** LSU +12.5 at ALABAMA
Now, here is a match up that I can safely say I know a little bit about. I am 4-0 ATS in this match up since '07. I stayed away in '09 and last year, but I also called the upset in '10 when LSU beat them at home as 7 point underdogs. I think, once again, that the Vegas odds makers are giving LSU too many points for the third year in a row. This game has been kept within 10 points since the Saban vs Miles series began in '07. I really don't understand the line. Do they not realize that LSU usually plays their best game of the regular season vs Bama? I know this LSU defense is not that good, but you should expect them to play up for this game. I think this game is going to be really close. I could definitely see Zach Mettenberger making one stupid mistake that costs his team the game, as well. Alabama has not had one scare all year, and I think this just may be the time.
PREDICTED SCORE : CRIMSON TIDE 35 TIGERS 27
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