Thursday, January 21, 2016

NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY PLAY

7 Point Teaser Play :

NEW ENGLAND +4 @ DENVER

ARIZONA +10 @ CAROLINA

I think both of these games should be very competitive and pretty close. The way I look at the AFC is this is classic revenge for the Pats. Brady and Belichek have been brilliant in those types of games, too.  The first game in Denver on November 29, 2015, the pats got off to a fast start and were up 14-0 in like the early second quarter. Then they lost Edelman, which was part of their fire power, and the Broncos barely won inOT. They have all their WR's on deck now, and they get to play Peyton, which limits the Broncos offensively, actually. I say the Pats definitely get this win
Predicted Score : Pats 24 Broncos 20

On to the NFC, I think this could be a bad match up for the Panthers. If the Cardinals can contain the running game and force Cam to throw, that could mean trouble for Carolina. Well, that's easier said than done. The Panthers defense is their best attribute and may just be too much.  I do think that Arizona's WR's are a mismatch for just about anyone, especially with the level Fitz is playing on right now. I think they can definitely make some big plays vs that Panthers secondary. This is a tough game  to call and should be great. I'm just hoping that Palmer's shaky performance last week was just him being nervous getting over that first playoff game win hump. He did still throw for over 300 yards and 3 TDs in a win.  It better have just been cold feet, because it won't get any easier going against Carolina's defensive front and Luke Keuchly. I think this may just be the Cardinals year. They have been great all year with good talent on both sides of the ball. Their secondary is great, even without Mathieu, and I think could force Cam into some mistakes. You just may see Pat Peterson take a pick to the house for real this weekend.  I hope for an Arizona win, which is very possible, and I think it should definitely be a down to the wire type of game.

Thursday, January 7, 2016

NFL MONEY PLAY

***** SEATTLE   -5.5    at    MINNESOTA

Once again I did not hit too many big homers in CFB this year, but I didn't swing too much, either.  So, I am ready to get back to what I do best, which is identify value in NFL games. This is my favorite time of year.  I'm not going to start to tell you what my record is in may last 2 NFL post seasons, because it doesn't really matter at this point.  You are only as good as your last play, which is going to be this one.  The Hawks are so hot and just playing some great football at the perfect time, which was mostly late this season, and is their best all year.  Even when they had their early struggles this year, they were still a pretty good team.  They're getting Lynch back at the perfect time, and look like they are ready to earn a third straight NFC title.  It also makes you think.  They are down to their third string RB and are still playing as well as they are.  Wilson has been Tom Brady like.  Don't believe that, then go look at his season stats or go watch any of his last 5 or 6 games.  The Vikings have been a pretty good team this year, and I think home playoff teams usually fair pretty well in these wildcards, but the Vikings don't have much for the NFL playoffs.  Their QB is way too young and undeveloped and unexperienced.  Last time they played Seattle, Peterson didn't do shit, because he usually doesn't against a tough stout defense.  I think this will be closer than the 38-7 smash down in Minnesota, early last month.  I also think that the Seahawks basically own this team, because it is a bad matchup for Minny.  I think Seattle could be that low seed team that catches fire, and wins it all, which we have seen happen several times in the last half decade or so.  There is no way Seattle doesn't win this game, and by about 10-14 points.  I'd put a little something on Seattle to win the Super Bowl at 5.5/1.  Why not?  Like I said, we have seen this happen before.  I like them or Arizona, so it's easy for me to see the Hawks win another one.

PREDICTED SCORE :  SEAHAWKS  27  VIKINGS 13