Friday, October 23, 2015

College Football Play

** Missouri -3  @ Vanderbilt

Between these two teams, Mizzou has generally played the better football, so far this season. Vandy hasn't beaten anyone even worth mentioning. The Tigers have just lost two tough conference games in a row to two good teams. They really need this win, and being the good coach that Pinkel is, I think he'll have them to focused and ready to play a great game. I am posting this as a 2 star play, mainly because it's college. CFB is not my specialty, but every now and then I am able to find really good value in certain teams that are in certain spots. This Missouri team is good enough to go on the road in a must win and beat this team by more than 3. It looks like money to me

Predicted Score : Tigers 24 Commodores 7

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

*** SEATTLE  -5.5    at     SAN FRANCISCO

The Seahawks may be 2-4, but they still think they are a good team.  I agree.  They have been up in the fourth quarter of all four of these losses, so they really could have won all four. That's how it plays out in this league a lot of times.  It is sometimes the difference between being 8-8 and 11-5.   The fact is they didn't win those games and they aren't what they once were, because they have issues.  You have to keep in mind that because they are the two time reigning champs of their conference, they are getting everyone's best shot.  They also lost to 3 good teams and a division rival on the road in OT.  I'm not quite sure how good this team is right now, but I know they are a lot better than the 49ers.  San Francisco is just coming off of a win, and I'll say enjoy it while it lasts, because there won't be that many.  The Hawks desperately need to get things going and play a great game, and I think that's just what they'll do Thursday.  The sooner you jump on this play the lower the line will be, because I think it will continue to go up from people backing Seattle.  That's because for anyone who follows the NFL religiously, this looks like money.  It most probably is.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

NFL WEEK 6 PLAYS

*** DETROIT   ML(-150)   vs    CHICAGO

I know what you must be thinking.  I am advising you to invest in a winless team.  I can understand your concern, but you must understand that sometimes there is value in winless teams in the NFL.  This is an extremely competitive league, where all the players are good and bad teams win.  Shit, bad teams beat good teams every year.  I've also made money many times off of bad teams.  The Saints under Jim Haslett, back in the early to mid '00's, could not beat a winless team, and I had to take advantage of that a couple of times.  Hell, I just backed the winless Bucs last year and they beat a Steelers team that went on to win 11 games.  Now, this Bears team is not good, and the Lions are better than their record.  Just as easy as the Lions could have a win or two, the Beard could be 0-5.  The barely squeaked out of these last two games.  I'd say enjoy your shitty little 2 game winning streak while you can, Chicago.  The Lions still have a decent defense and these players still believe they are good.   I'm not saying they're good by any means, but I think it's safe to say thy aren't going 0-16.  Matt Stafford is not a terrible QB, he's just having a terrible year, and this is his second straight below average season that he's having.  This guy is capable of playing well.  Five seasons ago he threw for 5,000 yards and 40 TDs.  Well, I know fans and critics have a short term memory loss, and don't want to remember that.  So do NFL players, especially QBs.  I think Stafford will want to redeem himself this week after getting benched in the last game, and what better team to do it against, than a team that you hate and have kind of owned.  I think Detroit is better than this Bears team, and I won't be surprised if they beat them badly.  I won't take chances, because it is a division rivalry and the Lions have yet to win, but I definitely think they get their first win at home on Sunday.  I am taking the MoneyLine to be safe.  The Bears just won 2 straight games by 2 points or less and I also think they could end up losing that way this week.

*** 6 Point Teaser Play
N.Y. JETS -.0.5  vs  WASHINGTON
DETROIT  +3 vs CHICAGO

Now on to the Jets game.  Washington does play decent defense and Kurt Cousins looked good last week.  The chances that he will look good again against this Jets defense on the road, playing in his second consecutive road trip, are very, very slim.  I am timid to lay the 5.5-6 points, so I think teasing it with the Lions is they way to go.  I am investing that the Lions and Jets will both win this weekend.  I think that is Money!