just don't match up well with. The Steelers are coming off of a piss poor performance, last week, at home vs the Jags. Jacksonville has a good, young defense and team, that was hard to prepare for. Pitt lost to Philly 34-3, and 30-15 to Miami, last year, within the first six weeks of the season. They also lost Big Ben to an injury, for a few games, and lost three more games in a row. They still ended up being a contender with an AFC Championship game appearance. So, I think they'll be just fine. After that bad loss to a new look, young Eagles team , who had a tough defense, they bounced back big. The next week they beat,(who do you know), the Kansas City Chiefs, by 29, on Primetime. They also ended up sweeping them, by beating them in Arrowhead, in the Divisional Play-Off, after the Chiefs had a bye week. I do realize that was last year, but these teams are very similar. The Chiefs have a decent defense, but have been giving up a good amount of yards and points. Their offense has been on fire, but they haven't played a defense as stout as the Steelers' yet. KC is also banged up after that Texans game. Kelce may not even play, due to a concussion, in the last game. If he does, I'm fine with it, because he could get knocked out again, going down the middle of that Pittsburgh secondary. I don't think Ben is done, he just played the worst game of his career, and I believe he will bounce back this week. The Steelers just need to get back to running the ball, getting Bell involved in the passing game and throwing deep. I think they will do that Sunday in Kansas City. If KC is able to win this game, I don't see it being by more than 3-4 points. I'm calling for Pittsburgh to hand them their first loss.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 PLAY
2 TEAM 6 POINT TEASER : AUBURN -1 at LSU
TEXAS A&M +9 at FLORIDA
Last week LSU played a game against Florida that they had circled for a while. It was a must win, and really like their championship game. I'm sure they gave it all they had, and played a good game, but were lucky to come out alive. If Florida's kicker doesn't miss the PAT, who knows what would have happened. Just like they circled the Florida game, I circled this Auburn at LSU game, before the season started. I knew, coming into this season, that Auburn was going to be a much better team than LSU. I was predicting that Auburn breaks their streak of losing in Death Valley since '99. I knew that this game was going to be an opportunity to make some fuckin money! Looking at injuries, though, I am a little skeptical of laying the 7 points. Auburn is banged up on the O line and in the secondary. I am also considering the mental factor of them having to get a big monkey off their back. I honestly think they'll be well prepared and focused, and I recommend laying the lumber with Auburn, if backing a side, because I think they'll win something like 27-9. I've decided to play it safe, and tease it, by going with two things that I see definitely happening Saturday. Auburn will beat LSU and Texas A& M will be a tough game for Florida. The Gators have been exposed, a little, in the first six weeks of this season, as being not that good. The Aggies are a very young team, who has been getting a lot better, and playing good football lately. If Florida were to beat them, I don't see it being by more than about 3-7 points, and that's a big fat IF. I lean for A&M to win here, so play on this.
TEXAS A&M +9 at FLORIDA
Last week LSU played a game against Florida that they had circled for a while. It was a must win, and really like their championship game. I'm sure they gave it all they had, and played a good game, but were lucky to come out alive. If Florida's kicker doesn't miss the PAT, who knows what would have happened. Just like they circled the Florida game, I circled this Auburn at LSU game, before the season started. I knew, coming into this season, that Auburn was going to be a much better team than LSU. I was predicting that Auburn breaks their streak of losing in Death Valley since '99. I knew that this game was going to be an opportunity to make some fuckin money! Looking at injuries, though, I am a little skeptical of laying the 7 points. Auburn is banged up on the O line and in the secondary. I am also considering the mental factor of them having to get a big monkey off their back. I honestly think they'll be well prepared and focused, and I recommend laying the lumber with Auburn, if backing a side, because I think they'll win something like 27-9. I've decided to play it safe, and tease it, by going with two things that I see definitely happening Saturday. Auburn will beat LSU and Texas A& M will be a tough game for Florida. The Gators have been exposed, a little, in the first six weeks of this season, as being not that good. The Aggies are a very young team, who has been getting a lot better, and playing good football lately. If Florida were to beat them, I don't see it being by more than about 3-7 points, and that's a big fat IF. I lean for A&M to win here, so play on this.
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