Tuesday, December 31, 2013

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PREDICTION

        CHICK FIL-A BOWL   GEORGIA DOME  ATL, GA

TEXAS A&M   -13.5    vs    DUKE

This is another program that is just on a complete upswing and is probably on to bigger and better things in the future.  Kevin Sumlin has done a great job thus far, and although he won't have Manziel next year, he should continue to contend in the SEC.  I have decided to timidly stay away from the action here, due to the Aggies poor defense, and the fact that Duke got a taste of what they'll see tonight when they played Jameis Winston and the Noles earlier in the month.  I really don't think that will create for them an ability to stop Johnny Football, in his last game for A&M, or in a game this big, with the way the Blue Devils have played defense this season.  The Aggies defense did look a lot better than the regular season in last year's bowl game, so maybe Sumlin will take advantage of the month to prepare and have the D play up again.  I really don't think Duke is in the same class as a program talent wise, so I say Ole Football and Co. come to shine in this game.

PREDICTED SCORE : AGGIES  48  BLUE DEVILS 28

Monday, December 30, 2013

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PLAY

              SUN BOWL   SUN BOWL  EL PASO, TX

****  UCLA -7   vs   VIRGINIA TECH

I want to start off by saying, to those who are still following, please don't lose confidence.  I know there is some reason for you to start doubting, but just hear me out.  I am about to pitch you on why one should stay on board and invest in me.  This is a very tough business.  In fact, I am basically selling certainty in an uncertain world.  This is extremely difficult to do on a consistent basis.  Damn near impossible.  It's very much like sales.  You are only as good as your last sale to the one's that are paying you.  Right now I am as good as my last 5, which I lost.  As someone who is paying me, you've got to be worried and asking yourself "what's wrong".  Just go look at the whole year, though, including the losses.  I really don't get blown out, which means I am on the right track, but some things just don't budge, because there is always going to be things you can't control.  There are sales you can't get and games you can't win.  Even Tom Hopkins met some people he couldn't sell.  With that being said, I have been a producer for the majority of this season, and this is just a rough patch.  In these kind of businesses there are bad days, bad weeks and even bad months.  I plan to redeem myself with this one play, which I am calling my Refund Play of the Year.  I like this game so much, that I think it is worth 4 out of 5 of my last plays.  If I were selling this play it would be a 100% money back guarantee.  So ya can't lose.
So here's what I like about it.  Jim Mora Jr. has really got this program on the upswing in his second year.  After a promising season last year, and then to end it with a bowl loss to a quality team, I think they have made some strides this season.  I think they are ready to shine in their bowl game this year.  It's also good that Jim Mora had offers to possible better situations, but he decided to stay and continue to build, because he thinks they can do great things.  Virginia Tech, on the other hand, has just not been good like they were in the past for some years now.  It looks like they are definitely on a downswing and coach Frank Beamer may be close to the end of his regime with the Hokies.  They finished 8-4 this year in a pretty average conference, and lost to non-ranked opponents.  The Bruins have finished 9-3 in a very tough Pac 12 conference this year.  All of their three losses were to quality ranked opponents, all of whom which are in their conference.  They have also had more impressive victories, and I really like what coach Mora is doing.  So they'll be ready to roll this Hokie team.

PREDICTED SCORE : BRUINS 34  HOKIES 13

Thursday, December 26, 2013

NFL WEEK 17 PLAYS

*** PHILADELPHIA  -7   at   DALLAS

I don't care what the idiot coach said about Tony Romo being day to day and that he has a chance of playing.  Tony Romo's chances of playing are about as good as the Cowboys' are of winning this game.  He is not going to play, and even if he did, I'd still like the Eagles to win by a comfortable margin.  Having Kyle Orton in will mean that they are going to run the ball, which is what they should have been doing more of in the first place all season.  I think Orton's lack of mobility is going to hurt the Cowboys and I see the Eagles getting to him.  I also see the Eagles being able to exploit the back end of Dallas' defense, just as pretty much every team that can throw has done.  This Dallas D is so bad, it's epic.  This is really the worst defense of all time, in my opinion, and the coaching is pretty close to just as bad.  A team as poorly coached as Dallas will crumble in a game like this, and it doesn't really matter where it's played.  The Eagles have stated that they are looking for revenge from a 17-3 loss at home earlier in the season.  A game in which Nick Foles was concussed and taken out, and then Matt Barkley took over for the game.  I see the Eagles being able to get an early lead, and then from there it will just be nearly impossible for Dallas to stay in it.

PREDICTED SCORE : EAGLES 41  COWBOYS 17


*** MINNESOTA  -3   vs   DETROIT

As I watched the Lions two weeks ago lose in a pathetic effort to the Ravens at home on Monday night, I said to myself, "This team is DONE."  I think it is apparent now that they technically are.  They couldn't even put a good game together when the division title was on the line, or should I say when the division title was handed to them.  This team has been a huge disappointment, and their coach is definitely getting fired, so ask yourself this..."What the hell do they have to play for?"  Absolutely nothing!  It looked like they kind of gave up two weeks ago.  Minnesota is playing for pride, which they have been doing for several weeks now, and this is a division rival, whom they would love to destroy.

PREDICTED SCORE : VIKINGS 37   LIONS 6

Sunday, December 22, 2013

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL GAME PLAY

      MILITARY BOWL, NAVY-MARINE CORP MEMORIAL STADIUM    ANNAPOLIS, MD

*** MARYLAND (+110) MoneyLine   vs    MARSHALL

I'm going ahead and discarding the +2.5 points that Marshall is favored by and taking the Moneline for this one, because I think that Maryland is winning this one.  It's going to basically be a home game for the Terps, but they have had some injuries this year, losing two receivers and two corner backs for the year. One of the corner backs will be back for this game and I really love the way Maryland coach, Randy Edsall, has his teams prepared and ready to win.  Dating back to his days as a head coach at UCONN, I am a big fan of this unsung hero.  Just watch in this game, for example, how tough, aggressive and focused his team plays, and rest assure any back ups starting will give a hell of an effort.  I think Maryland played much better competition than Marshall, who plays in the Conference USA, and can play some good defense, considering Edsall is a defensive minded coach.  I also like going against a team that got blown out in their conference championship game, as Marshall did by Rice.  I like the Terps to be able to play some D along with a smart, aggressive overall game.

PREDICTED SCORE : TERPS 28  THUNDERING HERD 20

Saturday, December 21, 2013

Friday, December 20, 2013

NFL WEEK 16 PICK

NEW ORLEANS  +3   at    CAROLINA

I love it how everyone, and I mean everyone, is over reacting to one loss by the Saints, and are not even giving them a chance this week.  Hello??  Does everyone just forget about two weeks ago when the Saints dominated the Panthers?  And they think that the Saints are this terrible team on the road.  I will admit they are not as good, because that is obvious, but don't forget they almost beat the Pats on the road, and really should have, and that the Panthers probably shouldn't have beat N.E. at home.  It's not like the Saints can't put together a good game on the road.  Besides, the Panthers have not looked all that impressive and the Saints know how to beat them.  I think the Saints are just the better team here, and with all that's on the line, I think coach Payton will have a good game plan.  Of course, I'm not going to place action on a team that isn't the most trustworthy on the road, but I think the Saints got this!

PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 24   PANTHERS 17

Thursday, December 19, 2013

COLLEGE BASKETBALL MOCK PLAY

DUKE   +4    vs    UCLA

Both the Blue Devils and the Bruins have looked very good so far this season.  It is still very early and tonight should tell us a little bit about these two teams.  UCLA comes into this one with only one loss on the road to a really impressive looking Missouri team.  Duke has lost a little bit of the national attention due to their two losses, which came to Kansas and top ranked Arizona, but that could be a good thing.  I think this will be a back and forth duel, and such a great game to watch.  I believe that freshman Rodney Hood and diaper dandy, Jabari Parker, will be difficult for the Bruins to stop, and could be the determining factor of the game.

PREDICTED SCORE : BLUE DEVILS  80  BRUINS  76

This actually was Duke -4, but for all you action Jacksons, you already knew that.  Since I didn't place anything on this, I didn't realize, because I looked on an app called SportsLines, which had it as Duke +4.  To those idiots, get your shit straight.  Regardless, there was no action on my part, but with the line being -4 and me expecting it to be a hard fought battle, I would just go ahead and Money Line it or bet it down to -1 or -1/2, with the line being under 5.  I also would have used this same strategy on LSU -3 over TT last night, but at the time, I saw no ML listed, and this is just practice for me.  Play on..