Thursday, October 15, 2015

NFL WEEK 6 PLAYS

*** DETROIT   ML(-150)   vs    CHICAGO

I know what you must be thinking.  I am advising you to invest in a winless team.  I can understand your concern, but you must understand that sometimes there is value in winless teams in the NFL.  This is an extremely competitive league, where all the players are good and bad teams win.  Shit, bad teams beat good teams every year.  I've also made money many times off of bad teams.  The Saints under Jim Haslett, back in the early to mid '00's, could not beat a winless team, and I had to take advantage of that a couple of times.  Hell, I just backed the winless Bucs last year and they beat a Steelers team that went on to win 11 games.  Now, this Bears team is not good, and the Lions are better than their record.  Just as easy as the Lions could have a win or two, the Beard could be 0-5.  The barely squeaked out of these last two games.  I'd say enjoy your shitty little 2 game winning streak while you can, Chicago.  The Lions still have a decent defense and these players still believe they are good.   I'm not saying they're good by any means, but I think it's safe to say thy aren't going 0-16.  Matt Stafford is not a terrible QB, he's just having a terrible year, and this is his second straight below average season that he's having.  This guy is capable of playing well.  Five seasons ago he threw for 5,000 yards and 40 TDs.  Well, I know fans and critics have a short term memory loss, and don't want to remember that.  So do NFL players, especially QBs.  I think Stafford will want to redeem himself this week after getting benched in the last game, and what better team to do it against, than a team that you hate and have kind of owned.  I think Detroit is better than this Bears team, and I won't be surprised if they beat them badly.  I won't take chances, because it is a division rivalry and the Lions have yet to win, but I definitely think they get their first win at home on Sunday.  I am taking the MoneyLine to be safe.  The Bears just won 2 straight games by 2 points or less and I also think they could end up losing that way this week.

*** 6 Point Teaser Play
N.Y. JETS -.0.5  vs  WASHINGTON
DETROIT  +3 vs CHICAGO

Now on to the Jets game.  Washington does play decent defense and Kurt Cousins looked good last week.  The chances that he will look good again against this Jets defense on the road, playing in his second consecutive road trip, are very, very slim.  I am timid to lay the 5.5-6 points, so I think teasing it with the Lions is they way to go.  I am investing that the Lions and Jets will both win this weekend.  I think that is Money!

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