* JACKSONVILLE. +7.5. Vs. SAN DIEGO
I know, I know. I'm picking the Jaguars. They are bound to win a game, and they covered last week at Denver. They have a really good chance of beating the Chargers at home this week, considering San Diego is coming off an emotional win, on a short week and traveling from one end of the country to the other. Yes, all that really does help the Jags. I think they can at least give them a tough game.
Friday, October 18, 2013
Wednesday, October 16, 2013
NFL WEEK 7 PLAY
** INDIANAPOLIS +7 vs DENVER
Peyton Manning is going back to Lucas Oil Stadium to play football for the first time in 3 years, and for the first time, it won't be for the Colts. I think the fans of Indianapolis will welcome Peyton back with kindness and great gratitude, because he is still involved in their community and gave them some great years. They really don't have much to be frustrated about, because ever since Andrew Luck arrived they've done just fine without Manning. Now on to the game, I have been saying that the Colts are for real, and I don't judge too much on their road loss in San Diego, where the Chargers have played well this season. They did hold the Chargers to 1 TD, and got two sacks in the game, continuing to play good defense. Luck didn't look all that good and they may not have been as focused as they should have been. It can be difficult to get a young team like the Colts to focus off of an emotional win vs the league's top team, and right before a match up as big as this one is. All I know is that the last time the Colts lost a game, they smashed the 49ers the next week on the road in a spot where Frisco had never lost under Harbaugh. I believe this young team will regroup and play a great game, much like they have at home all year, and all time with Luck(9-2@home) and the defense will come to play. I think Mathis, a former teammate of Manning, will have a sack at least. The guy was averaging almost two a game going into last game and was held to none vs the Chargers. In my opinion, the Broncos secondary is bad. It's been suspect since previous seasons, and Von Miller will be back from his suspension, but that probably won't help as much as they'll need in this game. When you give up 48 points, whether or not you play a good offense, or if it is on the road, I think that means you are pretty vulnerable. If you can bet this up to 7 I think it's pretty safe, although it may move up to 7 itself. So give it a couple-few more days. I think the Colts can and just might hand them their first loss, though. I guess it could go either way, but it should definitely be a battle and a very fun one to watch. Let's face it. The Broncos are going to lose this year, probably to the Chiefs in Arrowhead, due to their defense at home, but this is a good spot for them to lose also
PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS 37 BRONCOS 34
Peyton Manning is going back to Lucas Oil Stadium to play football for the first time in 3 years, and for the first time, it won't be for the Colts. I think the fans of Indianapolis will welcome Peyton back with kindness and great gratitude, because he is still involved in their community and gave them some great years. They really don't have much to be frustrated about, because ever since Andrew Luck arrived they've done just fine without Manning. Now on to the game, I have been saying that the Colts are for real, and I don't judge too much on their road loss in San Diego, where the Chargers have played well this season. They did hold the Chargers to 1 TD, and got two sacks in the game, continuing to play good defense. Luck didn't look all that good and they may not have been as focused as they should have been. It can be difficult to get a young team like the Colts to focus off of an emotional win vs the league's top team, and right before a match up as big as this one is. All I know is that the last time the Colts lost a game, they smashed the 49ers the next week on the road in a spot where Frisco had never lost under Harbaugh. I believe this young team will regroup and play a great game, much like they have at home all year, and all time with Luck(9-2@home) and the defense will come to play. I think Mathis, a former teammate of Manning, will have a sack at least. The guy was averaging almost two a game going into last game and was held to none vs the Chargers. In my opinion, the Broncos secondary is bad. It's been suspect since previous seasons, and Von Miller will be back from his suspension, but that probably won't help as much as they'll need in this game. When you give up 48 points, whether or not you play a good offense, or if it is on the road, I think that means you are pretty vulnerable. If you can bet this up to 7 I think it's pretty safe, although it may move up to 7 itself. So give it a couple-few more days. I think the Colts can and just might hand them their first loss, though. I guess it could go either way, but it should definitely be a battle and a very fun one to watch. Let's face it. The Broncos are going to lose this year, probably to the Chiefs in Arrowhead, due to their defense at home, but this is a good spot for them to lose also
PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS 37 BRONCOS 34
Sunday, October 13, 2013
MY COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
So my record this year for college football picks following this weekend is 1-5. Ouch! That's down right awful. Well, on my behalf, I did lose these 5 games by a total of 21.5 points ATS. That's only by an average of 4.3 points a game ATS. Whatever...I lost, even though one was a back-door cover that lost by a half point, which in my opinion is not a bad decision made by the handicapper. The fact of the matter is that it's not a good one either. College football regular season has never really been my specialty. I really was brave going against Mariota and the Ducks yesterday and I failed to realize that Bowling Green played Florida within 14 points last season, and they had a really good defense. Mississippi St, not so much. Well, I have decided to hang it up for the season. Wouldn't you if you were 1-5? YOU probably wouldn't. I haven't been able to identify many winners on this level so far this season, but will try again when the championship games and bowl games are upon us. I am usually pretty good at finding some winners there. So for those who would like to rub it in and talk your shit,(Wermo The Sportsbook Slayer), go right ahead. Here's you time. I know you love to see me lose. I am still 8-2-1 in NFL picks this year, because that is my specialty, and I hope to keep it coming with the winners there. As for college I would like to reiterate that I think LSU will be on an upset alert next week at Ole Miss. I know the Rebels have lost 3 in a row and LSU looks like a much better team, but this is one of those rivalries where the records get thrown out of the window. Ole Miss, for some reason, tends to play their best game of the year vs the Tigers. Just last year, in Tiger Stadium, the Rebels nearly had it won, but Odell Beckham Jr. returned a punt, I believe, for a TD within the final minute. LSU 41-35. I think this year the Rebels might get 'em. They will probably be getting like 7 at home. I like that, but won't be taking it, and of course it will most probably win. Oh well.
Friday, October 11, 2013
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICK
* WASHINGTON +14(-120) vs OREGON
I went and bought this up to +14 to be extra safe, but I don't think I'll need it.
The Oregon Ducks are averaging well over 50 a game this year, as usual, and playing good defense as well. It's almost kind of crazy to go against them even with the generous spreads the odds makers have them laying to teams. The Washington Huskies haven't beaten them in 10 years, but I do like their team this year, with all the upperclassmen that they have, and this could be coach Sarkisian's best team yet. They also play very good football when they are at home. Just last year they gave Stanford one of their two losses of the season in Washington. Now, Oregon isn't going to cover every week. I know there are some who think they will, and I can appreciate that, because they probably will go like 10-2 ATS, but someone is going to play them close. This is a great scenario for a team to play them close. I think the Huskies are sick and tired of losing to this team and really think they can pull off this upset at home. Well, I guess we will have to wait and see, but I do think they can make it a game.
I went and bought this up to +14 to be extra safe, but I don't think I'll need it.
The Oregon Ducks are averaging well over 50 a game this year, as usual, and playing good defense as well. It's almost kind of crazy to go against them even with the generous spreads the odds makers have them laying to teams. The Washington Huskies haven't beaten them in 10 years, but I do like their team this year, with all the upperclassmen that they have, and this could be coach Sarkisian's best team yet. They also play very good football when they are at home. Just last year they gave Stanford one of their two losses of the season in Washington. Now, Oregon isn't going to cover every week. I know there are some who think they will, and I can appreciate that, because they probably will go like 10-2 ATS, but someone is going to play them close. This is a great scenario for a team to play them close. I think the Huskies are sick and tired of losing to this team and really think they can pull off this upset at home. Well, I guess we will have to wait and see, but I do think they can make it a game.
Tuesday, October 8, 2013
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 PLAY
** MISSISSIPPI ST -11 vs BOWLING GREEN
Not too many people are paying any attention to this game, but I think when Miss St gets the chance to play an inferior team, they will take advantage of it, because it doesn't happen that often. The Bulldogs were outclassed last week by the LSU Tigers, and this week it's time to do that to their opponent. Bowling Green is a pretty good program, but I don't think they are on the level of any SEC team, especially the Bulldogs, because they aren't that bad. They are well coached and have some talent, but are just a bottom to mid feeder in the SEC. Although they may not be better than many in their conference, I do believe they are much better than the Bowling Green Falcons.
PREDICTED SCORE : BULLDOGS 45 FALCONS 21
Not too many people are paying any attention to this game, but I think when Miss St gets the chance to play an inferior team, they will take advantage of it, because it doesn't happen that often. The Bulldogs were outclassed last week by the LSU Tigers, and this week it's time to do that to their opponent. Bowling Green is a pretty good program, but I don't think they are on the level of any SEC team, especially the Bulldogs, because they aren't that bad. They are well coached and have some talent, but are just a bottom to mid feeder in the SEC. Although they may not be better than many in their conference, I do believe they are much better than the Bowling Green Falcons.
PREDICTED SCORE : BULLDOGS 45 FALCONS 21
Thursday, October 3, 2013
ANOTHER NFL WEEK 5 PICK
* NEW ORLEANS -1 at CHICAGO
I know the Saints are on a short week and that coach Sean Payton has never won a game with the Saints in Soldier Field, but there's a first time for everything. I think this is a favorable match up for the Saints and I think coach Payton owes these guys one on their home filed. The last time the Saints went to Chicago was the 2008 season and they lost a close one. Well, a lot has changed since five years ago. I think with the way the Saints pass rush has been playing, they will definitely get to Cutler and be able to force some turnovers.
PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 27 BEARS 23
A GAME TO THINK ABOUT -
INDIANAPOLIS +3 vs SEATTLE
It seems as if Seattle will have a case of jet lag this week, considering they traveled all the way to Houston last week, then back home, then to Indianapolis on Sunday. I also think the Colts are a real team and they play great at home. I like the way their defense is playing and the Hawk's offense is not explosive at all. Seattle did fair alright last year in the playoffs in a similar situation traveling to D.C., then back home and then to Atlanta, but they did lose to the Falcons. I do believe they could win this game, although it will be tough, and I do see this as a good spot for them to lose to a solid team on the road. No action here.
PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS 24 SEAHAWKS 21
I know the Saints are on a short week and that coach Sean Payton has never won a game with the Saints in Soldier Field, but there's a first time for everything. I think this is a favorable match up for the Saints and I think coach Payton owes these guys one on their home filed. The last time the Saints went to Chicago was the 2008 season and they lost a close one. Well, a lot has changed since five years ago. I think with the way the Saints pass rush has been playing, they will definitely get to Cutler and be able to force some turnovers.
PREDICTED SCORE : SAINTS 27 BEARS 23
A GAME TO THINK ABOUT -
INDIANAPOLIS +3 vs SEATTLE
It seems as if Seattle will have a case of jet lag this week, considering they traveled all the way to Houston last week, then back home, then to Indianapolis on Sunday. I also think the Colts are a real team and they play great at home. I like the way their defense is playing and the Hawk's offense is not explosive at all. Seattle did fair alright last year in the playoffs in a similar situation traveling to D.C., then back home and then to Atlanta, but they did lose to the Falcons. I do believe they could win this game, although it will be tough, and I do see this as a good spot for them to lose to a solid team on the road. No action here.
PREDICTED SCORE : COLTS 24 SEAHAWKS 21
Tuesday, October 1, 2013
NFL WEEK 5 PLAY
* DETROIT +7 at GREEN BAY
I placed something very small on this game, but before I did, the line moved from +6 to +7. That's fine by me, because the game could come down to that.
The Lions looked very good last Sunday vs the Bears, now that they got their X factor on offense back. Reggie Bush looked better than ever, once again, rushing for 139 yards on 17 carries for a TD, and also catching 4 balls for 34 yards. The Packers are coming off a loss and a bye week, so they will be more than ready, but that doesn't help their defense against this high octane attack from Detroit. The Lions have also played decent football on the road in Green Bay in the past. They have tons of confidence and fire power right now, it doesn't matter where they play. Maybe Green Bay even gets this one, I just think the Lions will be tough to beat.
I placed something very small on this game, but before I did, the line moved from +6 to +7. That's fine by me, because the game could come down to that.
The Lions looked very good last Sunday vs the Bears, now that they got their X factor on offense back. Reggie Bush looked better than ever, once again, rushing for 139 yards on 17 carries for a TD, and also catching 4 balls for 34 yards. The Packers are coming off a loss and a bye week, so they will be more than ready, but that doesn't help their defense against this high octane attack from Detroit. The Lions have also played decent football on the road in Green Bay in the past. They have tons of confidence and fire power right now, it doesn't matter where they play. Maybe Green Bay even gets this one, I just think the Lions will be tough to beat.
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