MORE NFL WEEK 4 PLAYS

** TAMPA BAY  ML(-140)  vs   WASHINGTON

The line is only 2.5, but this game should be a battle and could come down to a point or two.

PREDICTED SCORE : BUCS 20  SKINS 17

** ARIZONA  - 5.5  vs  MIAMI

Although I respect the Dolphin's defense, there offense does not have too much, and Reggie Bush will not be 100%.  They are also traveling across the country to play a tough D.  The Cardinals have played some tough offenses in the two prior weeks and held them to minimal scoring.  This week should be a breeze.

PREDICTED SCORE : CARDINALS 17  DOLPHINS 6

ANOTHER COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PLAY

** W. VIRGINIA  -11  vs  BAYLOR

The way Geno Smith and this offense is playing, and Baylor's lack of defense, this is going to be very high scoring.  Wonder if the total will be 100?

NFL WEEK 4 PLAYS

** DENVER  -6.5  vs  OAKLAND

The Broncos really need to put together a full four quarter game this week and I think they will against this Raiders team at home.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS 35  RAIDERS 21

** SAN DIEGO  pick em  at  KANSAS CITY

The Chargers have looked good this year, with the exception of last week, and even though the Chiefs won last week, they have not.  This is a division rivalry and should be close, but the run D of San Diego has been impressive and they need this win on the road in their division.

PREDICTED SCORE : CHARGERS 24  CHIEFS 17

NFL WEEK 4 MONEY PLAY

*** GREEN BAY  -7.5  vs   NEW ORLEANS

Where do I begin with naming the problems that the Saints have right now?  Well, first, Drew Brees is completing 54 % of his passes, with no protection and throwing very bad passes here and there.  They aren't giving the ball to their most productive player (Pierre Thomas), Marques Colston is not 100 % because of a nagging foot injury, and they can't stop a nose bleed.  Yeah, yeah, yeah, Spagnuola's defense takes at least 4 weeks to understand.  With the personnel, or lack of, that they have in their secondary, good luck fixing it.  These players play well in Greg Williams' defensive scheme and can't do shit in any other, and you're seeing it.  Green Bay has averaged 19 PAG in their first three, due to the tough defenses they had to play.  They are itching to get it going and this week I think they will, and considering what happened to them Monday, they will be taking it out on the Saints.  New Orleans hasn't stopped anyone and being generous, Washington's offense is pretty good, Carolina's is decent and KC's is below average.  You want to get your running game going this week GB?  Give the ball to Benson at least 20 times and he will get you at least a buck fifty, and I trust that Mike McCarthy will.

PREDICTED SCORE : PACKERS 49  SAINTS 24

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY

** TEXAS  -2.5   at   OKLAHOMA ST

A good defense almost always beats a good offense.  The Cowboys can score a bunch ,as usual, and can't play much defense as well.  Longhorn's QB David Ash is playing lights out and their defense is one of the best in the land.  Stillwater is a tough place to play, but there's a reason the odds makers are favoring the road team in this one.

PREDICTED SCORE : LONGHORNS 30  COWBOYS 20

MORE NFL WEEK 3

* TAMPA BAY  +8  at   DALLAS

Although I think the Cowboys should pull this one out because it's their home opener, I think the Bucs will be able to keep it within a TD.

* ARIZONA  +3  vs   PHILADELPHIA

The Cardinals are still not getting much respect as underdogs at home.  Their defense is for real, and I think it's in the top 5 in the league.  Kolb going against Philly's D does make me nervous, but he is yet to throw a pick.  That'll probably end on Sunday, but he may be able to pull it out, considering his defense is so good.  Michael Vick has already thrown 6 INT's and might be running for his life, due to his center being out.  That could be big, but overall I see this game coming down to about 3 or 4 either way.

NFL WEEK 3 PLAY

** DETROIT   - 3.5   at    TENNESSEE

I know, go look.  The home teams have winning the majority of the games in the first two weeks and covering the spreads.  This means as much to me as the government telling me I'll get social security one day.  In the words of Jim Mora, "didley poo."  I like strategically going against bad teams early and this seems to be working.  Bottom line, though, I think Detroit is a good team and even though they're on their second road game in two weeks, they should bounce back strong.

PREDICTED SCORE : LIONS 28  TITANS 17

$$$$$$$$$$$---MONEY PLAY---$$$$$$$$$$

*** SAN FRANCISCO   -7   at   MINNESOTA

Right now the Niners are one of the most physically tough and mentally sound, and don't forget most well coached teams in the league right now.  In my opinion, they are the best team and should win the whole thing, but things tend to change throughout an NFL season, if you catch the drift.  They are traveling up north to play a poor football team, which with their focus and talent, they will dominate.  I like to pick on the bad teams early because: 1) The points that they are given seems to be generous to the favorite, because no one knows how bad they really are yet. 2) They probably don't even know all the things that make them bad yet this early in the season.  So how would they work on it when they don't know it's an issue yet.  Minnesota is 1-1 and their QB Christian Ponder looks pretty good, because of who they played in the first two games.  For all of you Alex Smith naysayers: The guy had a good year last year and with more around him, will be even better this year, and wait.  Here's a stat for you.  Did you know that Alex Smith, not Joe Cool, owns the 49ers record for most passing attempts without an interception?  Whoooaaa!  What a ya know.  He had 189 w/o a pick going into this past Lion's game and now has 220 and counting.  When you want to talk negatively about a player, you may want to know all about that player before you claim he's not capable of certain accomplishments.  These people will probably not admit, but they most likely hate on this guy because they see him make a few plays here and there in a game and that's all he has to do for his team to win.  Sorry the guy doesn't win the way you want him to.  All I know is he doesn't mess up much and is 16-4 as a starter under Harbaugh.  Now I usually like to wait a little while to make my play, due to an important player possibly getting hurt like on Friday.  You kind of have to bet some games early, like say Wednesday or Thursday, because lots of dough is going on your side and the line is sky rocketing on you.  Well, I've been continually checking and on my sites it hasn't moved once.  Even if it does go up to say 9, take it!  Lay the lumber son!  Vegas gives the home team an automatic 3 point favorite off top.  So if San Fran were playing them at home the spread would be -10, which is still not enough, in my opinion.

PREDICTED SCORE : 49ERS 30  VIKINGS 10

LAST NIGHT'S GAME

I will not hesitate to admit that I was wrong about the Atlanta Falcons.  They looked solid all across the board last night.  With the exception of Peyton looking like something someone  released from their sphincter for most of the game, the Broncos weren't too bad.  When your QB is playing that sloppy, I think it can spread throughout the offense.  If Manning plays at a good level, they can be a good team.  As for Atlanta, they did look good, but Matt Ryan has to show up and perform in a play-off game before anyone can say he's worthy of being  a champ, because he's failed to do so in his first three attempts.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAY

* DENVER  +3   at    ATLANTA

I had some money in my free play account, so I figured I'd have some fun tonight, and for those who play, you'll understand.  Tonight's game should be down right fantastic and I know Matty Ice and co. have been hard to beat in this dome, but I really like the pass rush of the Broncos, and how they match up with this Falcons team.  I think Peyton will find a way to dissect their seconday and get his team the victory.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRONCOS 24  FALCONS 21

NFL WEEK 2 PLAY

** Houston -7   at   Jacksonville

Although they are not completely terrible, the Jaguars are still one of the worst teams in the NFL.  They played a tough game last week, and almost won, but that was against a below average team.  They hired a guy with a pretty shitty resume as their head coach and drafted a punter in the second round of the draft this year.  As you can tell , they are poorly ran and the fans of Jacksonville don't even deserve this team.  I personally think this team should move to Oklahoma City.  It could work.  As for them now in their home opener in Florida...

Predicted Score : Texans 28  Jaguars 13

NOTE TO JAY CUTLER

You are a bitch!  All you seem to do when a big game comes up is talk shit, like the arrogant ass that you are.  Well, I guess no one told you that you have to be able to back it up more often than not.  You remind me of that dumb ass receiver that changed his last name and just changed it back recently.  You played like complete animal waste last night, and showed zero leadership when your team needed you most.  As for your cocky colleague, Marshall, you are an arrogant asshole too.  There is no way an elite receiver doesn't make that catch.  Maybe you were too busy thinking of what kind of TD dance you were going to do before you finished catching the damn ball, dufus!  Both of you have God given abilities and size, but deep down are      worthless when it comes to being true winners.  I'd like to credit the Packer defense, though, they did a good job and Rodgers was able to show he's a leader and a winner.  Cutler needs to take after him, but he's too busy talking about how good he and his receivers are.  Live and learn

TONIGHT'S GAME PREDICTION

The Bears just simply know how to beat this Packers team, because that's what Bear coaches, such as Mike Ditka and Lovey, have stated their teams have to be built for.  I know this is a must win for Green Bay and they're at home, but it is a short week and they are a little banged up.  There's even talk about trading Greg Jennings because they might not be able to afford to franchise him.  This seems to be a bad time for them as they search for an identity, with no running game, and an inability to make key stops.  The Bears have a dangerous offense and welcome the Packers man coverage defense, and they will run down their throats otherwise, with Michael Bush and Forte.  I love Bush and expect a big game from him.

PREDICTED SCORE : Bears 30  Packers 24

ANOTHER COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PLAY

* NOTRE DAME   +6   at   MICHIGAN ST

Now for my second game of the week in college.  Need I remind, the Irish waxed them last year, 31-13.  That was last year, but Notre Dame may have improved this year, well, at least on defense.  Michigan St, on the other hand has declined a decent bit.  The new QB is about half as good as last year's and they lost all their starting receivers.  This should be a close game but I think the Irish win straight up.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PLAY

** TENNESSEE  -2.5  vs  FLORIDA

Well, I did have Florida St getting revenge on Wake Forest circled on my calendar, but I thought they'd be giving a lot less than 25 points to the Demon Deacons.  Noles could end up winnimg 31-7.  Now on to the SEC.  I think the Vols have a high powered, vertical attack with QB Tyler Bray and these receivers and this will be the year they finally beat the Gators.  I don't even know how long it's been, but Florida is not too good offensively and they will need to be to keep up on Saturday.  I guess you could say the Vols have some revenge in mind too.

NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY

** Chicago  +6    at   Green Bay

I think the Bears can definitely win this game and the Packers could fall to 0-2.  Chicago has not had too much trouble in the past with winning in Lambeau Field, and now the Bears have a good offense that doesn't have to rely on the defense to win the game.  They know how to beat the Packers and Green Bay's defense doesn't get an easier task on this short week.  This game will probably come down to a few points, and I see Green Bay barely winning if the even do.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 2 PLAY

* Vanderbilt  -3   at   Northwestern

I think the Commodores have a pretty good team this year with a good bit of speed.  May not be able to keep up too much in the SEC, but this is a Big 10 team.  I think Vandy just has more talent.

NFL WEEK 1 PLAYS

                                      $$$$$$$$----MONEY PLAYS----$$$$$$$$

*** San Francisco  +5   at   Green Bay

This my favorite game of the week.  I really like what the Niners did in the off-season and they will be more than ready for this match-up.  I see this game going 27-24 either way, and although this is such a tough game to win against this Packers team, Frisco has a great chance at coming up victorious.

*** Tampa Bay  +2.5  vs  Carolina

Go ahead and take the MoneyLine if you want to because Tampa's winning this game straight up.  I think it will come down to 3 points, possibly in OT.

Just for fun - 

* Tennessee +5.5   vs   New England

A little hung over from a Superbowl loss are the Pats?  I'm not completely sure but they did play a 19 game season last year and could be just a tad bit exhausted.  Plus, the Titans have a good D and this is their home opener.  This won't be easy at all for New England so I predict Pats 21 Titans 17.

For those who didn't follow last season, I rank my plays with *'s.  So let's say for the average bettor we put a price on them.  It would be as follows:  * = 55.00 bet  ** = 110.00 bet  *** = 220.00 bet  **** = 330.00 bet  ***** = 440.00 bet

NFL 2012 SEASON PREVIEW

AFC EAST :
1. NEW ENGLAND - Unlike a lot of others, I don't think this team is going back to the Supebowl this season.  They will still be good and have an improved defense, but I just don't think this is their year, but I'll go ahead and crown 'em in this division.

2. BUFFALO - The Bills D line should be one of the best this year.  Let's be totally honest.  Ryan Fitzpatrick is really just an average QB in this league, but with a very good D, and a healthier team than last year, going 10-6 and getting a wildcard spot is not out of the question.

3. N.Y. JETS - I really don't know what to expect from this team this year.  It's Sanchez's make or break year and although Tebow should be able to help in Sparano's wildcat system, I think Sanchez can play well enough not to get benched.  Tebow chants from fans may not be able to change their head coach's mind.

4. MIAMI - Well they lost Brandon Marshall, Reggie Bush is due to get hurt, and Ryan Tannehill is a rookie.
They do have a decent defense and I don't expect this team to be terrible, just not that good.

AFC NORTH :
1. PITTSBURGH - As much as I always hate to say it, the Steelers will be back this year.  When I say back I mean with another possible Superbowl appearance or deep in post-season.  They will still have a good D, be able to run the ball and Big Ben is a great play maker.  I think their new offensive coordinator will work. out well.

2. BALTIMORE - It really will hurt this team this year without LB Terrel Suggs in the lineup.  Other than that, they're still a solid football team, but I don't see anything special happening this year.

3. CINCINNATI - They lost their RB Cedric Benson, and Bernard Scott isn't bad, but they have big shoes to fill.  Their defense is good and young so they should be competitive so I'm predicting 8-8.

4. CLEVELAND - Although this team should be improved this year with Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden, I don't think much of Pat Shurmer as a head coach and they have a rookie QB and a bad front office.  I think I've said enough.

AFC SOUTH :
1. HOUSTON - The Texans now have what I believe to be the 2nd best defense and 2nd best offense in the NFL.  A very solid team, who if can stay healthy can win this conference.

2. TENNESSEE - Jake Locker continues to show improvement, they still have one of the most explosive RB's and their defense is good.

3. INDIANAPOLIS - I think Andrew Luck is going to be great.  The way he threw the ball in pre-season, which was much better than we saw in college, I'm convinceed of this guy.  He is still a rookie with not much at all of a running game and not much else around him.

4.  JACKSONVILLE - Mike Mularky's coaching abilities are described
best probably by his last name.  This team will be pretty bad, but I do expect big things from rookie WR Justin Blackmon.  This guy will be their only receiving weapon as defenses stack up on MJD. I say he wins Offensive Rookie Of The Year.

AFC WEST -
1. KANSAS CITY - I guess you can say this is one of my sleepers this year, because I think Romeo Crennel can do good things for this squad.  I believe their running game will be loaded and a healthy defense will be very good.  Matt Cassel will have to play well, and I think he will. two years ago he threw 27 TD's and only 7 INT's and they went 10-6.

2. DENVER - I think Peyton Manning, depending on how good he looks, can go 10-6 with this team. I think their defense is good but not great at all.  In fact don't forget they got torched in the secondary in their last game.  I also don't think they have much of a running game, but they have Peyton and he should come back with a vengence.

3. SAN DIEGO - I think Robert Meachem will be a good No. 1 WR for them and have a breakout year, but I don't see anything spectacular.  I think their Qb will have a comeback, but Norv Turner is just missing something, along with this whole team.

4. OAKLAND - Now, talk about bad front offices.  How many different head coaches has this team gone through in the past 4 years?  I'm not exactly sure, but I know it's too many, and Carson Palmer is done.

NFC EAST :
1.N.Y. GIANTS - They did lose some key guys, but still have a good D and I think rookie RB  David Wilson is a sleeper.  I think they'll have a better regular season this year than last year.

2. DALLAS - Tony Romo really wants to win bad and with a new offensive coordinator, his chances can only increase.  This team has a some good talent, but I'm not sure if Jason Garrett can do much with it.

3. PHILADELPHIA - Andy Reid is an amazing coach but his tenure with the Eagles can not last forever.  Michael Vick lives hurt, and even though rookie QB Nick Foles looks as if he could do well, this division is brutal, although they have a good team.

4. WASHINGTON - RG3 is a great talent, but because of his lack of size and the fact he will run, means he will be sidelined a bit. They have some decent talent currently around him, but still have Mike Shanahan and Jim Asslett on their coaching staff.  I meant Haslett, but not really.

NFC NORTH :
1. CHICAGO - I don't think they're going to have as good of a defense as last year, but won't have to.
With the addittions of Michael Bush and Brandon Marshall, this offense could be deadly.

2. GREEN BAY - Aaron Rodgers and this offense should be as good as any once again, but they really didn't improve their defense, which was dead last, as much as needed.  It also won't help that they lost a good player in ILB Desmond Bishop.

3. DETROIT - Matt Stafford reminds me a little of Brett Favre, but could be better maybe.  Mike Leshore should be good and they drafted well for defense, but I think this team is still immature and this will not be their year.  Next year..

4. MINNESOTA - They're bringing back Leslie Frazier and Adrian Peterson might not be 100 %, and there is not much else on this team right now.

NFC SOUTH :
1. NEW ORLEANS - They still have Drew Brees and the best offense in the league.  This coaching staff knows the protocols and now have former head coach Steve Spagnola running the D.  Pete Carmichael will be calling the plays, and is underrated.  I don't think they'll miss much of a beat.  It might cost them one close game, but even with as tough as a schedule as they have, I got them going 11-5. They will also be a threat in the play-offs once again.

2. TAMPA BAY - This is one of my sleepers this season, because they have young talent, did good things in the draft and off-season and went 10-6 two years ago with a putz. Well, Schiano their rookie head coach is no such thing.  Does anyone remember what Rutgers did before he coached them? No, because it was whole lot of nothing. He is a no nonsense type of guy who has talent and this team will be coming out of nowhere.  I think they will go 10-6 and make a wildcard spot.
\
3. CAROLINA - They should be a little better than last year, but they haven't added anything good and it's not likely Cam will throw for as many yards as last year.

4. ATLANTA - I just don't see this team doing anything this year.  Matt Ryan's confidence has to be a little down and their defense is still not that good, plus they need to be deeper.  Mediocrity written all over them

NFC WEST :
1. SAN FRANCISCO - It's hard not to crown this team when they have the best D in the league, have added new weapons and Alex Smith HAS proven he can win.  He threw 17 TD's with only 5 INT's last year and also threw the winning touchdown in two games that I saw. They beat the best offense of all time and were a couple plays away from the Superbowl last year.  They are not a fluke at all and Jim Harbaugh will do great things in the near future.

2. ARIZONA - With QB John Skelton as the starter and a healthy backfield, this team should be pretty good.  Michale Floyd is a great talent, do if he works out well, then watch out.\\

3. SEATTLE - It's hard to tell how good they can be with rookie QB Russell Wilson.  This kid has talent and so does the Seahawk's D, but they still need to fill some holes on offense.

4. ST. LOUIS - They should be better than last year, but they still don't have squat.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 10

Well here we are, once again, at the very start of another season.  I think much like last year LSU and Alabama possess the two teams that are close to NFL quality.  The rest of the league and top 10 are pretty watery compared to these two programs, and with all that's happened they actually could play again in the title game.  With them both playing in the SEC and their tough schedule one will probably drop two games, and LSU has the more favorable BCS title schedule this year.  Remember my top 10 is going to be how I see the teams finishing when it's all said and done.

1. L.S.U.  -  I see QB Zach Mettenberger and this team gelling throughout this year and have such an easy start to do it before any possibility of a loss.  They got Bama at home off a bye week.  It seems to be a gift. They have the best O line, one of the best D lines and THE best backfield in the nation, kids.  Completely loaded.

2. USC  -  Even though they may have to play Oregon twice, they can still get in with one loss and an above average defense.  They do have Heisman favorite QB Matt Barkley, who could be the one of the best college Qb's ever, along with a great offense.  So luckily, they will probably go on to get smashed by just a more talented program, who has a different breed of players, in the BCS Championship game.

3. ALABAMA  - This team is going to be great again, especially the offense.  I think they just lost too many key guys, including six starters on defense. Although they have a powerhouse and have great talent stepping in, they just have too tough of a schedule, playing LSU on the road after they have had rest.  You can't win it all every year Nicky, but just about every other.

4. FLORIDA ST  -  I would have had this team at No.2 in the title game but they did just lose their senior DE Brandon Jenkins for the whole season, which is going to cut because he had 22.5 career sacks and 8 last year.  They probably will still have a great D and win a BCS bowl.  Good Luck Jimbo.

5. OREGON  -  This team is always very good on offense and have been successful with first year starting QBs.  They should have a good defense as well, but have to go to USC this year, and possibly play them again in the conference championship game.

6. OKLAHOMA - They lost a decent bit of key players with lots of leadership, including their best offensive threat last year, but they still have Heisman candidate QB Landry Jones

7. SOUTH CAROLINA  - This team almost has enough talent to be a real contender, but Steve Spurrier has always seemed to underachieve with this program.  For instance, two years ago he lost his only SEC title game with this team 56-17.  He does have a better QB now, so let's see what he can do.  My guess is another 11-2 type year.

8. GEORGIA - This could be Richt's best team in a few years with star QB Aaron Murray.  They also will not have to play LSU, Bama or Arkansas.

9. ARKANSAS  - I think they will fair just fine without that jackass head coach who got fired, as deserved.

10. MICHIGAN  - Although they are not in Bama's league as we just saw, I think they will build on last year and probably be in another BCS bowl game.